I don’t really understand why tell jokes about Estonians, because more often than not comes tight, worse than the giraffe, to the Ukrainian politicians – it’s time to give birth, and they only realized that they were raped. By and large, changes in the policy of the West, his demands towards Ukraine were finalised in the period October-December 2016.
In October Poroshenko summoned to Paris, and in the presence of Putin, heavily flogged, clearly explaining to him that Russia, specifically it needs to fulfill the political part of Minsk agreements, mentioned by Nuland. Then Hollande and Merkel found that Poroshenko was offended, because they forbade him to continue to lie. He thought that they must support him, and that they have little or no leverage over Kiev further, so they are actually eliminated from this situation. From France for a long time did not hear, but Merkel periodically goes out to the public with a sad face and speaks of the need to fulfill the Minsk agreements.
The Europeans are sending in the big guns. Biden arrived in Kiev and called for fulfillment of Minsk, but Kiev said that Biden was misinterpreted, and he did not say that. Now Washington sent Nuland. Ukraine – her project, and her for him to answer. The US has no illusions, they know perfectly well what federalization, the fulfillment of the Minsk plan leads to the destruction of Ukraine and the fairly rapid elimination of the current regime in Kiev. The problem is that, by removing Yatsenyuk, Poroshenko found himself in a situation when it is concentrated as the hatred of oligarchy, because he established control over all financial flows and of the population that previously hated Yatsenyuk, now turned against him and Groisman.
It became a point of application of universal hatred, and the design became very vulnerable, risking to fall apart at any moment. But at any moment the United States is not necessary – they need to manage processes, it is necessary that this design lasted up to the US elections. Will be held in November and let all the crumbles and better yet, Feb, when will be transferred the government.
But why Nuland requires right now to paint the whole process to date? In may to start in July to complete the process. She understands that if you start in may, in July, you will not complete the process, do not hold elections, but we must start early. When you begin the process of amending the Constitution, the process of transfer of powers from the centre to the regions, then, firstly, it weakens the attractiveness of the post Poroshenko. What is the point to remove Poroshenko, if he has no powers, or those powers divided?
So all the attention is switched with Poroshenko on Parliament or on the process of adoption of the Constitution. The people who now conspire, begin to fight with each other. For powers, control over regions that are much “tastier” of Kiev. And this whole fight started in may, I will continue until the November, and then no longer care what happens next.
Because Americans understand that Poroshenko can slip on a banana peel and break his head on the steps of a private residence, not necessarily in a month, maybe 3 months, maybe 3 hours. The conditions for the elimination of personal Poroshenko as the centre of power and centre national hatred matured. And when they are ripe, as is the ticking of the shooter, no one knows.
The US does not need an unmanaged process. So they try as soon as possible to put this process under control, that is, to throw the guys a bone in the basin, to those I shared it until after the election in America.
