Criminologists could be wrong
For three days in several countries of the world, bloody events broke out, which claimed hundreds of lives. Began with the terrorist attack in nice, continued with a coup attempt in Turkey. When in Istanbul and Ankara surrendered those opposed to Erdogan, the military, in Yerevan, a group of extremists seized the headquarters of a regiment of patrol-guard service, and also announced the start of a popular uprising. While Armenian law enforcement officers seized blocked the building and tried to negotiate with the invaders in the U.S. has once again shot by police.
In the modern theory of countering and combating terror is the concept of “reflected wave”, occurred when the bloody events caused strong response in the society and the media. A negative information background, sometimes quite hysterical, affecting the psyche of people.
The majority of citizens a similar effect will most likely cause a heightened state of anxiety, but people with mental problems might lead to rash actions, and given the radicalization of the modern world will motivate to commit illegal acts or even organize a terrorist act.
Until recently, specialists skeptically perceived this theory, believing that modern society, its formal and informal laws will not allow to develop the reflected secondary wave. But the main thing – people with mental problems in contrast to the organized radicals will not be able to plan and prepare a major terrorist attack. At the same time, militant groups, acting under his plan, are more likely to wait for the right moment before you begin to take action. Unfortunately, recent world events show that criminologists, apparently, wrong. “Reflected wave” does not only affect mentally ill people, but by terrorist and insurgent structures that, seeing real-time picture of the attacks, begin to act contrary to earlier plans.
The carnage on the promenade des Anglais
While France once again comes to life after the terrorist attack that claimed the lives of dozens of civilians, experts and the media ask the question: why terrorist Mohamed Boolell was done, despite increased security measures?
Once past the Fifth Republic championship of Europe on football, the leadership of the national Ministry of internal Affairs allowed to relax personnel. Part of it went on vacation, was disbanded consolidated mobile group, responsible for the maintenance of law and order. In cities graded in places with low level of terrorist threat to which it belonged and nice, it reduced the number of patrols, reduced verification. In many ways, according to experts, such decision of the interior Ministry and the country’s political leadership was motivated by a desire not to disrupt the tourist season, not to scare tourists a large number of armed police and regular inspections of the documents and vehicles.
But we should also note serious shortcomings in the organization of security during the celebration in nice, Bastille Day. The police without checking the cargo and the driver allowed the vehicle to a place of a mass congestion of citizens. By the way, on such events in Russia, organized several lines, including with metal detectors, and all driveways, including the yard and in industrial zones, overlap.
Experts and many media reports claim that cause large casualties on the promenade des Anglais in nice began to poor training and firing practice of the French custody order. As evidence, pictures of Mohamed Bulale truck, the windshield of which only a few traces of bullets, the vast majority from the passenger seat. But French colleagues said the representatives of the Russian special forces, with whom managed to talk the “Military-industrial courier”. Difference police prevented primarily a very dense crowd of citizens who gave the police quickly to take the most advantageous position. Second, the terrorist, as evidenced by the video footage, actively maneuvered, making zigzag turns. 9mm bullet handguns “SIG Sauer SP 2022 – the regular weapon of the French police and gendarmerie pierces the windshield of the truck only at a certain angle and from very close distance. Even being world Champions in practical shooting, located on the promenade in nice, French police are unlikely to be able to randomly moving and panicked, the crowd quickly go to the firing line for absolute elimination of the terrorist.
Despite the fact that the responsibility for terrorist attack was assumed banned in Russia “Islamic state”, the French law enforcement authorities have not yet found a connection Mohamed Bulale with radical organizations. With high probability it prepared and carried out the attack themselves, perhaps with the help of a team of associates.
Note also that the recent ISIS takes responsibility for any attack – from the murder of visitors of the gay club in Orlando before the shooting at the police in the USA, that probably not talking about the real capabilities of the organization, and about trying to get some PR.
The attack by radicals on the police part
On July 17, an armed group seized the building in the Armenian capital, which is stationed a regiment of patrol-guard service of the interior Ministry. The attackers took hostage eight persons, including two senior representatives of the Ministry. After the loud statements about the fact that the seizure be the beginning of the national revolution aimed to overthrow the government of President Serzh Sargsyan, the attackers – representatives of Armenian non-systemic opposition demanded the release from prison of several prisoners, especially the Lebanese and hero of the Karabakh war, the odious leader of the radical movement “pre-Parliament” Zhirayr Sefilyan. As expected, neither the beginning of the revolution, nor to the release of prisoners, the taking of hostages in Yerevan failed. It cannot be denied that one of the reasons which have pushed the Armenian opposition on a suicide run in the Erebuni district on the outskirts of the Armenian capital, was the attempt of an armed coup in Turkey.
