Beijing is actively expanding its forces in the South China sea and openly challenges the Western order in the region, says a British journalist.
Former NATO commander Richard Shirreff, in his book “2017: the War with Russia,” warns that a new conflict between the West and Moscow could deploy in the Baltic. Thus a retired soldier is trying to convince London not to reduce defence spending.
However, the work of Shirreff is based on a false promise, says the Times columnist Roger boys. In his view, Putin is his “small deadtime” in Northern Europe trying just to test the fighting spirit of the NATO, to divert attention from the Ukraine and at any a good opportunity to split the Alliance.
“Of course, in Eastern Europe there are potential hot spots – the Kremlin would not stand idly by in the event of a change of regime in Belarus – but none of this will lead to war with NATO. Perhaps Putin is a villain, but he is not a madman“, – says the journalist.
Future war, which the West worries may occur in the other side of the world, in the South China sea. Beijing is building artificial Islands in here. In addition, according to some, the Chinese army has deployed anti-aircraft missiles on the Paracel archipelago.
Thus, argues boys, China turns to sea in your “personal pond“. Previously, the stability in the region remained allies of the US and containment of China. Now, despite Obama announced the pivot toward Asia, this order is falling apart.
Contempt of China to the United States becomes obvious: the other day he flew reconnaissance fighter American plane. Beijing ignored the appeal of the “Big seven” to refrain from provocations, calling these claims unacceptable interference.
Via the South China sea is about 30% of global trade routes. China, “as a Mercantile superpower“, believes that he must control this “lively back yard“. His naval officers know how Japan has suffered from a lack of oil and metals during the Second world war, and do not want to repeat this error.
The most important trade route for Chinese prosperity may be the one that appears due to the melting of Arctic ice, believes the author. Beijing will be able to quickly get to European and American market and strengthen its role as exporter.
To use this route to the Chinese authorities need to cooperate closely with Russia. They have already conducted joint naval exercises and is actively developing bilateral cooperation in the field of production and sale of weapons. “It is this emerging Alliance between the two powers wishing to benefit from the weakening of the USA, should worry military strategists“, – emphasizes boys.
Washington’s political maxims, that his fleet should not concede to anyone. Nevertheless, Russian-Chinese may challenge this provision of the United States. While the Americans are pleased with the growth of its naval forces because of their size and technological superiority. However, this view may be an illusion.
The most authoritative book for the Pentagon – it’s not “Putin’s blockbuster” Shirreff, and the product of two military analysts “Ghost fleet”. The authors of this technothriller demonstrate how sophisticated cyber-attacks, the Chinese are a weakness in the often-engineered weapons systems of the US and stop the American war machine.
This danger is sleep deprived senior us military and bother the British, writes the boys. In his opinion, Obama did the right thing by returning to diplomacy in the region. The President of the USA abolished the embargo on arms sales to Vietnam and pledged to strengthen the fleet of the former enemy.
“There’s only one reasonable way of handling the growing power of power – to show her some respect and give right to speak, but only on the condition that she will obey the rules of the international system. China was restrained by maintaining alliances with Japan and South Korea. In the interests of the West to China to go to war, “concludes the Times columnist.
