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Putin and America: is there hope for a thaw?

Путин и Америка: есть ли надежда на оттепель?
Putin talks about the us administration routinely uses the word “partners”

Friday at the St. Petersburg international economic frameresize President Vladimir Putin said that the United States is a great country, with which the Russian authorities are ready and willing to work.

“The world needs a powerful country like the United States. And what we need. But we don’t need to constantly intervene in our Affairs, have pointed out how we live, prevented Europe to build a relationship with us”, – Putin said, surprising the experts.

At the same time, he noted that Russia will respond to the deployment of ABM systems in Europe. In parallel, Putin urged to restore confidence in relations with the EU.

Does this mean that the Kremlin is ready to talk about the new “reset” in relations after two years of deep cooling? What has changed, and how to regain the trust?

Russian service Bi-bi-si has tried to find answers to these questions from political analysts.

Gregory Votes, doctor of political Sciences, European University:

Confrontational background in Vladimir Putin’s statements in recent years has decreased is obvious.

It [the statement] shows more of what Putin is trying to send the United States a signal of willingness to dialogue. But he is willing to engage in dialogue on their own terms. And in that regard nothing new was happening: he had been saying the same thing.

Just now the conditions for the perception of his message became better, after Russia proved that it can influence the situation in Syria in particular.

On entering the ordinary course of waiting of Vladimir Putin regarding the fact that, combining strategy in Syria and Ukraine, it is possible to achieve some improvement in the foreign position of Russia, and first of all it concerns sanctions – not so much European as American.

Путин и Америка: есть ли надежда на оттепель?

The speech of the former President of France Nicolas Sarkozy on the forum in St. Petersburg many experts interpreted as a signal of warming


Iosif Diskin, co-Chairman of national strategy Council, member of the public chamber of Russia:

The President, as always, proved to be realistic, which perfectly assesses the balance of power in the world, and demonstrated an understanding that the world has one superpower.

He is for the time of the forum have repeatedly drawn attention to the fact that America uses its influence to encourage Europe and Russia to worsen relations between Europe and Russia.

In my opinion, this realistic passage was associated with a signal that Europe would be good to think about their interests, and not to perform the role of monkeys, pulled the chestnuts out of the fire.

[Relations] – another year: while America will elect a President, while will sits in his place – at the level of assistant Secretary, who provides the defense – while the rest of the infrastructure decision making until the appropriate note in the national security Council, while it will take the user to all government agencies – exactly a year before anything happen technically can’t.

Except for one thing – if you win [Donald] trump will decide to strengthen their position by inviting Putin is in the end of January [of 2017] to the White house.

But I think it is difficult to count, because in this case, Trump will have to think about the fate of John F. Kennedy.

Andrei Suzdaltsev, Deputy Dean of the faculty of world economy and international Affairs Higher school of Economics:

He called the fact that the US is indeed a great power, even though we have nuclear parity. It really is the only superpower, notes, this does not mean that it is now a unipolar world. This is the first.

And the second: there is no warming can not be, because there is no contact between administrations: the only contact group that currently works is [foreign Minister John] Kerry or[Sergey] Lavrov.

No negotiations with the U.S. we do not store for a long time and do not want to. In the “Norman Quartet” is not the U.S., although occasionally [Belarussian President Alexander] Lukashenko and encouraged them there.

No Europe will not allow or will not allow Russia. Precise formulation: there is now a crisis in relations between Russia and the collective West, not only USA. Any way out of the crisis yet.

Prospects? Depending on who wins the elections in USA in November, climate changes will be visible only from February to March 2017, after the inauguration and the change of administration.

But to make a prediction: if Hillary Clinton, we are waiting for an even deeper crisis in the relationship. If Donald trump, then is also a crisis, but not so.

David Satter, an American journalist, author of books about Russia:

The possibility of a thaw in relations between the two countries has always existed – under Lenin and under Stalin.

Putin makes conciliatory statements when he needs something from the West. If the Russian authorities believe that the sanctions create for them a serious problem, they will do a lot more such statements.

The long-term future for Putin’s unrealistic. After the attack on the world trade center, he called George W. Bush with condolences. Subsequently he went to meet the number of issues.

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