“The Russian President brilliant tactical intuition, he is able to capitalize on the moment, but in the strategic plan the results are almost always catastrophic,” writes in an article for Foreign Policy expert mark Galeotti, explaining that recounting the words of one of the Russians, “who formerly worked in the Kremlin”, with whom he talked in Moscow in March. The Russians called this line the “paradox of Putin”. Galeotti says: “After seven months, the Saga of Russian interference in presidential elections in the United States was perfect good example of the “paradox of Putin”.
U.S. intelligence has accused Russia of hacking e-mails of the election headquarters of Hillary Clinton and computers of the National Committee of the Democratic party. “The Russian foreign-language state media, especially the broadcaster RT and news Agency Sputnik, steadily carry out partisan line against Clinton and spread the assurances of election fraud and other frauds”, – the article says. “There are also fears, not yet confirmed evidence that the Russian side can on election day to crack the electronic system for voting,” adds the author.
According to Galeotti, these efforts had some success, but they may have very dearly.
Galeotti believes that the Russian intervention in elections in the United States had two purposes. 1) to Weaken Hillary Clinton to becoming President, she couldn’t “waste the energy for a confrontation with Putin and his overthrow”. 2) Undermining the legitimacy of American democracy, to weaken the legitimacy of the United States abroad, to discourage America’s friends and to warm up a campaign of global propaganda.
“However, just like the annexation of Crimea (resulting in sanctions and a huge loss to the state Treasury), adventure in the Donbas (which resulted in new sanctions and that Russia was dragged into costly undeclared war) and intervention in Syria (where Putin was withdrew and then changed his mind and in result got involved in another war of uncertain duration), the current achievements of Russia, apparently, will turn tomorrow’s paralyzing defeat”, – the expert believes. According to him, Russians are afraid of the US response and implications for Russian-American relations.
Hillary Clinton is a pragmatic politician, the author continues. “If Putin waited for her inauguration and offered some sort of arrangement on Syria, and perhaps even in Ukraine, she could probably at least considered. But his antics with leaks and demonize Putin, it seems, managed to convince Ms. Clinton and her entourage that the Kremlin clear and present threat to American democracy and Western unity. As I said one Washington insider, “now we should expect that the nightmares of Putin” (perhaps even tacit support for regime change in Russia, which was long rumored, says Galeotti) “will come true as soon as Hillary will go down in the Oval office,” writes the author.
According to Galeotti, in Moscow are becoming more aware that a few months malice does not justify the negative effects. “One senior person from the office of the Parliament recently have expressed to me concerns that “Russia is turning into the new South Africa,” reports the author. He meant a boycott of the apartheid regime.
“Even the security officers who orchestrated all this, have doubts,” he said. So, an analyst close to the Russian intelligence community, sincerely concerned that the potential of cyber espionage, “which could be a real treasure, in vain wasted on e-mails with continuous gossip”, reports the author.
According to Galeotti, Putin adventure went sideways because on the world stage he’s the improviser.
Seeing the weaknesses of the political system of the US elections, Putin seized the moment. “American democracy has really suffered. But Putin has also managed to create a situation in which Russia’s role is obvious and requires some response from the United States,” reads the article.
“One of the problems of the Kremlin is that Putin is an Opportunist lives today. It focuses on what you can achieve tomorrow, but don’t always think about the consequences awaiting him the next day. He’s also too confident that will maintain control of their venture”, says the expert.
However, the “Putin’s assurances that his hands are clean, look all nedostavernuyu, chaos begins to live its own life and even threaten its Creator”.
