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Humanitarian disaster as a way to achieve victory

The most important event this week was the beginning of the operation to liberate the city of Mosul in Iraq. The widely publicized attack by Iraqi army, with the support of the coalition led by the United States, in Mosul in March 2016 failed miserably. So, at the end of his presidential term, Barack Obama has decided to at least try to justify it received the Nobel prize. However, to do this he needed to start full-scale hostilities. And the moment Obama chose a suitable: on the eve of Mosul held the attempt of the uprising within the Islamic state.

Still not clear who is involved in the attack on Mosul. Officially, it’s the Iraqi army, which advise the American military experts, on the other hand the media say about the “pillars of the Iraqi, Kurdish and American forces, moving in the direction of the city. To the North of Mosul is located the Turkish troops sent to the region last fall. Ankara has threatened to intervene if the city will be in the hands of the Kurds. In General, as the saying goes, “the devil himself would break a leg”.

However, the problem is the fact that the militants in Mosul and failed to surround. Terrorists have the ability to go West toward Syria – or in the Jazeera desert, where ISIS has a well-equipped military bases. On the one hand it benefits the US. Militant leaders may decide that to fight to the last soldier in Mosul, there is no point, and to save manpower and resources, leaving the city relatively quickly.

On the other hand, left the town, the militants will be a formidable force. Where will be the completion of 9 thousand well trained and equipped militants, whether in Deir ez-Zor, Aleppo and Europe – God knows. However, in the vicinity of Mosul after the withdrawal of the main forces of ISIS will not become calmer too many different interests collide around the liberated city.

While Obama is preparing the American people for the coming of a new President, and the Turks win back a springboard for another war with the Kurds, the UN is prepared to accept a million refugees. Which, according to the Deputy General Secretary Stephen O’brien will be forced to flee the city. Food packages ready in just 200 thousand people, and temporary refugee camps for 60 thousand, so the world is waiting for a new humanitarian catastrophe. However, this coalition led by the United States, on the eve of the storming of Mosul, for some reason decided not to think, because she needs to win at any cost – even at the cost of lives of innocent civilians.

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