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Analysts have calculated the probability of war with China

Аналитики просчитали вероятность войны США с КитаемThe cause of the conflict may become a wrong assessment of the intentions of the enemy.

The war between USA and China is quite likely, because the development of military technology the two countries reached the level of a real threat to each other, analysts said the American center Rand.

Experts point out that unintended war can cause the uncertainty of the intentions of both parties. Thus, with regard to the nature of war, it can be as “short and bloody” and “protracted and destructive”.

It is also noted that such wars are rare, and they begin, if state leaders do not fully control its military organization, or have a distorted view about how the potential adversary estimates the probability of escalation of the conflict.

Times recalls that before China opened its first military base beyond the borders of its territory, has developed cyberformula, launched a satellite quantum communication, and the situation in the South China and East China seas escalated.

According to analysts, if the war happens, it will be non-nuclear and limited to a regional conflict. They recognize that in this situation the chances of Beijing’s victory is quite real, given the reduction in the backlog of China from the United States in terms of nuclear weapons.

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