The thesis that America wants “on the cheap” give us Ukraine is in serious doubt
The Internet has stirred up the article by V. Bochkarev, “the Covenant Lavrov-Kerry: secret Protocol”. The article presents the interview with doctor of political Sciences, Professor of Moscow state University. M. V. Lomonosov, a member of the Scientific Council under the security Council of the Russian Federation, Andrey manoylo.
The Internet space is boiling. Everybody argues there’s a Protocol or not? Although this is, actually, not especially important. All treaties with the West, and especially USA and England, are not worth the paper on which they are written. This confirms as a historical practice, and the practice of the last years. Just because a respected doctor of political Sciences, in my opinion, overly optimistic in its conclusions.
States after brilliant operation in Syria must at all costs be kept in very important to them, the region, because they can now promise anything. However, once their immediate task is completed, they immediately forget all their promises. And before that they will perform them in name only, playing different political shows, doing fraud and delay time.
Perhaps, this Protocol really is. Even, most likely, is. But the situation in Syria is approaching a logical conclusion. For the Americans in this region in the short term, it is important: to retain control over the largest possible number of territories, to prevent the final defeat of ISIS and other, created with the support of Washington, terrorist formations, called the opposition, and any way to get rid of Assad. If they perform the triad task, in the medium term will return to their, now lost, of the position in full. In all other regions, is important for Russia, which is now under the control of the situation keeping the States, it is important to tighten the process as possible, not allowing there to restore the influence of Russia, until 2018 (the following will become clear why).
Let’s start in order.
<ol>
the <li>Baltic States</li>
</ol>
Judging by the words of a distinguished Professor, the Baltic States must regain control of Russia… But how will this happen in life? The Baltic countries – members of EU and NATO. States they are going from there to eliminate? Never. Yes, they can, nothing fearing, to reduce its presence there. And then just as easy to build it there. They can show to demand that the governments of these countries to stop oppression of Russian-speaking population. And governments can not hear does not listen to Ukrainian junta (and I’m sure according to them the orders). After which the representatives of the States, again on display, helplessly will shrug, saying that we wanted, and they are… In all three Baltic countries Russophobia rolls. And it takes years and years of hard work actors media, culture and education, to change this unfortunate situation in favor of Russia, i.e. to return to the world Russian people’s souls, and then to establish control over the countries of the region, through “soft power.” Americans know it, and therefore ready to give Russia the Baltic countries, in the short term, it will be impossible to take. Ie you can, but against the wishes of the majority of inhabitants of the region, violating the norms of international law that carries the entire “pack” associated with this way of establishing control of the negative.
Now NATO in the Baltic region, again on the show, flexes its muscles and escalate the situation. This is a red herring, so we might suspect that the Alliance in there plotting something big against Russia, and think that the Baltic States for Russia more important than distant Syria. NATO, of course, is always plotting something against Russia, but this time not in the Baltic States, where to play someone else’s hands will not work, and only his, and only in the forehead. And in this game NATO will not go, because he knows he will lose. Besides in this game the countries of the Baltic States will be in ruins, and to restore them have the EU and NATO, which for them in conditions of permanent crisis, it is very costly.
Another thing – Ukraine…
<ol>
the <li>Ukraine</li>
</ol>
The thesis of the distinguished professors that America wants “on the cheap” give us Ukraine, to put it mildly, highly questionable.
Ukraine – in every sense the greatest victory of States in the former Soviet Union. Yes, the corruption, Yes, expensive, Yes, unmanaged, when we are talking about something constructive. But it is completely obedient when it comes to such things as war, destruction, raiding, and the sale of their lands, the destruction of their own industry, etc., Ukraine is the ideal platform for implementation of dirty plans of all States against Russia and against the EU too! At the same time Ukraine is the source of gratuitous labor, resources, chernozemov for “Monsanto” and “DuPont” attended to “Westinghouse”, the tool control policy of the EU with gas pipes and not just ports, which can wonderfully settle down NATO’s Navy and hot source of Russophobia, which has a population almost totally fluent in the language, i.e. it can be relatively easily introduced into the Russian society with the purpose of sabotage and terrorism. Is the cost of the States do not pay off such powerful advantages? Yes, many times! States for many years purposefully worked hard to create on the borders with Russia the outbreak of chaos and bleeding wound they have achieved. And now just take and go?
Promise and fulfill the promise is two big differences as speak in Odessa.
The situation in Ukraine can not be resolved without military action. Is that only with the overthrow of the US-controlled regime of Pro-Russian forces. But since now in Ukraine all Pro-Russian forces crushed and defeated, and those who are trying to organize themselves, calculated and destroyed in the Bud, the overthrow of the regime, if they happen, only on the ordering of States, with the most radical and ruthless of the Nazis, which ultimately will make the military denouement inevitable. The production of the Nazis in Ukraine put on the flow – rate of Ukrainian children this ideology starts with nursery groups, kindergartens. Zazombirovanny parents can do nothing to oppose this. This circumstance makes the process of moving Ukraine from Russia – with each new generation of seething hatred of morons the amount of Pro-Russian people in Ukraine melts away like snow in the sun.
States promise, as do their NATO trainers are trained Ukrainian warriors, on the line of contact in Donbas echelons with military equipment and manpower, in which there are Western mercenaries. Nuland to the show commands to perform the Minsk agreement, and then escalating on the line of the Donetsk front. In the case of Ukraine, Russia will be able to take the promise States only with the gun in his hand. Actually, how could do this even 2 years ago, promises of the States. Image loss would be approximately equal, and the human and material much less. But the opportunity was missed, and now we must proceed from reality.
Plays on the idea of States – they need to retain in the middle East as many tools and areas of influence. And how can less and less to give for it in return. In the case of Ukraine it will be war-torn areas that we will be able to return with the help of DNR and LNR with weapons in their hands. Where they will have time to walk, until will address issues in the middle East – our. There were certain hopes for a scenario of federalization that all regions were able to hold a referendum on the type Krymskogo and make your choice. But under the current dictatorship of arbitrariness, violence and control is hardly feasible. The country with the help of inhuman cruelty is kept in the unnatural condition of unity, because in fact Washington federalization is not necessary – there are well aware of what she was going to end. States, understanding that you will not be able to keep all of Ukraine for a long time, especially to us narrow corridor of possibilities, leaving only a military solution to the problem that, if we were to give something to Russia, the maximum damage to her. If this is considered “on the cheap”, then what is full price?
***
The hope is that with the arrival of a new President in the White house, US policy toward Russia will change is illusory and harmful. The US President is not an independent quantity, and the “talking head” of transnational corporations, especially the Armory, and financial capital, which is imposed “new world order”. If the President of the United States will act against their interests, against him the hands of the same ISIS will be made a successful attack, and everything will return to normal. For the arms of the magnates of the war – a way of life. For financial capital – Russia and China – the key obstacles on the path to world domination. Therefore, while there will be USA, they will seek to eliminate these obstacles to your goal. Because any conciliatory notes toward Russia, with their high-sounding stands, is like the yellow light: “Caution! Get ready! They devised a new meanness”. Other meaning in their fake smiles no. Remember their rhetoric when Gorbachev camarilla felled the Soviet Union: it was very courtesy and friendly, decorated with sequins praise. The result for the country was tragic.
***
Because, in my opinion, worth as much as possible to delay the situation in Syria, not allowing there States to achieve its goals. To provide the DNI and the LC everything necessary for rapid progress, and as soon as Odessa and Kharkiv they will be relieved to recognize Novorossia as a state. If such an attack is possible only after the elections in DND and LNR, they should spend, as soon as possible, not looking back at the antics of the Kiev junta. The Minsk agreement, which was a big plus, giving the Donbass Republics an opportunity to organize their own state, now began to work exclusively on the United States. The priority direction of advance of the armies of the DNI and the LC has to be South to cut off Ukraine from the Black sea and to liberate Odessa. If by 2018 the Odessa oblast will become part of Novorossia, of Russia, speaking the language of chess, will be delivered “plug”, which could entail very serious consequences.
<ol>
the <li>Bermuda triangle on the Dniester</li>
</ol>
For anybody not a secret that the US rapidly implement the plan by Oniria itaiwan Moldova to Romania. They do this in order to, on the one hand, to turn Romania into a powerful lever of influence in the EU, and, on the other – to make it impossible for Russia to restore its influence in the region. They plan to join Romania now Ukrainian Bessarabia in the South and in the North of Chernivtsi, the rebellious Transnistria to pay for some of the cleanup, and in Odessa to host the NATO fleet. It can easily happen if the Odessa region do not have time to formally pass under the control of the new Russia, and in fact under the control of Russia. The implementation plan States Unirea scheduled for 2018. They are well aware that in the event of the plan’s implementation in Moldova will occur at least three hot spots: Transdniestria, Gagauzia and Northern parts of the country together with the Balti. All three regions adjacent to Ukraine, which is fully under the external control of the US. Given that Bessarabia and Transnistria on public sentiment exclusively Pro-Russian regions, is not difficult to assume that the conflict will immediately seize these territories. Chernivtsi region is relatively neutral and is unlikely to have a resistance of Romania in contrast to the adjacent Northern areas of Moldova. It is very likely that Romania will get their hands on with a soft power or a corresponding agreement with Ukraine. The Pro-Russian performances in Moldova and Gagauzia will begin to suppress with the help of Romanian troops (no wonder that NATO constantly conducts exercises of Romania, and recently placed there and its combat aircraft), and Transnistria – by the hands of some of the. Because of its isolation from Russia, these, geographically small regions are unlikely to long resist the regular army, supported by NATO. Transnistria because of the deployment of a limited contingent of Russian troops, most likely, will resist longer, but due to the small depth of the territory (30-70 km – 1 tank shot) and the absence of common border with Russia this resistance, most likely, is doomed to failure, followed by the merciless sweep of the territory of the Ukrainian fascists. NATO, seizing the moment, I will not fail “exclusively in the peace purposes” to enter in the ports of Odessa and Ilyichevsk its fleet, which take in the sights of the Crimea, the South and part of Eastern Ukraine, thereby preventing the expansion of new Russia to the West, and the most limiting Russia’s influence in the Black sea.
To save Transnistria can only advance it, at least – recognition of Russia, as a maximum – inclusion it in structure of Russia. To win the region in General, Russia can only help the liberation army of the DNI-LNR Odessa oblast to the date of implementation of the plan Unirea. If we allow the situation to develop according to the plans of the state Department, Russia will lose this region for a long time, if not forever. The entire black sea region will turn to Russia in a closed space, and for NATO will be the venue for a possible big war, foreign hands on foreign soil.
<ol>
<p>the black sea region as a possible theater of war</li>
</ol>
On the map it is clearly visible that in case of loss “the Bermuda triangle on the Dniester, Russia is finally losing the perspective and in the southern regions of Ukraine and Crimea with the black sea fleet is trapped in the narrow limits of their own waters. It is obvious that he gets in the ring hostile to Russia and controlled by the States States.
The map shows us that the next move of the United States in the geopolitical struggle with Russia will fight for Crimea, the final elimination of Russia from the Transnistrian region and possible destabilization of the situation in Transcaucasia, the Northern Caucasus, in the Krasnodar region and the Kuban. Thus, after the confrontation, the middle Eastern centre against moves in the black sea region.
Of all countries in the region one of Bulgaria at the level of public sentiment sympathizes with Russia, despite the fact that at the official level because of his weakness, she inevitably crossed herself, and sighing, will play on America’s side.
Turkey eternal enemy of Russia in its geopolitical situation. And eternal heir to the Ottoman Empire, filled with aspirations for its revival. And no matter what contradictions did not arise from it with USA and NATO, in the case of their confrontation with Russia, it will be on their side. Therefore, we should not delude ourselves that the new President, if any, will maintain in relation to Russia’s policy different than Erdogan. While Turkey is in the hands of the Straits, which at any moment may be closed to Russian ships. In violation of international norms, the United States and the European public in this case, unison will close my eyes.
Georgia, in which the United States as well as in Odessa, intending to place its fleet, for a long time turned them into the enclave, designed to pursue American interests in Transcaucasia and the Northern Caucasus. These are regions that due to the export of terrorism and weapons to destabilize much easier than all the others, because they focus much more easily combustible plots than in all other regions.
Azerbaijan is trying to pursue “multi-vector policy”, how many years did the Ukraine, while older brood of Nazis, and is now beginning to do and Belarus, in case of a military conflict in the black sea region, most likely, will side with Turkey because of the mental of community, coincidence of many interests, and unmet ambition for Nagorno-Karabakh.
About Ukraine mostly been said above. It remains only to emphasize that in all Pro-Russian regions in the conditions of brutal Pro-American dictatorship to revolt from within will fail. While support for Russia in them every year, will melt due to the fact that there is now hard started to grow Russophobic sentiments. In the Kherson region are actively strengthening our Pro-Turkish forces. Supposedly clownish blockade of the Crimea, organized and stoned the Nazi Tatar militants, in fact, except the primitive, corporate business, has deep political meaning. With this blockade the insurgents prevents the possibility of a hidden transfer of Russian forces in the Kherson region, and hence nullify the prospect of the uprising in this region. They need to hold out until Unirii events in Moldova. And the Americans – to prevent this period of the offensive of the armies of the DNI and LC, and leave them in their current borders. That, in fact, they are now trying to do. If not possible, then to limit this attack only release junta occupied territories of Donbass. What might the state Department and agree, bargained yourself for this preferences in the middle East and apparently not only there. In this case, the States for implementing their ambitious plan at any price is necessary to retain the Odessa and South of Ukraine. With this configuration and a good operation on the Dniester they may, in the course of events in 2018 and will be able to return the Donbass, especially if the DNI and LC will be retained at the former border. When you begin to unfold the dramatic events on the Dniester, the Ukrainian army will certainly go on the offensive all along the border with Donbas. The smaller this length, the easier, the APU will succeed. And in diplomacy, Russia will be faced with a choice: either Ukraine or Transnistria or Odessa and Bessarabia, neither of Moldova and Gagauzia it would not have to go. The loss followed by mopping up the some of even one of these regions is fraught for the Russian government a loss of trust and credibility among the people.
2018 is the time of the presidential elections, which at such developments with a high degree of probability may end in the marsh Maidan with all its consequences. It is because Unirea Moldova by the Americans is scheduled for 2018.
To prevent a dramatic turn of events can only output all of the southern regions of Ukraine, including Odessa oblast, from the Ukraine and their inclusion in the either the new Russia or Russia, and the sooner the better. Real implementation of this task, I see only through an offensive in the West the armies of the DNI and LC. Perhaps there are some other ways to achieve the desired result, which I simply do not see or underestimate. But in this case it is important not the way, and the result is: the South of Ukraine and Odessa region, as a minimum, must come under the control of Russia, but at the latest by 2017. Otherwise, it will unfold a chain of events that could lead to the defeat and collapse of Russia.
