Sudden friendship. Why Turkey went for the restoration of relations with Russia
June 28, 11:56
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Vladimir Frolov, an Expert in international relations
Vladimir Putin can burn itself into an asset another brilliant foreign policy victory. Turkish President Erdogan has brought the long-awaited personal apology for the downed Russian su-24 and the death of the pilot Peshkova. In Turkish the message is made by the majority of Russian conditions: an apology, a promise to punish those responsible for the death of the pilot. However, to compensate for the downed bomber, the Turkish authorities suddenly changed his mind.
However, this intelligent and politically courageous step by the Turkish leader was not a surprise. The exact terms of the normalization of relations was marked by Vladimir Putin in April in the direct line with the President. This was followed by an exchange of secret messages under the mediation of Algeria, a change of government in Turkey and the statements of the new Prime Minister Yildirim’s intention to “expand the circle of friends of Turkey”, and then the first message of Erdogan to Putin for Russia Day on June 12 where the intent to restore relations to the level they deserve”.
Of course, we can say that the hard line with Putin’s ultimatum demands, willingness to ignore their own economic losses and uncompromising where affected the prestige and honor of Russia, paid off. The world presented a lesson what would happen if against Russia and its citizens to use armed force. Here the Russian propaganda has a powerful energy charge for a long period. The already high public support for foreign policy and the Russian President personally renew sociological records.
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But on close examination it will be visible also expressed Moscow’s restraint in reactions. Managed to avoid the worst – a direct military response to the inevitable sequel, which could result in a major conflict. Instead, sacrificed the interests of the Russian tourists, Turkish builders and consumers of Turkish food.
The sound of the fight against oil smuggling banned in Russia ISIS through Turkey (actually oil from Iraqi Kurdistan to Israel) bombed what they could from the Turkish assets among the Syrian opposition, especially from among the previously unknown Putin Turkomans in Latakia. But the main reason for the “reversal of Erdogan” were not Russian sanctions (in spite of the empty resorts of Antalya), and the “Kurdish factor” and a complete collapse of the Turkish policy in Syria and the region as a whole. Moscow also had a hand, to intensify contacts with the Kurdistan Democratic party (was it opened a representative office) and its military wing in Syria, including causing air strikes in the interests of Kurdish groups with the purpose to cut the lines of supply to the Syrian opposition and to close the border with Turkey.
