In 2012, the largest printed periodical publications in the country came program article Vladimir Putin, the then presidential candidate of the Russian Federation. The author gave a truly brilliant analysis of the state of the economy, social and political spheres, the international situation of the state than dispelled the perception in some circles the myth that when making decisions the first person is “not aware”, “not owns all the information about the situation on the ground” etc with the utmost frankness called almost all the pain points, avoiding any decoration and painting. On the basis of the key problems he formulated ambitious goals for the future, with the overwhelming majority of which it was impossible to disagree.
It’s been four years – a period previously considered sufficient for the execution of presidential powers. Of course, in some cases, the President has taken a more far frontiers 2018, 2020, and 2025. However, here the intermediate results can be summed up, because the achievement of results is only possible with constant forward movement. I found it interesting to trace the dynamics of development in areas that were declared Putin. Here’s what came of it.
Vladimir Putin: “the New economy is a diversified economy, where in addition to modern fuel and energy complex will be developed and other competitive sectors. The share of high-tech and intellectual sectors in the GDP is expected by 2020 to increase 1.5 times. While high-tech export of Russia will grow twice”.
In fact, in 2015 the total volume of Russian export to the far abroad countries, according to the FCS, exactly two – thirds of 66.4% was accounted for by fuel and energy products. Particularly rapidly growing exports of cheap products low redistribution – iron (by almost a quarter). The share of high – tech exports of machinery and equipment remains very low at only 6% of the total export volume in foreign countries, no growth is observed, Russia in the world remains the supplier of natural resources. It is curious that even such industries as oil production and refining, is extremely dependent on imports. Experts point out that we cannot today independently to efficiently carry out exploration and service work, and most importantly, go to the deep oil refining.
Vladimir Putin: “the Average salary on economy will grow in real terms in 1,6–1,7 times, almost to 40 000 rubles in prices of 2011 Nominally, of course, she is.”
The average monthly wage in nominal terms in January of 2016 was 32 122 rubles. Or 27.5 thousand rubles after income tax deduction. In comparison with January of the previous year in real terms, it decreased by 6%. The current year is likely to only exacerbate this unfortunate trend. So where did the 40 thousand? If it was an empty promise or forecast short-sighted, in any case, those words have little to do with reality. I should add that when this indicator, it is important to understand the tricks of statistics “average temperature on hospital”. If based remove 10% of Russians with the highest incomes, the average salary will amount to just 25.6 thousand rubles. And, honestly, at current prices quite a bit.
Vladimir Putin: “the Share of enterprises implementing technological innovations should grow in two and a half times to the end of the decade, from the current 10.5% to 25%, that is, to reach today the average European level”.
Russian industry every year increasingly lagging behind the world leaders in terms of technology. A huge problem is a critical degree of wear of basic production assets – over 50% according to Rosstat (the independent experts put the figure at 60%). At first sight, surprising, but it is “fat” 2000-ies brought the country to a breath-taking situation when the degree of deterioration has increased by more than 10 points (for comparison, in 1990. it was 35% in 2000. – 39%). While the more high-tech industry is, the higher the level of wear of equipment in several branches of engineering it exceeds 80%. The gap here is catastrophic.
One interesting example. In the leading countries of the modern industrial revolution 10 thousand workers employed in the industry, we have from 150 to 500 robots. As for Russia, then, according to the Center for robotics of the IT cluster SKOLKOVO, in 2015 the country has less than 1 thousand industrial robots, of which more than 600 foreign production. The picture is just depressing.
Vladimir Putin: “It is the economy where small business is at least half the jobs in the economy.
The attitude of the entrepreneurs perfectly illustrates “the night of the long buckets”. State officials did not hesitate to speak about small business as an element inferior. Particularly symptomatic here 2014. when the number of small enterprises of Russia decreased by 46% (from 3.8 million to 2.1 million). Respectively nowhere to take and new jobs.
Vladimir Putin: “it is Necessary to create such conditions, when inside the private sector of the Russian economy will occur long-term money in the form of a steadily growing savings of individuals, including retirement.”
On the list of “Forbes” we certainly know of some individuals whose savings are growing day by day. What are the things ordinary citizens? In 2016. 61% of Russians have no savings. This is evidenced by the results of the survey research holding Romir. The company noted that this is the highest figure for more than 10 years. Another 12% of respondents said that the latest accumulation has been spent in recent months. It seems that now all the conditions to the accumulation of individuals have disappeared altogether.
Vladimir Putin: “the Creation of 25 million new, high-tech, well-paying jobs for people with a high level of education is not a catchphrase, it is an urgent necessity…”.
The Russian average decline of productive jobs by the end of 2015 amounted to 9%. In terms of regions such statistics to detect I failed, although they all fill a report to the center, but, for example, in the Sverdlovsk region for 2015 was a reduction in the number of high-performance workplaces by 57.1 thousand units.
Vladimir Putin: “10-11% of our citizens still remain in their incomes below the poverty line. For a variety of reasons. By the end of the decade this problem we need to solve. To overcome poverty, unacceptable for a developed country”.
In 2015 the population with incomes below the subsistence minimum in the whole of Russia amounted to 20.3 million people, or 14% of the total population. There was a serious leap of poverty in the country since 2006. According to the forecasts of some economists (J. Mirkin) in 2016. the number of citizens with incomes below the subsistence minimum will increase by 3.6-4.2 million people. Again, it is important not to forget that the cost of living in Russia – an ephemeral value, it is to live in principle impossible. Poverty reduction is happening in a proven statistical way – with a reduction in this minimum. Generally, games with the numbers, inflating “bubbles” – the trouble with our statesmen. Whom do they deceive? The following illustrative example.
Vladimir Putin: “No less important area – the local road network. Today we have a truly paradoxical situation. In Russia with its vast territory are the deficit areas for construction. The reason – lack of infrastructure”.
In 2000-e years have changed the accounting treatment of roads. Some roads previously eliminated was recognized as serviceable, turned into paved roads, although previously they were not considered. Build nothing really built, but the length of roads in the reporting documents grew rapidly. It is pleasing to the eye of power: any effort prikazivati not necessary, and to be proud of. Because in the 2010s with “methods of counting” serious infrastructure “patch up”. In the length of Russian paved roads initially included local roads and then the streets. As a result, in 2010-2012 officially announced the length of all roads has increased by 461 thousand. In fact, the newly built was only 8 thousand km of roads, and if you go back to the old method of calculation, the observed length has not increased, but rather decreased by 155 thousand.
Vladimir Putin: “We will not increase the tax burden on non-oil sector. But we have a reserve of growth of tax revenues… First of all, what is called an additional tax on wealth, but rather, on prestigious consumption”.
In fact, many complain of a hidden increase of the tax burden. It is well known to history with the introduction of the system “Platon”. But the so-called “luxury tax” proposed in 2012. “SR”, permanently stuck in the offices of the state Duma and in the end was the people’s elected representatives turned down as “unnecessary.” But we still have 13% income tax paid by those 20 million Russians that are working for minimum wage, is markedly inferior to that subsistence level that it is impossible to live. This situation caring for the peoples of Russia to the deputies seem to be “right”.
Vladimir Putin: “Large reserve – in restoring order with tax evasion through shell companies, through offshore companies”.
About “offshore” probably best to ask Roldugin, the cellist, whose $ 2 billion. the head of state was rated as modest earnings has been touring the world. There is no comments.
To complete the article I want another quote Vladimir Putin: “We need a new economy with competitive industry and infrastructure, with a developed services sector, with effective agriculture. The economy working on modern technological base. We need to build an effective mechanism for economic renewal, to find and attract the necessary vast material and human resources. Yes, what we need, we know. Another would be to find someone who could turn these beautiful words into action.
