Purely my thoughts, no claim to truth. Now the whole group of fighters advancing on Aleppo does not exceed 5-7K people. The middle East in General and the hybrid experience suggests that combat-ready units of 15-20% of the total population. Ie High they have 700-1000 people shock units. Others drink mate, drive up the supply, take out the wounded, standing on checkpoints, sitting at headquarters, and bringing the bosses etc loss 30% of the unit becomes unfit for combat. Given that no centralized replenishment and fight on the principle of “we have the whole village with a neighbor he was going to war”, the loss of one third of staff (including drop-outs due to injury and went home, because they are tired mentally and physically) is very important. Militants still attack perfectly and exert a powerful pressure and even claim to owning the initiative. So the losses do not exceed 200-300 people. All. Including killed, wounded and deserted. Killed, it is easy to calculate from 60 to 100.
What about the thousands of fighters in question, I don’t understand. Although there is evidence that only 6 August, the militants lost 470 men killed. In principle, given that the August 7-8, part of the wild troops departed deeper into Idlib, they could be lost, which caught the figure up to 470 non-refundable. Moreover, on 6 August they Purley regardless of losses. If we assume that the ratio of losses 1:3, out departing Iglinsky groups died (after deduction of losses of the group) from 370 to 410. I.e., from 1110 to 1230 wounded and killed. Ie broken group from 15000 to 22000 people (if you count the ratio of rear to front from 10% to 20%), which left the front, he went to carry the wounded to the hospitals, bury the dead, regroup, freshen up, etc. I personally do not believe it. I think that not all Iglinski the formation of closer in number to 20,000. That is, either the reserves are huge, or am I mistaken on the ratio of deadwounded, plus the ratio of combat units to the rear. It is possible that due to the high spirit, the militants, the ratio of the rear in combat can reach 50:50 and above. Then it turns out that was deployed in the area of 2000-3000 people. For example, removed from all positions in Idlib and went to the assault. Not enough, of course, but not 18000 already. Although, personally, I doubt that someone will manage to break the cycle “20% fighting, 80% of the supply drop”. This is only to block 470 of the dead militants 6 Aug. We can assume that VKS chop hundreds of militants. That would explain a lot. But then taking 2 weeks of occurrence only in the South of Aleppo was supposed to end transport unless the drivers lost a few hundred (even if hundreds of drivers and 3 – 5 hundred militants is sidelined for at least a hundred trucks). 2 weeks of intense fighting in groups in 7,000 people already would have ended ammunition and intensity of sleep. But judging by krasilova there with the ammunition they have everything in order.
We figured out according that given by people whom I respect. Now go through the sources that I have no respect for the constant lies and non-possession theme. It is RTR and ITAR-TASS reported. ITAR-TASS said that one day only on 8 August destroyed 800 militants dead, VGTRK 2000 somewhere at the same time. While the Basin could not be stopped and on August 10 they transferred that killed more than 1,000 militants.
The basin States about the killed 800 people in only 8 August. Subtract our 470, which we understand, then, we need to dispose of a further 330 people were killed. Multiply by 3 to get the wounded. Get the 990. Take them for combat units, but not for the rear, the computed 20%, we find that on 8 August there was even 28800. If the rear ratio is 10%, there is 14850. It to 18,000 fighters, which we have been utilizable and knocked out in an earlier post. Ie 6-7 August had been incapacitated and left to re-form the group 32850 militants. I don’t believe. By the way, when similar issues at APU in February 2015 under Debalcevo collapsed front and was urgently signed the Minsk agreement. Rose wild howl in the Western media etc. Now all are silent as guerrillas, because waiting for the victory of the insurgents at Aleppo, and squeal for no reason.
The order of the numbers you have already understood, stuffing RTR about 2,000 dead even will not disassemble. By the way, stick your photo from under Debaltsevo, Logvinova, so you can estimate how the destruction of the front and the death of several hundred enemy soldiers in a few days.
ADF: review of a person because of the ribbons. Now back in Idlib after the storm to rest. Regroup, soon to be a second assault. During Sutra lost at least people. The main losses were after fighting for the retention of the bridgehead. Loss Yes almost exactly the numbers,” “from our side, some individuals also perevalivaet in the figures, either do not know or intend”. Deliveries of supplies and evacuation of wounded osushestvlyaetsya centralized, called “amaliat horfe”.
АПД2: comments for ribbons convoys: rarely, a convoy trying to go, and if there is a risk that the night go”, “tonight we are by the way without headlights go”, “there are constantly aircraft night flying, hunting spotlight))”, “vosnovnom night small convoys go in advance”.
Loss CAA: “I think that is also a much 224 more truthful ,perhaps less”
