The importance of performing the contract to supply s-300 to Iran it is difficult to overestimate. The presence of the Russian SAM system in the country leads to a fundamental change in the military situation around Iran, reducing potential risks, which continue to be relevant for Tehran.
Despite considerable success in the international negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, a categorical opponent which are the United States, speaking about a final diplomatic solution is impossible. The removal of the financial sanctions against Tehran was dosed, Bank assets and property of the government of the Islamic Republic in the United States remain frozen, except for the amount of 50 billion dollars. Money alone will not allow Tehran to meet the immediate economic needs, which, according to the US require ten times larger amount.
In other words, you can only talk about some positive signals between Iran and U.S., coupled with middle East allies, while the overall situation remains fragile. On 7 April for consideration the upper chamber of Congress a bill was introduced, which prohibits the President to sanction Iran for access to cash transactions involving U.S. dollars. Two weeks earlier, the United States imposed sanctions on Missile command Islamic revolutionary guard Corps and two industrial enterprises of Iran that participate in the missile programme of the country.
March 10, the U.S. court ordered the government of Iran to pay the families of the victims of the terrorist attack of September 11, 2001 compensation in the amount of more than 10.5 billion dollars. The judge ruled that Tehran “was not able to prove their innocence to the provision of assistance to the organizers of the attack”.
In addition, the situation could worsen after the autumn elections, the President of the United States. According to American political traditions, the administration of the new President is not always considered it necessary to retain de facto foreign policy of his predecessors. And the most rating candidates like Donald trump right to call Iran a sponsor of international terrorism and a country that threatens the US allies in the middle East.
These concerns are confirmed by the U.S. state Department, mark Toner immediately after reports of Iran’s acquisition of first samples of s-300 said that the US opposition to Iran obtaining “such advanced defense systems.” It is logical to assume that the fear of the defense systems must, above all, the one who is going to attack.
Geopolitical defense
Although to take the supply of s-300 solely to the strengthening of defence capabilities in Iran would be wrong — Russian AAMS will provide Tehran large and multi-faceted potential. Chief among them is Washington, and neighbors will no longer be able to conduct a dialogue with Iran from a position of strength.
The discussion of Iran’s nuclear programme and its other independent projects constantly been accompanied by discussions in Western analytical circles and the media that it is more appropriate to negotiate with Tehran, or simply bomb the whole nuclear infrastructure of the country, thus solving the problem.
That second option is not an exotic theory, saying current events in Syria. The Israeli air force 2013 strike targets in Syrian territory, which, in the opinion of the Israeli government, the danger. The state’s own air defence Iran more impressive, but to create a robust anti-aircraft “umbrella” covering at least key infrastructure, Tehran has not been able. As a rule, stake on the number.
In November last year principal adviser to the commander of the Islamic revolutionary guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran, General Hassan Karimpour told that Iran is the only country in the world where every 20 km away air defense system. According to him, the number of air defense systems reaches 3.5 thousand, and soon their number will be increased to 5.5 thousand
Such a wild number of air defense systems can only talk about the extreme inefficiency of each individual. To modern air defense systems to Iran can be attributed to the Russian “tor M1 and Pantsir-S1” divisional managers the total number to 40 units who stand on duty if the most valuable objects of Iran. Deliveries With-300 to Iran qualitatively change the nature and depth of the air defense of Iran.
“Recently we had discussions about the scale of the potential attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, but with supplies of s-300 this question is no longer relevant. Our personnel and equipment will be at great risk from the performance of military tasks will be more complex and time-consuming”, — reported in the departmental report of Colonel in the U.S. air force Clint Henot in 2015.
The enemies of Iran are a wide potential means to influence projects, such as computer virus Stuxnet a few years ago resulted in physical damage to the equipment for uranium enrichment, rejecting Iran’s nuclear program back several years. However, purely military threats can be considered to be minimized — the loss of any coalition aircraft during attack on Iran will be measured in tens.
In addition, Iran obtains the ability to control not only their own airspace and neighbouring areas, including large regional U.S. bases and civil airports. For example, the American naval base in Bahrain is at a distance of 240 km from the southern borders of Iran, i.e. in the detection area 300 of up to 300 km.
The common good
Assessing the resumption of deliveries With-300 to Iran, the Western media write about “the end of an era of non-risky strikes”. Of particular concern, as reported by the magazine Stern in February this year, calls herself a trend — because Russia has refused to undertaken in good faith unilateral commitments and is ready to supply air defense systems to a variety of buyers, resulting in the world map are “no-go zone” for Western countries. Deputy Secretary General of NATO Alexander Vershbow during the Munich conference on security called these areas “major problem” for the Alliance.
In Syria, Russia is protecting its military installations, but thanks to “the offensive policy of Russian weaponry” and the popularity of Russian weapons modern air defense system may occur in those places which “have little in common with the Russian security interests”, warns the magazine.
Russian air defense systems are primarily a problem for the US, whose global dominance is based largely on the ability to project military force by means of 11 groups of aircraft carriers.
Until recently, this technology worked. However nearer the time for the invasion of the country will not need a carrier, but a full-fledged, expensive, and dangerous to the organizer of the operation. And this — albeit in an unexpected way — will lead to greater stability in the world.
