To 2290 year probability of death of mankind is 50%.
Canadian scientists from BCA Research estimate 50% probability of destruction of mankind to 2290 year and 95% that this will happen to 2710 year.
According to researchers, the fertility rate in the world stabiliziruemost soon on the level of 3.0. They believe that this will lead to overpopulation, which will be the main reason for the extinction of mankind.
To justify their results, the research team used the theory of “the Great filter”. According to this hypothesis, humanity has no protective mechanisms against such disasters as nuclear war, asteroid impact, pandemics, climate change, which dramatically increases the chances of destruction of the planet.
Scientists say that to reduce the risks of disaster can only be the exploration and colonization of new planets.