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The hand of Moscow in the ballot box USA

The candidate in US presidents Hillari Clinton has declared that she has “credible evidence” about Moscow’s intention to influence the U.S. presidential election. On Monday, September 5, сообщилBloomberg.

About “hazard” on the part of Russia that should be addressed “quickly and reliably”, the former Secretary of state told on Board the Boeing 737 Stronger Together — it’s a plane her campaign headquarters. According to Clinton, the “threat” comes from the Russian President , Vladimir Putin. Supposedly he and his aides believe that they can obtain “some benefit”, affecting the choice of Americans.

“The fact that our intelligence experts are now studying the involvement of Moscow in the organization of cyber attacks, and taking it seriously, raises important questions about the potential of Russia’s intervention in our electoral process”, — said the candidate of the Democrats.

We recall that the accusations against Moscow were first heard after hacking the correspondence of the leadership of the Democratic party of the United States, which was published on the website WikiLeaks. From the letters it became clear that the party leadership in the primaries supported Hillary Clinton, acting to the detriment of another candidate from the Democrats — Bernie Sanders.

Democrats believe that Russia could be behind this hacking, acting in the interests of the main rival Clinton — Republican Donald trump. The FBI’s investigation regarding the hacking of the servers is still ongoing, but this did not prevent President Barack Obama to directly accuse Moscow of involvement in the hacking attack.

And on 5 September the Washington Post reported that the now Director of National intelligence James Clapper has initiated an investigation, during which the security services are searching for traces of alleged secret operations of Russia in the United States. In particular, checks the version of the Russian hackers involved in the hacking of databases registration of American voters.

For its part, Moscow has denied all accusations of meddling in the elections in the United States. So, Vladimir Putin in an interview with Bloomberg said that Russia is ready to work with any American administration.

“In order to influence the elections in the US, need to feel the nerve and peculiarities of the inner political life of the United States. I’m not sure that even our experts in the foreign Ministry feel it properly,” — said Putin.

In turn, the press Secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskovcalled the accusations “completely unfounded”.

Can a foreign power to influence presidential elections in the United States that is behind the current scandal?

— Elections are not only a key instrument of legitimation of the political regime, but also Express the consensus of the authorities, — said the Deputy Director of the Tauride information-analytical center of RISS Sergey Ermakov.

— And just in the United States this consensus is now under question. So the American presidential elections are even more important: who will win this election, he will have carte Blanche in the dispute with the opponents.

It is symptomatic that in this election, the Americans for the first time gave “good” to some full-fledged monitoring mission of observers of OSCE Office for democratic institutions and human rights (ODIHR) of the Organization for security and cooperation in Europe (OSCE). Earlier, the US government treated the ODIHR is very unfriendly, and ultimately limited the mission’s activities on its territory.

So, in 2012, the attorney General of Texas Gregg Abbott has distributed hard open letter to the ODIHR, when international observers arrived in America, to trace the course of the final stage of the presidential elections in the United States.

In his message to Texas authorities not only pointed out that “the elections and their monitoring determined solely by the laws of the state” and “the OSCE does not have the authority to visit the polls for Texas, but also threatened — “a criminal offense may be the presence of observers within 100 feet of the entrance to voting place”. Violation of this rule may lead to the arrest of employees of the OSCE, said Abbott.

The Bureau was indignant, but the next day the state Department by the head of the press service Victoria Nuland reported about the fact that the conflict of the OSCE and the authorities of Texas have been exhausted.

 

“SP”: — Why now Washington gives the OSCE observers “green street”?

— Start a little at the other end. Sadly, Russia is one of the main sponsors of the OSCE, however, the right to vote our country in this organization is very limited. Office for democratic institutions and human rights, whose headquarters is in Warsaw, and is traditionally listen primarily to the opinions of the collective West.

As a result, the ODIHR’s activities is always a powerful political subtext. The same results are quite professional observations — how is the election campaign, how free are campaigning opposition candidates, is interpreted in one direction or another depending on the political setup.

Now, Washington needs now a very good political assessment of the upcoming presidential elections. And there is no doubt that the ODIHR mission is not just to say that the US election was legitimate, but will find them to be a standard for democratic countries.

Now add to that the fact that the Clinton that Russia is trying to influence the course of American elections. In sum, in my opinion, obtained a clear conclusion: the White house seriously worried that the current elections in the US will come not by the scenario in which they have previously passed.

“SP”: — What does this mean in practice?

— It is possible that due to the lack of consensus in the American elite, at the election of the President of the United States will be a serious manipulation. And the ruling party to these manipulations ahead of time to prepare.

Stuffing information about alleged Russian efforts to influence American voters allows the White house to involve the FBI and the CIA and under the pretext of fight against imaginary Russian hacker attacks to take under tight supervision of the international observers, who can get something extra.

Moreover, worrying is the fact that these preparations were underway long before the announcement of the election results. In my opinion, this suggests that preparing a whole system of measures in the field of manipulation, and that the results of the elections in USA will be of a programmed nature. Otherwise, the results of the voting may not be in favor of the Democratic party.

“SP”: — You say that the presidential elections in the United States is prepared to manipulate from the inside. And possible manipulation from the outside?

— In theory, from the outside can be manipulated elections seriously enough. But if you look at things objectively, the United States for external manipulation is immeasurably more resources than Russia. Moreover, Moscow has virtually no tools to manipulate the opinion of the ordinary American voter. The US is not Pro-Russian media, on the platform which we could conduct propaganda, and most of the international media in America are under the control of the us administration.

Approximately the same picture with the NGOs. In Russia the law on the activities of foreign NGOs adopted relatively recently, and in America has been in place for decades. As a result, in the United States has developed a very effective system of control of foreign non-governmental organizations, including those dealing with humanitarian activities and work in the area of electoral technologies. In other words, this channel of influence on the American voter was unavailable.

In fact, neither Russia nor any other country should not affect the electoral process in the United States. This requires not only time and considerable resources, but also — and mainly — a serious ideological groundwork that would influence public opinion. The current Russian propaganda aimed at the protection of national interests of the Russian Federation, such a backlog does not pull.

All this means one thing: the current scandal in the US around the alleged attempts by Moscow to influence the outcome of elections is intended to focus the attention of Americans about the object, to facilitate the White house manipulation, and to provide preferences for the Democratic party.

— Foreign state can influence the elections in another country, and even by direct bribery of voters, ” says associate Professor of the Financial University under the government of the Russian Federation Gevorg mirzayan.

But for US this recipe is not necessary, since the American electoral system spinning too much money. It can be influenced politically: if, say, the leader of the DPRK Kim Jong-UN is in favour of trump. Such a step, no doubt, will swing voters towards
Hillary Clinton.

By the way, that is why Putin and Russian foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov very carefully appear on Trump, although he us much more interesting than Clinton. Russian leaders understand how their words can be interpreted abroad.

However, you need to understand: Americans are usually focused on domestic and economic issues, not foreign policy. For example, the problems of TRANS-Pacific partnership concern them much more than Russia.

In the current presidential election, the foreign policy was slightly more important than usual, because Hillary Clinton was Secretary of state. And since she was not a very successful Secretary of state, trump has excellent opportunities to put the opponent score in the area of foreign policy.

In turn, Clinton wins back miss trump, who declared their sympathy for Putin. I recall that in the framework of the foreign policy doctrine of trump, President Putin — an acceptable partner of the United States.

“SP”: — the scandal around the alleged attempts by Moscow to influence the elections will bring Clinton’s big political dividends?

— Not too large, since no evidence of Clinton has not provided. Yet in the eyes of the news agencies in the USA this scandal is of little importance. A lot more Americans talking about the radicalism of trump, a very controversial image of Clinton, and about how America came to such candidates…

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