In that moment, when all the world’s attention drawn to the dire situation in Syria, the US and Russia to work out an agreement on the cessation of hostilities there and the joint fight against DAISH, the situation in another destroyed by the efforts of the West the state of Libya – continues to evolve as not the most favorable.
Externally, the political process is not interrupted, despite the conviction on August 22 from the internationally recognized Parliament in Tobruk vote of confidence in the government of national consensus, and therefore, de facto, and the Presidential Council.
Moreover, on September 5-6 in the resort suburb of Gammarth Tunisia under the auspices of the special representative of the UN Secretary-General for Libya M. Cobbler held a consultation of the members of the Committee on the Libyan political dialogue. Among the participants of the consultation were, on the one hand, the head of the Presidential Council and the national consensus government (NTC) Faiz Sarraj, other members of the presidential Council, and 13 members of the Parliament in Tobruk.
The main theme of the consultations: what you need to do to overcome veto tobrucka of Parliament on the government. The main concession on the part of F. Saraga – he agreed to reformat his office. Arab media reported, citing a source involved in the consultations that the head of the government stated that it would take into account the observations expressed by Parliament in Tobruk about what the new government needs to shrink, it must be capable to present different regions of Libya.
However, it remains unclear how far are willing to go F. Sarraj to meet the demands of deputies from Tobruk. And the views of parliamentarians expressed very different and sometimes quite radical, up to changing the entire composition of the Cabinet and the Presidential Council. Some even offered to dissolve a nine-member Presidential Council, which, according to some deputies, malodeesposobnoe (two of the nine members resigned). There was some discussion about adjusting Sheratsky agreements dated 17 December 2015, on the basis of which was formed by the Executive authorities in Libya. But as a result of discussions on this topic, as stated by one of the participants of the dialogue Parus EN-Nyasa, refused. Powers of F. Saraga for the most part under question was not raised.
One of the members of the Committee on the Libyan dialogue, a former member of the General national Congress Tawfiq al-Shehabi generally demanded that the presidential Council assumed full responsibility for the correction of errors which he had committed from the receipt of power. However, he acknowledged that the problem of preventing the formation of a “government consent” is politically motivated and is not connected with legal or constitutional issues.
In addition to the above issues, the consultation also discussed ways of forming a unified army in Libya, the problems in the service sector, Finance, restoration of export of oil and electricity.
The results of these consultations at a press conference on 7 September M Kobler was forced to admit that Libya is facing great challenges, the main of which is the formation of an effective government. Behind these words is clearly a recognition that in fact, the dialogue came to nothing.
The weak consolation is that on the sidelines of the meeting of the Committee on the Libyan political dialogue, the members of the dialogue Committee between the cities of Misurata and Tawergha (38 km South from Misrata) signed with the assistance of the UN mission for support of Libya, the draft of the armistice agreement, which States that people fled from Tawergha (more than 40 thousand people) can return to their homes. In addition, they will also be reimbursed for the damages.
Those familiar with the Libyan political situation understand that all topics discussed during the dialogue cannot be translated into practice as long as not resolved the main issue – the question of power. And it rests on the recognition of the NTC powers Tobrucka not only Parliament but also the armed forces, headed by General H. Haftarot, which claims to be the Supreme commander or the Minister of defence.
But for that to happen, we need not only the will of F. M. Zarraga or Cobbler. You need to go to the “autopsy” Shirinskogo agreement and the abolition of its article VIII, which postulates the transfer of authority of the Supreme command of the armed forces of Libya to the presidency Council, he H. Haftarah and its supporting Parliament in Tobruk strongly disagree. However, as mentioned above, the consultation until the autopsy Shirinskogo the agreement did not go, fearing, as they said, “return to zero”. To disguise this reality by some parliamentarians that the agreement on the candidacy of the Minister of defence, who will take everything, including himself, Khalifa Haftar, is “difficult”, of course, could not.
The second reality parallel to the attempts to establish a political dialogue, is that while working on the elderly, but resolute, General H. Haftarot. Not only that, he enjoys the support of a majority of the members of the Parliament (although there are also opponents who tried to unite the constantly intriguing M. Cobbler), but it still controls the main oil areas of the country, located in the sphere of its influence in the East, in the historic Cyrenaica.
Moreover, his position strengthened due to the fact that obeying the NTC militia of Misrata and failed all summer to recapture the beginning of Hajj and the Eid al-Adha, as they promised, the city of Sirte, fighters DAYS. Their explanation that the militants, they say, hide behind women and children, look unconvincing given the fact that their actions are actively supported by the U.S. air force, which seems to be mercilessly bombed daishizen. General “tactfully” does not interfere, waiting for his NTC and Western countries to come to liberate Sirte and thereby to accept its indispensability in the fight against terrorism.
The political weight of the General after he withstood the pressure from the M. Cobbler and its supporting powers begin to admit some Western European countries that are trying to flirt with him.
It is clear that until the Libyan crisis is still very far away and if satisfying all the leading political forces and tribes, political solutions are not found, then the country will in the best case section, and at worst chaos and new attempts of foreign occupation.
