The Israeli newspaper Mako, after analyzing the Syria situation, made a surprising prediction, stating that the clash between Russia and Israel — a question of time.
The forecast is based not only on prevailing in the middle East political and military situation as on the comments of senior military expressed “behind closed doors”. Solo articles in highly emotional: “the IDF (Israel defense forces — VT) in a panic. Nobody will admit this publicly, but in conversations behind closed doors by high-ranking officers of the air force and the Israeli Navy said that the current Russia’s military might in the middle East they are very worried: “We didn’t know what it will be. The quantity and quality of Russian arms caught us by surprise“. The deployment of Russian troops has been a huge influence on the actions of the Israeli air force and Navy, the two strategic arms”.
Followed by a detailed enumeration of trapped under side of Israel components of Russian military power. Since the aircraft carrier cruiser “Admiral Kuznetsov” and ending with defenses. That is air defense — s-300, s-400 and complexes of electronic warfare and electronic intelligence concerned the author most. It is in their permanent combat duty he clearly sees the signs of a military clash with the armed forces of Russia and Israel.
Yes, the situation for the IDF certainly has changed. And this is impossible with the author to disagree. Earlier, he recalls the blessed days were full freedom of action. Thanks to which you can fly and swim wherever and whenever you want without encountering real threats. As performing reconnaissance flights and drums for weapons caches and munitions of all known forces, promising to wipe Israel off the map.
Now, laments the Mako, the Russian military in possession of a powerful means of intelligence, perfectly aware of the movements of each Israeli aircraft and spacecraft in the region. “Israel was in a situation when a significant part of his interest in the region were covered by s-300 and s-400, and probably for decades to come”.
The situation is compounded by the fact that the official representative of the Ministry of defense of Russia, saying the deployment of air and missile defense systems, warned that they will shoot down any suspicious aircraft and aircraft that threaten the Russian or Syrian troops.
Of course, the sorrow of the Israeli military are absolutely clear. Relatively recently, they almost completely disposed of airspace, pereza to his legitimate air range and even good pieces belonging to neighbouring States. Lafayette ended.
But we must pay tribute edition of Mako, which in this case did not question the legitimacy of the presence in Syria “Russian military power”. It just raises the question of whether such neighborhood with the VCS and the Navy of Russia for the unexpected, which is fraught with a mutual use of weapons. And the simple answer to this question is given. Relatively recently visited Moscow Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu, who took him with us to mutual consultation air force commander major General Amir of Asela. And it is the hope that all the dangerous factors have been identified, discussed and resolved. Pointless clash, fraught with the death of servicemen of the two countries and the destruction of military equipment, useless. This, of course, no one is going to deny Israel’s legitimate right to self-defence. Not coincidentally, in recognition of the Mako, “the Israeli air force says that Russia is not the enemy: “We aim to avoid collisions with Russians, they tend to avoid collisions with us.
It regards the military aspect of the problem. It enjoyed quite accurately, except that with a fair seasoning of panic.
But that’s when Mako goes on to discuss the political side of the question, then edition and was taxiing on the inevitability of clashes that can lead to real war.
The logic is this: “Russia actually doesn’t share a lot with Israel and making the region that you want… Russia’s Interests in Syria are very extensive and include collaboration with the worst enemies of Israel. In Syria, Iran supports the regime of Bashar al-Assad, involved in the fighting in Aleppo and using ground forces, coordinating their actions (ostensibly directed against the opposition, supported by the US) with Russia. And we are looking for cooperation with Russia that does business with Iran and supports Assad”.
This is a typical black-and-white, without shades, picture of the world, the division into “good” and “bad”, “us” and “them”. Russia’s objectives in the middle East are not in Iran and Syria, not to the connivance of anti-Israeli forces, and the establishment of political stability in the region. Stability, which is based on the balance of different interests.
Of course, and Russia in the region have their own interests. And they represent the protection of national economic security, as, of course, well known to Israeli media. The US is already long and persistently trying to overthrow Assad and set Syria a puppet regime, to finally carry out cross-country gas pipeline linking Qatar’s giant North gas field with Turkey. And from there, cheap gas will flood into Europe, which will strike a powerful blow to the Russian economy. Therefore, Russia seeks to avoid it. Well, “conquest of Israel” in this strategy will not go to any side.
An article in the Mako fired on Israelis who reside in the state of waiting for the firing of home-made “Scud”, is depressing. In this connection the next day in the newspaper Israel Defense (“defense of Israel”) published an article with exactly the opposite conclusion: “Why Putin’s war with Israel if he can use it?”
AMI Rohtas Domba, columnist for this publication, rejecting emotions, which are characterized by a publicist, not an analyst, extremely convincingly reassures the nation: no war with Russia can not be.
In the region there is a modern Russian weapon? So, for all time of existence of Israel neighbouring countries, some of which at different times was hostile, armed with Soviet weapons. And it for its time was the most modern. No news in this. And Israel has always coped with this issue by keeping a balance between offensive and defensive weapons.
Russia is spying on Israel? So the spying appeared to Christ, reminiscent of the AMI Rohtas Domba. The region has always been Packed with different kinds of radars, intelligence systems, in the sky a long time circling spy satellites. And they’re not only Russian, but also of those countries which with Israel is the most kind, affiliate, relationships.
The quantity and quality of Russian arms caught the Israeli military off-guard? But it is a sign of problems in the army, not of the coming war.
Columnist “Israel Defense” clearly understands the strategy used by Russia. The weakening of Israel is not included in the plans of Moscow. “There is no evidence that Putin considers Israel an enemy, he claims. — On the contrary. Russia in political terms, has always preferred to use Israel as a factor of pressure on US. It would be correct to say that Russia is promoting its own interests. And it is not with Israel. This too is nothing new. Likewise, there are other countries that are considered friendly. And the war against Israel will not bring the results that you can achieve a soft political means”.
The author believes that Israel in the current situation is one of the pieces on the Board in this chess game. And shapes quite a lot. Russia is Iran, Syria and Lebanon. And recently joined this unit with Egypt. Iran controls Hezbollah, Egypt — Hamas.
“The influence of the Kremlin in these countries, argues the author, will influence the choice of the direction of Israel. If the US will put pressure on Ukraine, Russia, involve Hamas. If the US will press Syria, Russia uses the “Hezbollah”. This means that the real war is being waged behind the scenes between Russia and the United States in an indirect manner. Therefore, the assertion that Israel and Russia are close to war, there is no real reason”.
