In March 2016 artificial intelligence AlphaGo from Google unconditionally defeated the world’s strongest player in the “Go” Whether Sedalia.
In April 2016 Elizabeth Parrish, Director of the American research company BioViva, became the first person, which was successfully tested anti-aging gene therapy.
With its help it is responsible for the aging areas of the chromosomes — the telomeres — have managed to “rejuvenate” for 20 years.
In the same month, Elon Musk for the first time in history planted the first stage of the rocket and SpaceX has lowered in 10 times the cost to launch spacecraft.
What scientific advances will become available to humanity through 5-10-30-50 years? To answer these questions dare Raymond Kurzweil, one of the world’s most famous futurists.
It is also known as the inventor of numerous systems for speech recognition and technical Director in the field of machine learning at Google. Many of his earlier predictions have already come true.
Is it worth it to believe?
In 1990, Kurzweil predicted that a computer would defeat a world chess champion in 1998. In 1997 Deep Blue (IBM) beat Garry Kasparov.
It is predicted that personal computers in 2010 will be to answer questions, thanks to wireless access to information via the Internet. And it has become a reality.
In 1999, Kurzweil said that in 2009 people will be able to give the computer voice commands. Although with the year he was off by a few years, in 2016 there are few who can be surprised by the possibilities Google Now, Cortana and Siri.
He also was sure that in 2009, computer displays will be integrated into the glasses, creating an augmented reality. Here, too, he missed me by a few years, but, in fact, not wrong. Microsoft has created HoloLens, a Google — Google Glass. Although, according to experts, technology is way ahead of its time.
In 2005, futurologist has predicted that in 2010 the technology will allow you to translate foreign languages in real time. Now do Skype Translate and Google Translate.
But not all of Kurzweil’s predictions came true. In 1990 he said that after 10 years, the people at home on the computer can use simple to create for themselves clothes according to your taste. And although there are already sites with similar functionality, this service is still very niche.
In 1999, he gave 10 years for mass distribution of technology, with which 99% of the text in the world will generate the voice recognition system. In 2016, such systems are only beginning to penetrate the mass market.
In 1990, futurist stated that in 2000, medknizhki people will be electronically stored in a national or international databases. But even in 2016 the implementation of this idea seems far in the future.
Whatever it was, the vast majority of the predictions of Kurzweil sooner or later come true. In a few cases it is possible to say that technological progress follows the path of the incarnation foretold by futurist technologies. And it’s interesting to read his prediction until 2099.
What technologies will appear until 2099
2019 — wire and cables for peripheral devices in any sphere thing of the past. Microcomputers will be embedded in clothing, jewelry, furniture and even in walls. The same applies to photo and video cameras — they are objects to shrink to the size of a pinhead.
Also appears the bionic retina, artificial ear and other neural implants. But they will exist in a limited number.
2020 — Internet access will be available in 85% of the earth’s surface. It will be mainly wireless and very cheap. Personal computers made computing power comparable to human brain.
2022 — in the US and Europe will take the laws regulating the relations between humans and robots.
2024 – the Elements of artificial intelligence will become mandatory in cars. People were forbidden to sit behind the wheel of a car, not equipped with computer assistants.
2025 – Wearable electronics will start being replaced implantable. We will learn how to effectively deal with the aging process and will continuously renew your life with nanobots and other technologies, which is not even a name.
2026 – Thanks to scientific progress per unit of time, we will prolong his life for longer than it took
2028 – Solar power will become so cheap and common that will satisfy the entire total energy need of humanity.
2029 – AI, not only can fully pass the Turing test, but do it better than many real people to chat with. This will be achieved through computer simulation of the human brain.
2030 – the Flowering of nanotechnology in industry that will lead to a significant reduction in the cost of production of all products.
2031 – 3D printers to print human organs will be used in hospitals of all levels.
2032 – Nanobots will perform detailed scan of the human brain that will allow you to understand the details of his work
2033 – Almost all cars will be self-administered.
2035 – Space technology will be sufficiently developed to ensure the protection of the Earth from the threat of asteroid impacts.
2036 – Using approach to biology, as to programming to the humankind will be able to program cells to treat diseases.
2037 – a Giant breakthrough in understanding the secrets of the human brain. Will be determined by hundreds of different subregions with specialized functions. Some of the algorithms that encode the development of these regions will be transcribed and included in the neural network of computers.
2038 – the Emergence of robotic people, products transhumanistic technologies. They will be equipped with additional intelligence, for example, focused on specific narrow field of knowledge, which fully cover the human brain is not capable of.
2041 – Limit Internet bandwidth will be 500 million times more than today.
2042 – the First potential realization of immortality – thanks to an army of nanobots that will complement the immune system and “clean up” of the disease.
2043 – the Human body can take any form, due to the large number of nanorobots. The internal organs are replaced with cybernetic devices much better quality.
2044 – non-Biological intelligence will be billions of times more intelligent than biological.
2045 – the onset of the technological singularity. The earth will turn into one giant computer.
2079-2099 – Humanity fills the entire Universe and coming technological singularity. This is the moment when technological progress becomes so rapid and complex that it would be impossible to understand the people of our time, but it will be clear to the people of the future. After all, they will be billions of times smarter than us.
