The conflict between the USA and Saudi Arabia becomes more rigid. It broke out in April in the backdrop of reviewing the question of reduction of volumes of oil-exporting countries. If the States suddenly accused the Saudis in the terrorist attacks of September 11. Those in the answer have threatened to withdraw capital from the United States to sell the assets for $750 billion After an “altercation” in the end, the United States began to move closer to Iran, which again is not like Saudi Arabia. But the Saudis do not give up and continue to bend the line against the hegemony — threatening rise in oil prices in the Asian direction, and the “world’s policeman” at this time sums up the official soil under the “terrorism” of its middle East ally. About the “kitchen” of this conflict was the Director of the Department of the Institute of innovative development Darya Mitina.
— What is the reason of aggravation of the conflict between the US and Saudi Arabia, where it all began?
— Saudi Arabia — is a phenomenon that would not have taken place without the active assistance and support of the United States. Their current opposition — from the “I gave birth to you, I’ll kill you”. Saudi Arabia keeps its tight grip on the entire middle East because of the oil resources that the US has helped them to develop, because of the strong banking sector and a large amount of money. The Saudis blew a big soap bubble, which is covered by the religious authorities, the fact that in the country there are cult for any Muslim places, Mecca and Medina. That’s what they formally justify their claims to leadership.
In fact, Saudi Arabia is as a “middle Eastern Switzerland”. It is a country with virtually no production, but there’s a huge amount of money from oil. The Saudis take an active part in oil pricing, which is critical to all resursoemkih countries. They shape the oil market due to its exclusive position, and, of course, none of this would have happened if at the time Saudi Arabia was not oil US satellite.
Now, because the process of reformatting the Middle East, USA reconsider many principles — including their preferences and interests in the middle East. In particular, we see a thawing of relations with Iran is a clear shot of Saudi Arabia. But she is to survive, of course, cannot, because Iran is able to build alternative ways of transporting raw materials. A confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, which can be characterised as a Shiite, a Sunni, is the struggle for economic and political control over the region.
— And how changing policies of the United States against Saudi Arabia, what are the reasons?
— Now the States first decided to exchange coins. If earlier it was a game only one gate – Saudi – now, in connection with the American-Iranian warming, of course, Saudi Arabia is still very much not satisfied. “Neponyatki” with the United States will continue, but it will be “odd”, because, of course, all the regional power of the Saudis is based on the us support. And no one is going to lose it.
Of course, much will depend on the subjective factor, because the current ruling family of Saud has problems with the succession to the throne, there now will unfold the interesting political events that will impact including the whole regional situation.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia got involved in a completely unsuccessful for the war in Yemen, which it win not. Yemenis she was not able to win ever. In addition, she engaged in a confrontation with Iran and indirectly affect the military situation in Syria. All obligations – financial and military – burdensome and excessive for the Saudi ruling house, so the inevitable political crisis, the inevitable political change in Saudi Arabia itself. I think that in the near future we will see new blocks between the middle East countries.
— Well, why the Saudis prevented the United States? The hegemon which changes the scheme of work in the middle East?
Because this scheme is outdated. As a result of running processes of the “Arab spring” the absolute dominance of the Saudis moved. And USA realized that they can no longer rely on the Saudis to maintain its influence in the region. There are new actors, new interests, thawed out a “sleeping” processes in other countries.
Besides, we cannot ignore Russia’s military intervention in Syria, Moscow has indicated there finally your interest. And European countries are actively involved in middle East policy since the beginning of the Arab spring: France remembered his former colony Syria, Italy remembered their lost influence and so on.
The political field of action has become much more diverse. And unconditional supremacy of the USA is coming off a little on “no”, although, of course, to bury in this respect the United States early, they, of course, at all affect.
— As for the US — they threaten the Saudis that will declare them guilty in the attacks, and then it will be in the hands of the Democrats in the States. But what exactly binds the Democrats and the Saudis, why in this tangle of contradictions is not seen Republicans?
— I don’t think they will really declare them guilty, rather it is a form of pressure, blackmail, and because of the events of the past 15 years. Naturally, the publication of such “sensations”, from the point of view of the international situation, there is little that will bring in this palette, it’s just political pressure from the US, which is very much to the pre-election context. Now any political statement and any political action that comes from Washington, of course, closely linked to the electoral process. The Democrats, it is important to maintain their position, not to lose to the Republicans, therefore, such statements and threats designed to vnutriukrainskie the context to a much greater extent than international. In the international public opinion all points over “i” apart, from each country and the regional bloc have a point of view on the causes and the culprits of this tragedy 2001
— That is, Democrats in this story win only because it was under their President this question arose?
— Any designation of an active foreign policy positions beneficial for Democrats, because they have a lot of mistakes and failures. A lot of the so-called military-political campaigns virtually lost. So it took an offensive position against Saudi Arabia. It’s such a win-win partner, who still never going anywhere, because Saudi Arabia is tied to the States. Can anyone find blame in the crash of September 11 — still after the election, everything will fall into place, and, as I think the Americans, the Saudis will remain on a short leash. And the way it is. Whoever wins the election — Democrats or Republicans — Saudi Arabia cannot play an independent role without active external support — political, first and foremost.
— If it signed the bill on recognition of the guilt of the Saudis in the September 11 attacks — as it will turn the situation?
— I can hardly imagine that this will happen, because the perpetrators of this tragedy are not determined by legislation. It must be a great a very detailed investigation, the results of which will be published. If the U.S. side, of course, has such documents. I think it’s still a bluff, and Arab terrorists have been charged exactly the failures of the military leadership of the United States. And I think that the tragedy of 2001 — this man-made tragedy of the American administration, which allowed to solve many issues at once.
— In the confrontation between the US and the Saudis are constantly talking about the loss of the shale companies States. Why only about them?
— I believe that their role is exaggerated, it is this element of PR and propaganda. We don’t see shale companies played an important role. They want her to play, but until their claims are untenable. This element of the media campaign for getting your points in the future. While all on-old.
— And how will the situation unfold in Your opinion? Will we see rapprochement between the US and Iran, something else?
— I think Yes, because now in the middle East is a struggle for influence. There are a lot of countries that claim to be a power and to enter into regional blocs. And it’s harder than trying to describe it the Sunni-Shiite contradictions, and in case of successful outcome of the Syrian peace settlement and the return of Syria to the bosom of a peaceful life, it will be very help to strengthen the Syrian-Iranian bloc. This will be the prototype — at the optimum balance of forces — strong regional bloc of countries. But again, it depends on many factors: the outcome of the war in Yemen, the outcome of the internal political crisis in Saudi Arabia itself, from what will be a few years Iraq that are in Kurdistan an independent state, or the Kurdish areas will remain part of those five countries in which they live, Kurds, and many others. Yet it is difficult to predict.
— We are in this situation what to do, something from us depends on our interests in the region how serious?
— Of course, will be a great battle. Russia’s task in this case is to show yourself as an active player, to remind the world that the Soviet Union invested heavily in these countries and has always had influence there, was a sponsor of the peace process — reconciled the warring parties in various local conflicts. And I think we actively need to remind myself, must actively dig there, because we actually left little leverage to the beginning of the Syrian events, and cost us practically squeezed from the Middle East. From a military point of view were only bases in Latakia and Tartus. And it is in our interests to significantly weaken the economic and political power of Saud in the League of Arab States, where they set the tone. We see that the League gives a completely reactionary policy. This was evident in Libya, it emerged in Syria. And I think that in parallel with the political weakening of Saudi dominance, the situation in the Arab League will change.
We need to return to the middle East, and this is the challenge that Russia will decide in the near future.
