Played Moscow’s geopolitical combination against Turkey after her crimes is an excellent example of the grandmaster’s game in the international arena, when the admonition of the aggressor takes place without counter-violence. Seven months after the “stab in the back” Russian diplomats tied Turkey in a RAM’s horn, and forced not only to squeeze Erdogan’s “excuse”, but to make some serious concessions: in fact, for the return of the Turkish fruit and resorts, so indignant Patriotic public, Turkey has paid dramatically change the foreign and even domestic policy.
First of all, Turkey is obliged to radically change their actions in Syria and is supporting the terrorists finally start a real fight with them. In particular, Erdogan is seriously promised to stop supplying ISIL militants (banned in Russia) in Syria and even seriously intended to destroy the ISIS. It is clear that Russia will necessarily control the fulfillment of the promises of Turkey by using videoconferencing instead of relying on verbal promises of the Turkish politicians.
In addition, Turkey began to disperse resorts for terrorists” on its territory where they are treated, rest, and train before being sent to Syria and other countries. The terrorist attack at the airport of Istanbul, the perfect one of these lured by terrorists Catelyn, even more was to convince the Turkish leadership in such need.
It is also important that Erdogan no longer requires the definitive withdrawal of Assad agreed to the settlement of the situation around Aleppo. Ankara is ready to abandon support for extremist groups and to start real negotiations of the moderate opposition to Assad. And it’s not just words — in the North of Aleppo, government troops have managed to block the supply route of the terrorists from Turkey.
In short, Russia has managed to take total control of this wild Turkey, imagines himself the new Ottoman Empire. There is no doubt that the Turks will continue to kick and chipping stuff, and they have no faith no, but it seems that foreign policy, Ankara managed to reverse. This beautiful combination and the consequences of its implementation is to understand in detail.
What made Moscow from Ankara
The Financial Times, citing sources in the leadership of the Syrian opposition recognizes the tremendous progress of our diplomacy in the Syrian issue with Turkey. The rebel leaders, which refers to the publication on condition of anonymity, argued that the impact of the resumption of relations of Russia and Turkey will be felt by the Syrian opposition. According to them, the greatest effect of the rapprochement between Ankara and Moscow will feel the radical Islamist groups supported by Turkey: it was decided to “surrender” part of the so-called opposition, which Russia initially called terrorists and achieved, finally, from Turkey stopping their support.
As a sign of their seriousness, the Turkish authorities have already fired the chief of intelligence, who was responsible in the government of Erdogan in the Syrian direction.
The newspaper’s sources are unequivocal in stating that Turkey had made the decision to depart from the hard line against Bashar al-Assad and demands for his immediate resignation.
In addition, according to sources in diplomatic circles in Ankara before the start of a public rapprochement with Moscow, to take steps to mitigate the position in Syria. For example, Turkey through Algeria organized a private channel to discuss the Kurdish issue with the Syrian leadership.
Extremely important is the fact that, according to the President of the Center for strategic communications Dmitry Abzalov, Turkey began to destroy terrorist bases on its territory:
Now the Turkish intelligence agencies conduct mass arrests on the bases of terrorists in Istanbul and in the Southeast, near the Syrian border. They began to do what Moscow asked them to do for two years. They took custody of many immigrants from the CIS, began to really demolish their apartments, attendance, on which the rebels lived, rested, treated, and then again freely flows into Syria.
Revealing painful reaction LIH: explosions at the airport – a clear signal to Erdogan that it is not necessary to be friends with Russia.
At the same time it is also a test of the firmness of its decisions and ability to implement them: the country clearly needs competent organization of the internal national security, taking into account not only the Kurdish threat, but now the threat of ISIL and Erdogan at the time, was dismissed and imprisoned many of the officers of the leadership of the intelligence agencies, thus weakening them for political reasons.
Meanwhile at the front occurred for the main event: the Syrian army cut off the main supply routes of the militants in the North of Aleppo. This is made possible by recent changes in Erdogan’s foreign policy, which it prompted Russia’s pressure. As Sputnik reports from the battlefields, “army regained control over the farms’malley and cut off the supply of terrorists coming across the street Castillo in the North of the city, thereby locking the militants in the Aleppo (in Northern areas)”.
According to recent reports, a day in Aleppo eliminated more than 200 militants, the number of operational headquarters of the terrorists and 4 tanks.
What does this mean? While the Syrian army from hopelessness disgracefully tried to storm Raqqa, Russia purely diplomatic methods to decide the issue of Aleppo, in conjunction with Turkey and with the United States. Turkey refused, finally, the support of terrorists and stopped the supply of weapons, food and new fighters, and the US is close to complete for themselves the issue of disengagement. Thus, Russia is fighting in Syria by force of its diplomacy is much more effective than any other weapon.
Even the air base “Incirlik”, this long-standing regional jewel in the crown of the US and NATO, Turkey is ready to provide to the Russian space forces, which in itself, regardless of the decision of the Russian military, is a sensation. Such a proposal was made by the foreign Minister of Turkey Mevlut Cavusoglu:
We will cooperate with all who oppose ISIS. We fight, and we opened a base in Incirlik for those who want to actively participate in it. Why shouldn’t we just cooperate with Russia? IG for all of us is the enemy and should be fought. This is highly important for the implementation of this mechanism in life and prevent any unwanted incidents. On this topic we agreed with Sergey Lavrov.
However, several hours later, Cavusoglu refuted his own words, remembering that airbase located the aircraft of NATO countries and he can’t offer it to Russia. In General, confirmed the notorious inconstancy of the Turks, more appropriate for girls of easy virtue, than for government officials.
At the same time, according to American intelligence-analytical company Stratfor, the US also have a number of issues to make concessions to Russia. The reason was official and public statement of the administration of Barack Obama, who finally agreed to produce with Russia “exchange of information with the Russian forces and joint bombing positions of the terrorist group “dzhebhat an – Nusra”*.
The publication stresses that in the case of the implementation of the agreement in question, the position of the forces fighting against the government in Damascus, seriously worsen:
“The agreement also suggests the beginning of U.S. and Russian forces joint bombing of positions dzhebhat an-Nusra”, which is a key element in terms of the combat capability of the rebels. And this, too, is a concession to Russia, which is rigidly pointed US to the fact that a significant portion of the rebel force is a extremist elements”.
How did you manage to change the policy of Turkey
Russia took advantage of the fact that Turkey at some stage managed to spoil relations with all its key partners. The EU was removed from a blatant blackmail on the issue of refugees and even hinted to Erdogan serious consequences, declaring recently on the investigation of war crimes. Russia Turkey pushed herself, believing with the Western colleagues that those will cover it and that Russia will not respond.
But Russia responded — and systematically on all fronts, and Western colleagues as if nothing had happened left the Turkey alone with the recent problems that severely hit the Turkish economy. And then there’s the USA continued its strategic game with the Kurds, the geopolitical significance which explains the expert Abzalov:
Turkey clearly wants to solve the issue with Syria, in particular the issue of Aleppo, around which now there are major fights. The US made a bet on the Kurds in great Kurdistan that is fatal to the Turkey. Most Iranian pipeline runs through Kurdish land. In the end, Turkey will overcome and oil, and from the Middle East. In fact, Turkey will be closed between the two seas and the Kurds. The effect of this would be appropriate. The choice now Turkey is not very large. If the American scenario with the Kurds will be implemented and the Kurds seriously increase, Turkey will never Turkomans, she herself will have to save.
Thus, Moscow unobtrusively helped Turkey painted themselves into a corner, and after this offered her a way out, but on their own terms and under tight control. Turkey remained nothing how to agree, because otherwise she has actually been eliminated from the Syrian games, which until recently was expected to play a major role. With the advent of major players in Turkey, quickly and gracefully beat: States tightened her stranglehold on the neck in the form of the Kurds, and Moscow, offering assistance in exchange harshly demanded the implementation of their conditions.
Seven months of “blockade” and Erdogan gave in Moscow. Washington did not offer him anything other than complete removal from the Syrian games and from all routes. Moscow has promised to keep Ankara’s ability to influence in exchange for loyalty at the moment and the cooperation in the peaceful question and solution of “an-Nusra” and its supply.
Thanks to the “polite” forced Turkey to cooperate with Russia finishes building a complex system in the region, which will help to ensure a political settlement in Syria and to reduce the intensity of conflicts in the middle East.
Thus, Russia once again is the international arbiter, which drives the warring parties to engage in constructive dialogue and heals wounds with minimal military intervention. While the United States continues a policy of insane power and quarreled with many countries of the region: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey — Middle East countries turned to Russia as a new authoritative power in the region and in the international arena. While the United States have wreaked havoc and scattered around the world and terrorists, Russia shows a master class of how to settle such conflicts and to restore peace and tranquility in the hot spots.
Author: Albert Naryshkin
