Victor Marakhovskii
A major inner turmoil of the first half in Russia was the lack of inner turmoil.
No, we cannot say that the Russian public does not give the reasons. Reasons and shimmy come in the same rhythm, and even most of the former: that Olympians are again repressed for Meldonium, that the prisoner N. Y. White went on hunger strike in prison, but the state Duma passed the horrible anti-terrorism package.
The only thing missing here for social upheaval — is the participation of society.
The arrest of Nikita Yurievich citizens held kindly mystery of “What the eyes fear, the hands glow” anti-terrorist package no reserve, and the Olympic repression — evoke emotions strong, but absolutely not like a desperate premonition of the imminent end.
As a consequence, we observe interesting changes in the domestic “apocalyptic journalism”. Looming, according to her, the Motherland is close disaster first began to hang back with the usual “this fall” in a more distant future. Sometime later
Patriotic wizard of the genre are still trying to assign the fall of the state on any “polisleri” year (“I have some idea of what kind of thoughts must now revolve in the mind of Russian big business. How do you think these people will do now? In the summer of 2018 Spring before monitoring”).
Masters of liberal, it seems, do not believe in the apocalyptic potential of Big Business. That is why announce in Chocolate loft in the hipster heart of the city of Moscow budget workshops “on how to survive the Putin era and how to be a revolutionary, not leaving the couch” (I’m not exaggerating, in announcements and written).
…The reasons for the Imminent Russian Apocalypse loses out is deemed, for several reasons.
The first reason is that we did not take off too many Apocalypses in a row. Parade cancelled death state, which opened the imminent collapse of the sanctions in 2014, continuing in 2015 the upcoming coup from Big Business, hunger and devastation from falling oil, a terrible military disaster in Syria and so on — on each turn loses viewers just because of all the collapse does not occur.
The second reason, somewhat paradoxical — consists in the fact that sanctions and the falling oil really complicated the lives of millions of citizens. However, not led to a social explosion, as predicted by the masters of apocalyptic journalism, and to the opposite effect. In other words — distracted many more of yesterday’s ojidala collapse on a much more practical problem of immediate survival, depriving potential revolutionary mass mass.
The third reason is purely geographical. Those who felt the impossibility of the special atmosphere in the country and the intransigence of its course over the past two or three years merged abroad, from the Baltic to London from Spain to Pattaya.
What is important is that it was not “the outcome of the elite” or “the flight of the rich” as you would think. No: in addition to incompatibility with the idea of survival in Russia — representatives of the new Russian self there is no unifying characteristic.
Drove off those who dared to invest a quarter million euros in the European economy.
But I pulled away and those who are in poverty now a student in cheap Baltic universities.
Drove away those who bought a Victorian house in the South of the British capital.
But I pulled away and those who passed her grandmother’s apartment on Frunze, served on a warm cheap beach and lives there for the difference.
Total – 200-300 thousand, the same “enzyme of the Apocalypse”, who regularly and noisily waiting for the end in previous years.
Apocalyptic commentators like to compare 2016 1916-m. Well, that’s about as if in exile has served not only Oneglia leaders of the revolutionary parties, but also all the basic cells of all the parties, all the agitators, all the underground and sailor Zhelezniak
Of course, you can imagine the Twitter revolution-but it is extremely difficult to imagine a revolution in the genre of the online petition that produce outsourced immigrants in shorts.
…And finally, the fourth reason for the fall in rating of Emergency of the Russian Apocalypse — in a rather severe lack of talent all the main prophets.
The whole thing is that all their prophecies all these years, reduced to the most General scheme:
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That is, simply put — apocalyptic journalism is still not a clearly stated mechanism for this very fast collapse. That is, it is, but as the “da Vinci helicopter” — no motor. As a key element of all time is a black Swan that suddenly will come up and bite weakened colossus of clay under the knees.
While the above mentioned writers have consistently appointed the sudden black Swan the economic club of the United States, a revolt of the oligarchy, that even some units of the Ukrainian cyborgs volunteers or nuclear strike from the Sixth Fleet (the ones that now sell tickets to his lectures on “surviving the Putin era”).
Without this sudden “agent of chaos” scheme does not work, and a realistic candidate for him no longer visible.
…In fact, the crisis of Russian apocalyptic thought there is one little risky, but very apt analogy – the fate of the sect “Jehovah’s Witnesses” that emerged under the brand “We calculated the date of the end of the world, and it is very close”
The biggest success of the sect in history was the 1914 year. It is on this year at the beginning of the twentieth century it has appointed Armageddon. And when, in 1914, indeed broke the world war in the ranks of the sect pushed. Then, when the world collapsed, the leaders of the organization managed to successfully steer through the explanation that “the Apocalypse has begun, he’s just long. During the life of a generation from 1914 the end of the world just happen, wait and be ready every minute”.
Maximum number of this otherwise extremely dull — the organization has made in the early 90’s, when the age of the “generation of 1914” closer to life expectancy.
And since 1995, Jehovah’s witnesses are experiencing a constant decline. They suffer from leaking talent and not even try to appoint a new interesting ending date – just monotonously saying that the world is heading into the abyss under the plan.
