The evening of 29 August, the Internet portal “Fergana.<url> reported on the death of the first President of Uzbekistan Islam Karimov. Official confirmation of this information yet, but it is known that Karimov suffered a brain hemorrhage, on the morning of the same day told his youngest daughter, Lola. And immediately on the agenda, as cynical as it may sound, there was a question about a successor. A few years ago, Karimov himself spoke in detail about how there is a change of government, but observers are constantly reviewing the list of candidates for the position of head of state. .<url>” I figured out who would become the second President of the Republic of Uzbekistan.
On the agenda — the successor
According to the “Fergana.<url>, the death of Karimov came in 15-16 hours (Tashkent time (13-14 hours on Moscow). On the morning of 29 August, Karimov’s youngest daughter Lola made the social network a sensational record. She openly admitted that, Yurtbasi — the head of state, her father is in intensive care due to bleeding in the brain. “At the moment it is too early to make any predictions about its future state,” — said Lola Karimova.
And the edition “Fergana.ru” citing an unnamed source in the Tashkent reported that Uzbekistan’s President had a stroke. As stressed by the publication, in Tashkent have already arrived reputable doctors from abroad, who treated him informed and familiar with the history of the Uzbek leader.” Common August 28, an official statement of the government of Uzbekistan was dry and laconic. The Cabinet reported that the country’s leader is hospitalized and that “a full medical examination and subsequent treatment will take some time.” In social networks, meanwhile, proselitismo pop stars of the Republic on the theme “we wish good health to our President”: the singers are urged not to believe the rumors and wished Karimov “rule for many years”.
By the way, about the dramatic deterioration in the health of Islam-aka previously appeared regularly in 2009, 2010 and 2015. The last time the opposition claimed that Karimov is “in a coma”. Background information after such statements was predictably hysterical: mass media published statements of experts uverennostyu destabilization in the region.
Former Minister of Finance and economy Rustam Azimov was born in the capital of the Republic, he graduated from Tashkent University and a master’s degree at Oxford University
Photo: Xie Huanchi / ZUMA / Globallookpress.com
Now the question of who will be the next host OK Saroja (residence of the head of state) became not just relevant, but most urgent for the Republic and for whole Central Asia.
Non-public shapes public policy
It should be noted that the question of regime change is intrigue, even where this process is being heralded as a colorful show — for example, in the United States. And in Uzbekistan in public relations faithfully observe the traditions of minimalism: “…and other comrades”, “…and joined him.” However, experts speaking about possible successors to Karimov, often called the names of Rustam Inoyatova — chief of the national security Service (NSS), Shavkat Mirziyoev — Prime Minister of the Republic, and his Deputy Rustam Azimov.
Inoyatov, as befits the head of the intelligence services of the country, people are extremely non-public, to the point, copublication his pictures online were submitted by the media as an incredible event. Future of the Uzbek chief of intelligence and counterintelligence was born in Surkhandarya region in 1944, graduated from the faculty of Oriental studies, Tashkent state University, majoring in “Iranian studies”, served in the KGB, under diplomatic cover worked in Afghanistan, the NSC directs from 1995.
Hardware force the head of the NSS scored after the suppression of the revolt in Andijan in 2005. Following this event honorable retirement left the Minister of internal Affairs Zakir Almatov. To understand the situation: heads of law enforcement agencies in Uzbekistan occupy an important place in the government not only “by post”. The formation of the Republic in the 90s actually happened at a time when Islamists tried hard to take control of the country and in neighboring Afghanistan and Tajikistan was open civil war. Tashkent had to stop the “marching to success” of the Islamists and to take part in the pacification of the neighbors, so the prestige and influence of the security forces in Uzbekistan solely and deservedly high.
Shavkat Mirziyoev holds the post of Prime Minister since 2003, which means that Islam Karimov all these years, was pleased with the Prime Minister
Photo: Sadat / ZUMA / Globallookpress.com
However, other bidders, as they say now, not media figures, though not is a career intelligence personnel. From Shavkat Mirziyoyev, native Jizzakh region (according to some — the Ura-Tyube region of Tajikistan), has experience in managing native region and Samarkand region (native Islam Karimov). It is noteworthy that Mirziyoev holds the post of Prime Minister since 2003. This means that the head of state all these years, was pleased with the head of the Cabinet.
About the relationship of the all-powerful boss of the national security and the Prime Minister, there are two unofficial versions. On one of them, Mirziyoev is just a puppet Inoyatova. In this case, it can be assumed that the head of the NSC will contribute to the coming to power of his ally, remained in force professional habits in the shade. According to another version, Mirziyoev is not supported by power structures, and in this case, the ascent to the highest post in the state for him is complicated.
Former Minister of Finance and economy Rustam Azimov was born in the capital of the Republic, he graduated from Tashkent University and a master’s degree from Oxford University. He is highly skilled in Finance and Economics. According to some, Asimov provided a valuable service President’s elder daughter — Gulnara Karimova, and helped her to save significant amounts of money. The current Deputy Prime Minister is also when the leadership of power structures.
To start the mechanism of transfer of power
However, in addition to divination on behalf of a successor, there is almost the official version of who will become the next head of state. In December 2010, Karimov, summing up the year in his report to Parliament, noted that the Constitution of the country was introduced an important amendment — if the President cannot fulfill duties, the head of state is the President of the Senate. To lead the country, he needs to until within three months will not be elected as the new President.
“The mechanism of transfer of Supreme power was legally required to do so, the President is openly stressed. The process of changing the head of state was agreed upon as terms of the legal procedures and terms, as they say in Western political analysts, the agreement or consensus of the elites. That is, the political forces, the top leaders of the country agreed with the way this is done and a candidate who will be at the helm, even temporarily,” — says an expert on Central Asia, Professor of the Kazakh-German University Rustam Burnashev.
The publication of photos of Rustam Inoyatova, the network was served by the media as an incredible event
Photo: Pang Xinglei / Xinhua / Globallookpress.com
A few words about the legal procedure for the transfer of power. The head of the upper house of Parliament is a graduate in law of Nigmatulla Yuldashev, a former Minister of justice. His career Yuldashev began in 1986 with the trainee’s position in the small town of Tashkent region and progressed to the Deputy head of the Supervisory authority. It is this reputation for excellence-red-tape-monger the probable head of Uzbekistan forced to ask the question: does such an experienced politician, Islam Karimov, with a unique experience of nation-building planned to hand over the reins to the Prosecutor? After all, according to the specifics of their work, former Minister of justice is more appropriate in order to ensure compliance with all necessary procedures and balance of interests.
Burnashev believes that this role and can ensure a stable political prospects of a future President. “Of course, the very popular opinion that whoever takes the presidency in office, is a compromise figure. Say, in actual fact, we know that everything will be solved differently. In any case don’t want to exclude of the factor arrangements, but many of the leaders of the post-Soviet space came to power as a compromise figure, or as people who can maintain the balance of interests,” — emphasizes the expert.
In favor of the version that the Senate should only start the mechanism of change of power, says the fact that earlier the Chairman of the Senate Ilgizar Sobirov — also experienced staff lawyer.
Division of famous scientists
Appeared on the network a list of possible candidates on a post of the President of Uzbekistan closes (or opens) Karimov’s youngest daughter Lola Karimova-Tillyaeva. On the pages of news sites walking version “of the famous Uzbek scientist Usman Khaknazarov” that the President in 2015 has appointed the next ruler of the country Lola. The news was accompanied by a dramatic detail: that the head of the Republic addressed a speech to state officials, promising that everything will remain at their posts and maintain their privileges. Some editions honestly pointed out that “a leading expert Usman people.”, generously dividing the backstage details of the policy of Uzbekistan can be a group or even division.
Lola Karimova-Tillyaeva is the younger daughter of Islam Karimov
Photo: Pascal Le Segretain / Getty Images
Interest to the person a possible successor to Islam Karimov is clear: Uzbekistan is a key country in Central Asia. Tashkent was able to ensure the security and stability of the region in terms of the war in Afghanistan and Tajikistan, repulsed the attempts of Islamists to blow up the stability in the region, have in fact protected the southern borders of the former USSR. The authorities of the Republic, in practice, implemented the declared policy, rather indifferently referring to “the international community”. All this time the country was ruled by the Patriarch of Soviet policy still (after all, a member of the Central Committee and the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist party), Islam Karimov.
These threats of Uzbekistan is opposed now. As shown by recent history, to fight effectively against religious extremists obtained only from Tashkent. A failure in the process of transfer of power and, as a result, turmoil in Uzbekistan can lead to the fact that the Islamist underground lightning would raise his head first, in Fergana, and then in the whole of Central Asia. It can turn the border region into a kind of already ignited a “war of all against all” in the Middle East.
