Strategic bluff of Russia
The systemic crisis of Putin’s vertical put an end to nasese Russian Federation — “the defense industry” and the “nuclear shield”. “Nuclear sword” has turned into a fake that can scare except that Georgia or Chechen militants.
While politicians debate issues around the future postfigurative space, the last redoubt of the Eurasian Empire — subjects of Mr. Putin a glimmer of hope that the collapse of Russia would never happen, patamusha it just can’t happen. Iron logic. And, as an argument in their subconscious ominously stuck “nuclear shield”. We can say, “nuclear argument” is the last Bastion of psychological stability and confidence in the existence of a mighty (albeit with shaky knees) States — patron and protector of the orphaned and needy.
And God forbid you destroy the myth of nuclear scoops! Eurasians suddenly turn into patsaks from the film G. Danelia “kin-DZA-DZA!”, lost their tsakov. In psychology Ikonnikov dies the last hope of capturing cetlinski the planet Plyuk. All the points of stability and hope for the future, anything that is (was) proud of will come to nought.
In order not to cause ideological builders of Eurasianism developed mental injury, advise them not to read any further!
According to the website “the Internet against TV screen”, the Russian rulers “decadent” West will not be taken seriously.
Nuclear warheads, unlike conventional bombs and shells, can not be put into storage and forgotten until it came to the need for them. The reason — constantly running in nuclear weapons process, which changes the isotopic composition of the charge, and it is rapidly degraded.
Warranty period of operation of a nuclear charge in the Russian ballistic missile — 10 years, and then the warhead should be sent to the plant, since it is necessary to change plutonium. Nuclear weapons — expensive, requiring the contents of an entire industry for the continuous maintenance and replacement charges. Oleksandr Kuzmuk , Ukraine’s defense Minister from 1996 to 2001, said in an interview that Ukraine had in stock 1740 nuclear weapons, Kuzmuk — “however, the service life of those nuclear weapons has expired before 1997”. Therefore, the adoption of Ukraine’s non-nuclear status was no more than a nice gesture.
Why “up to 1997”? Because Gorbachev ceased production of new nuclear warheads, and at last the old Soviet charges the warranty period ended in the 90s. “both Russia and the United States almost more than 10 years do not produce weapons-grade uranium or weapons-grade plutonium. Somewhere from 1990 all this stopped” (V. I. Rybachenkov, Counsellor, Department for security Affairs and disarmament Ministry of foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation). About US Advisor “introduces the public astray”, but the fact that under Gorbachev in the USSR was completely phased out production of weapons-grade uranium and weapons-grade plutonium, this is true.
To avoid the temptation to make new nuclear warheads for ballistic missiles, the Americans concluded with the leadership of Minatom of the Russian Federation “very best” deal (20 years!). Americans buy weapons-grade uranium from old Russian warheads (then promised to buy and plutonium), and in return were stopped by the Russian reactors producing weapons-grade plutonium. “Minatom Russia: milestones in the development of the nuclear industry”: “1994 — the adoption by the Government of the Russian Federation the decision to cease production of weapons-grade plutonium”.)
Russia not only has expired “prior to 1997” the life of the old Soviet nuclear warheads for missile warheads, but no plutonium to make a new one. From the old Soviet plutonium they do not produce, as it, like the plutonium in the warheads irreversibly changed isotopic composition. And to get a new weapons-grade plutonium and produce new nuclear warheads for missiles, you need not just time — specialists no, the equipment is not in working condition.
Russia has lost even the technology of manufacturing barrels for tank guns, after the first few shots of the flight following the new rounds of Russian tank is a little predictable. The reasons are the same — experts grow old or dispersed with no working facilities and equipment, or old, or stolen, scrapped.
It is likely that a much more complex technology of producing weapons-grade plutonium and the creation of nuclear weapons has long been lost, and to restore them have not a year or two, and at best 10 years. And will the Russian, the Americans start again reactors for the production of highly enriched plutonium? Russia has set a unique experiment on the destruction of the technosphere of modern industrial society, the current regime, the technosphere is melting right before our eyes, society loses the technology, infrastructure, and most importantly — people who are able to work with sellers.
Topic: Degradation: Russia freed from the industry by 2020
Russia quite naturally turned from the country with nuclear weapons, the country with the potential to possess. Status changed from real superpower to the status of a potential superpower, and it fundamentally changes the Russian relations with other countries.
Why Russia ceremony until recently, and not slammed in the late 90s? After the warranty period expires the operation of nuclear warheads capable of some time to explode. Let it be not the explosions that power, on which they had been calculated previously, but if you demolish a few neighborhoods in new York and killed hundreds of thousands of people, then the American government will have to explain.
Therefore, the us Department of energy the us government has allocated the most powerful supercomputer, officially declaring for the simulation scientists degradation processes in nuclear warheads, the only thing he “forgot” to inform the media that was going to simulate the processes of degradation of non-American charges, and in Russian.
The game was worth the candle and for this purpose no money was spared, the American elite wanted to know for sure — when guaranteed not to explode no Russian nuclear warhead. Scientists gave the answer, and when the estimated time approached, American policy towards Erefii has changed as radically as the Russian nuclear status. The Kremlin rulers just sent three letters.
In the spring of 2006, a joint article Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press in Foreign Affairs” and “International Security”) about the possibility of Russian nuclear forces preemptive strike. Lieber and Press have launched an open public discussion — in a democratic country all need to discuss (although decisions are made by other people and before the discussion).
In Moscow smelled evil and was worried only a tiny handful of kvass patriots, the elite and the ear does not lead, American plans coincide with her plans (didn’t think they were after otchalivai of completely ruined “this country” to leave her “weapon of retaliation”? Of course, no). But then the position of the Russian elite was “suddenly” become complicated. In early 2007, the year in the influential newspaper the Washington Post published an article in which it was recommended not to flirt with the Russian ruling elite, because it is not real power, and to put the crooks to the place.
Then tore the roof is Putin himself, and he rolled his “Munich speech” of a multipolar world. And in the beginning of 2008, the year Congress instructed Condoleezza rice to make a list of the leading Russian corruption. Who in Russia earned a lot of money honestly? No. Recent fog had lifted, and the Kremlin elite is acutely aware of the impending end.
President Medvedev in his post announced big plans in the military sphere — “the Planned serial production of warships, primarily nuclear submarines with cruise missiles and multipurpose submarines. You will create a system of aerospace defence”.
Topic: Russia — the third in the world in military spending
What Condoleezza rice in an interview with Reuters coolly replied — “the Balance of power from the point of view of nuclear deterrence from these actions will not change.” And why would he have changed?
Medvedev loads on ships and cruise missiles? Fit nuclear warheads there. On Russian rockets, some about purpose, real purpose missing. Against missiles “Satan” to build a missile defense madness, once miss, and goodbye to a dozen major cities. But against radioactive scrap, which is now the Russian missiles instead of warheads (most likely, it was removed because the old weapons-grade plutonium really hot — like red hot iron), he can ABOUT to create, if it’s ABOUT miss anything really terrible happen, though unpleasant then decontaminated hectare site.
ABOUT designed to catch radioactive scrap when Russia will finally disarm. Don’t like ABOUT the elite, not because it is around Russia, but because the elite of Russia are not issued, it turned into a hostage of their own games.
But what about Russian generals? They have fallen into mysticism. As once with the collapse of the Third Reich, and today, with the expected imminent end of the Energy superpower, the military has the same belief in a secret superweapon, this agony the ability to think clearly. The generals started talking about some maneuvering in space warheads (from a technical point of view — complete nonsense), super-high hypersonic cruise missiles, on installations sends short powerful electromagnetic pulses.
Generals love the Motherland, but money even more. Enriched uranium is sold at a price 25 times below its value, as it is stolen, stolen from his people, and stolen market prices do not take, and sell for a pittance, some of the money for the sale of warheads and cut missiles, “Satan” was generals.
The generals have identified as in tsarist Russia, orderlies, appointed chic pension, and in Chechnya could relish a game of soldiers, drunk to bits to send to the slaughter, not battle-hardened boys, and nothing at all for you it will not (at least one General for the storming of Grozny tried?). Son every General could become the General of generals in Russia have multiplied, per capita, more than anywhere else in the world.
Topic: Russia: during a search in apartment eks-the official of MO found himself Minister of defence
Details on the status of the strategic arms told the Duma in closed meetings to hide the truth from the public. The media discussed only as carriers of nuclear weapons, and about the main thing, about the status of the nuclear weapons kept quiet.
A lie was beneficial to the Americans, as allowed to continue to swing the picture threat of the Russian bear in front of the nose of his own electorate. Lies suited the oligarchs, as they soon wanted to leave this country.” And the generals are silent because they can tell you right now? They stole from the people of the nuclear shield, sawed it and sold it to the enemy?
30 years the balance of nuclear deterrence was defined by treaties between the USSR and the USA, more USA offers to start a new Contracting process, there is nothing to negotiate. Putin ran urgently to legitimize the border with China, and China began to produce textbooks, where almost all of Siberia and the far East — the territory seized by Russia from China. The EU has offered Russia to sign the Energy Charter, which the EU will produce in Russia the oil and gas, transport them to itself, and the Russians offered a reward — Fig. EU officials openly said that Russia has three options — to go under EU, US to go under, or become a Chinese cheap labor, here and all choice. The main players in the loop and not shy.
After Russia has become a real superpower in the potential, the situation around the Bank accounts of the Russian elite began to deteriorate. The UN adopted the Convention on corruption, and the West today is not joking, he’s going to use it against our kleptocracy. So the West decided to give back to our traitors for their treachery. To throw a throwing — a crime is it, immoral? Not at all.
Topic: Russia: “It sank.” Why Colonel no one believes
Conversation of Russian rulers with the West turned into “my yours do not understand”, the two sides talk about completely different, Moscow to them, “You promised us!”, and those Russians — “Because you have nothing else, except for the cheap bluff!” (sending of the Russian Federation to Venezuela, the Tu-160 called the new Cuban missile crisis, as the perceived “potential enemy” only as a clown).
Russian abundant natural resources can not belong to the weak a deserted power. The United States decided to stop buying Russia’s old weapons-grade uranium. Although you can buy it for a price many times below its market cost to Americans is very profitable, but Russian generals to land on your tailbone before discussing the terms of delivery is more important.
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Meanwhile, Russia has ceased production of weapons-grade plutonium. NTV reported as in Zheleznogorsk has been closed the last of the existing Russian reactors of this type. It produced plutonium for the last half century. Especially for his service in the Union created the closed city of Krasnoyarsk-26, later renamed Zheleznogorsk.
The Zheleznogorsk mining and chemical combine was a unique nuclear enterprise, which has no analogues in the world. Its production plant was located deep underground.
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But even if the nuclear shield of Russia, by some miracle, have survived and not turned to the production of nuclear-grade plutonium, but still technically Russia is hopelessly behind its competitors. For example, the American nuclear capability has long been a third surpassed the Russian nuclear fake. According to the Newspaper.<url>, the United States one-third surpass Russia by number of deployed ballistic missiles, launchers for them and nuclear warheads.
The Russian nuclear potential was below the level of the Contract on reduction of offensive arms, which entered into force in February 2011. That Russia will be able to pull up their capacity under that ceiling over the next 10 years, experts doubt.
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Already by 2015 Russia could theoretically slap like a fly. As writes Saint Peterburgskiy parity, maintenance of the necessary quantitative and qualitative condition of the Park’s strategic nuclear triad of Russia, ICBMs, strategic submarines and heavy bombers — in the foreseeable future will become a task daunting for the country. A number of conceptual errors in the development of the strategic Arsenal, admitted in late Soviet and post-Soviet period, has led to the fact that after a certain period of time, Russia is likely to remain a weapon that can not guarantee the security of the country.
Mobility strategic weapons as a panacea its invincibility played a bad joke with the General staff of the USSR armed forces. First was the fallacy of the concept of creating a MBR on a self-propelled road and rail chassis.
Creating such a complex weapon system like a mobile ground missile systems (pgrk) RT-2PM “Topol” (NATO code SS-25) and the combat railway missile complexes (bzhrk) RS-22, “Good” (SS-24), country carried huge additional costs for the establishment of these strategic groups. Similar in its combat capabilities of the U.S. ICBM series “Minuteman and MX were placed in hardened silos, where he was in a state of readiness for immediate use in an emergency.
What will Russia by 2015? As you know, rail-mobile missile system RS-22 are already removed from the strategic missile forces and destroyed. Is to build a certain number of silo-based ICBMs of types RS-20 (R-36МУТТХ) and RS-19 (UR-100НУТТХ, NATO code SS-19), but their life cycle is running out. These missiles have long been not to produce, but endless “extending” their stay in Rushmoor to only raise a bitter smile. Real combat system is just “Topol” and “Topol-M”.
Topic: the Russian army: the massive theft and total failure of the defense order-2011
In 1994-2002, the number of ICBMs of this type were maintained at 360 PU. And then, of course, the collapse began. Launchers and missiles was aging, they had to withdraw from the combat composition of the strategic missile forces. Deployment for replacement of fixed and mobile missiles, “Topol-M” catastrophically late. Thus, by 2006, remained in service with only 252 PU ICBM “Topol” from the highest number 369, 1993.
Instead, by 2006, the strategic missile forces received only 42 stationary and the first three mobile Topol-M”. 117 charged, received 45. In 2007, according to estimates “the Military Parity” in the ranks left about 225 “Poplars” of the “Soviet” production, and in early 2008, according to the website www.russianforces.org they were only 213 units.
According to the calculations of American experts, in the coming five to seven years should be written off the entire fleet of mobile “Topol” 1984-1993 years of deployment. And what in return? Russia until 2015 plans to adopt a 120 ICBMs “Topol-M”, including 69 in the mobile version. Again, the Russian Federation remains in negative territory — more than 100 old missiles will not be replaced by anything.
Thus, by about 2015 the Russian strategic missile forces will have about 76 69 stationary and mobile “Topol-M”. In total there will be about 145. Note — monoblock. As for a new multi-warhead type RS-24, there is no data on their deployment. It should be noted that the planned deployment of this number of “Topol-M” is based on the figures of the State armaments programme (GPV) till 2015, which is never not fully implemented.
Russian defense Ministry can not fix the value of certain types of weapons, including strategic, resulting in the defense industry have overstated their price to dizzying heights. Recently, the chief of the General staff General Yuri Baluyevsky said in an interview with channel “Vesti-24”. The reason is the fact that the defence budget Rfii is completely opaque item of public expenditure that leads to this kind of financial somersaults.
Topic: the Russian army “exorbitant and even cosmic” scale of the theft — the military Prosecutor
To recap. By 2015 Russia will be armed with 145 ICBMs, of which almost half will be mobile. It is absolutely a waste of resources. A monopoly in the development of strategic missiles Moscow Institute of thermal technology still holds Russia hostage completely outdated “concepts of mobility”. Even the Americans and the Chinese ones suggest not to go for the “Soviet” way, clearly realizing the futility of such a decision.
And it is felt that overseas experts are not taking the piss, and the matter suggest. At the time they were smart enough to abandon the mobile MX and Megamenu”. And the Russians persist. If you read military forums, they call the missile “Topol” “matches” for their low combat capabilities, but their mobility even gave rise to the joke: “Why “Topol” mobile? — Therefore, in order to increase the flight range”.
As you know, the U.S. has adopted a program of modernization of stealth strategic bombers b-2, in which the Americans will be equipped with the latest radar with an active phased array having a fantastic opportunity for the detection of small mobile land targets, and will be able to take aboard up to 80 guided aerial bombs with guidance system GPS.
That is, during one flight, “invisible” will be able to destroy to a few dozen mobile targets, combat route of which the ruins will be destroyed by missile launchers, radars and hangars aircraft. Truly here is appropriate proverb in a slightly altered form — “How my mother flew”.
The situation with the marine component of the strategic triad even more sad. Currently, according to the same overseas website that the Russian Navy has 12 strategic nuclear submarines — six type 667BDRM (Delta-IV) and six type 667BDR (Delta III). They placed 162 606 missiles with nuclear warheads. It would seem, a good Arsenal. But only at first and cursory glance. Submarines can be destroyed from the air and space in an instant. By 2015, the state of the marine components of the strategic nuclear forces of Russia also raises many questions.
But what about military aircraft? Here the situation is from bad to worse. Worse than the strategic missile forces, and even worse than the SSBN. According to Western estimates, in early 2008, long-range aviation of the Russian air force, there were 78 heavy bombers, including 14 Tu-160 (Blacjack) and 64 Tu-95MS (Bear-H), which can theoretically levitate 872 winged long-range missiles.
This view of the Russian strategic triad is suitable except for demonstration flights over the World ocean. For military response to a surprise attack it is absolutely not necessary. All the bombers will be destroyed in the blink of an eye the newest means of aerospace attack.
When it was resumed flights of strategic bombers, the American press and even the White House spokesman openly mocked prehistoric Russian Tu-95MS bombers, considering them to be absolute “naphthalene”, nowhere is removed. Indeed, in our time, to keep armed turboprop bomber, the blades of engines which have an effective area of dispersion (EPR), a football pitch is nonsense. Tu-95 has no chance to overcome the airspace even third-rate country.
As for the Tu-160, the enormous dimensions of this plane turn every flight into some semblance of the start of the American space Shuttle the Space Shuttle. It is no coincidence that almost every plane of this type has a special name as a warship of the Navy. Bomber weighing 275 tons takes aboard 150 tons of fuel. Preparation of aircraft for flight, refueling, and suspension arms, takes several hours, and during this process near the plane is Roy of special machines service. Of course, in X hours, these aircraft will become an easy prey American vultures.
What does Russia have?
Sad, frankly, the conclusions to the Imperial hopes.
Grouping fixed and mobile “Topol-M”, which in 2015 will amount to almost exclusive the backbone of the strategic missile forces, their capabilities will remain at the level of light ICBMs mid 70-ies of the last century. Lack of throw-weight of 1-1,5 t will not allow you to implement powerful warheads of these missiles, including multi-charge warheads of individual guidance. Of course, the idea is you can put three low-yield nuclear warhead 200 kt, but even this solution can reduce the range of an ICBM, which is now barely 10,000 km.
Equipping these ICBMs by some hypersonic maneuvering warheads “capable of overcoming any missile defense system” will make Americans think that Russia sees the US as its main enemy.
Against this background, the Chinese with their much larger strategic programs seem Pentagon hawks faithful friends of America. However, the cunning Chinese this and are trying to achieve, without advertising, in contrast to Russia, its weapons programmes. The Kremlin is trying to rattle the saber, which even not available. Stupid strategy. And funny.
The ideology of the deployment of the naval component of the triad is destroyed. On SSBNs, which in its geometric dimensions and the displacement of almost not inferior to the American “Ohio” will be a small rocket with a terrible name “Mace”.
Lack of range of these missiles makes them to base the Pacific fleet right at hand USA. It is no secret that in the region deployed a powerful layered defense system, including ship-based interceptor missiles Standard SM-3, and not only American, but with the inclusion of Japanese and South Korean ships are equipped with combat information and control system AEGIS and launchers vertical launch missiles.
Add to this the component database GBI missiles in Alaska floating off the coast of marine platforms, multifunction radar SBX PRO. These weapons systems can click as nuts survived the first strike missile “Bulava”. And in this area, teeming besides and anti-submarine warfare, and go for a swim Russian “Borei” with “Clubs”. Needless to say, the “wise” decision.
About strategic aviation have nothing to add.
What to do? The eternal Russian question. Late to drink “Borjomi”, when the liver is decomposed. It is time to stop saber-rattling, and not existing.
As can be seen, the systemic crisis of Putin’s vertical put an end to nasese of the Russian Federation — the defense and nuclear shield. “Nuclear sword” has turned into a fake that can scare except that Georgia or Chechen militants. However, not the fact that even these small, but proud Nations falter in front of a pile of Russian scrap, Russia inherited from the militaristic Soviet Union.
