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10 possible armed conflicts that threaten the peaceful existence of humanity

10 возможных вооруженных конфликтов, которые угрожают мирному существованию человечества

Forbes, citing American resource prepared descriptions of these threaten humanity collisions.

Russian-Chinese war over Siberia

Chinese military invasion, the Russians scare each other at first sight. On this topic in Russia filmed a lot of documentaries. Every year in economic and military power “Chinese dragon” intensifies, and his desire to oust “the Russian bear”.

In January 2015, a military expert Frank Jacobs on the pages of the American newspaper New York Times has created a resonant theme, outlining the reasons why China would require a territory of Siberia.

China is overpopulated and suffers from a lack of raw materials. Siberia, by contrast, is sparsely populated and rich in timber, oil and gas. China’s population (1.35 billion people) is almost 10 times higher than Russia’s population (144 million), and on the territories adjacent to 4209-kilometer Russian-Chinese border is still a huge disparity – only 6 million Russians live in front of 90 million Chinese.

According to Frank Jacobs, a significant portion of Siberians can weigh the benefits and see that they are closer to China than Moscow, then Beijing will give them a Chinese passport and send a “polite yellow men” for the military protection “of its citizens.” Western experts believe that at such succession of events Russia will either have to cede to China a part of its territory, or to use nuclear weapons.

This war is the most unlikely out of ten considered. First, the heat-loving Chinese are reluctant to settle in Siberia, according to the Federal migration service of the Russian Federation, in 2014 arrived in the country only 11 000 Chinese migrants. Second, before China are easier ways for the expansion than the conflict with a nuclear power. Select is easier from Mongolia, and oil and gas fields – to the Philippines in the South China sea.

The war for the Baltics

After the unexpected Russian annexation of the Crimea, in Europe, has dramatically increased concern about what Moscow may Harbor aggressive intentions towards the Baltic States. About a possible Russian invasion has repeatedly stated by President of Lithuania Dalia Grybauskaite.

“The idea of Putin is to return to the zone of influence of Russia and all the countries of the former Soviet Union, he wants to restore the previous size of old Russia. It is his paranoia, and we must take this seriously”, – quotes the recent statement of Dalia Grybauskaite “European Truth”.

In may 2016, in an interview with The Independent frightening scenario of a Russian attack on the European Union has described British General Alexander Richard Shirreff, former Deputy Supreme commander of the allied forces in Europe.

In his opinion, Russia is confident in the weakness of NATO and already in 2017 may start a military invasion of Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania under the pretext of infringement of the rights Russian-speaking minorities in the Baltic States. According to Richard Shirreff, the Kremlin can bet that NATO will not join in this war, frightened by the prospects of a nuclear exchange.

“North Korean spring”

That North Korea’s regime will inevitably collapse, the experts assert for decades. Every year the economic and cultural backwardness of the DPRK from neighboring countries is increasing and information curtain blocking Koreans from the developed world, is weakening.

Cheapened and made available the smartphones open to the people of this country the truth about the deplorable living standards in the DPRK. Their doubts about the wisdom of the ruling regime inciting tens of thousands of Chinese tourists wandering around the country in designer clothes with expensive photographic equipment.

Eventually dissatisfied citizens can go out into the streets, and the army will go on their way. The anti-government uprising in the country, possessing nuclear weapons and being in the heart of one of the most dynamic and densely populated areas of the planet, probably very quickly will involve neighboring States. Experts believe that in the North Korean conflict will hasten to intervene South Korea, with US support, or it will make China.

A guerrilla war with ISIL in the cities of Europe

The self-proclaimed Caliphate of ISIS under the pressure of the armies of many countries of losing the bridgehead and may lose all of its territory. But when their actual state falls, fanatical jihadists, gathered there from all over the world are unlikely to accept it. The probability that they will return to their countries and will continue to wage a bloody guerrilla struggle.

According to the Institute for Arab and Islamic studies in Syria in the ranks of ISIS are fighting about 6,000 Europeans, including about 600 French citizens and 500 citizens of Belgium. Probably city of France and Belgium are the main targets of guerrilla attacks. Also will get much Germany and Britain. The attacks will be directed against infrastructure with the aim of undermining the European economy, and against the civilian population to create chaos.

Civil war in Venezuela

As wrote Forbes, in Venezuela, bursting at the seams of the socialist system, founded by Hugo Chavez, 17 years ago. The country is almost impossible to buy many necessities. Inflation, according to IMF forecasts, will accelerate this year to 700%, and the economy will fall to 10%.

In the Bolivarian Republic of commonplace food riots, when crowds of people looting the grocery stores and engage in violent clashes with the police. The situation is heating up, and the government of Nicolas Maduro could face armed resistance. In Latin America this development often leads to bloodshed at a frightening rate.

“Color” revolution in China

The Chinese authorities regularly scare the population with stories that the United States is trying to foment in China color revolution to overthrow the regime and to push the country out of the way of the development into the abyss of chaos.” This month, Beijing accused the group of Chinese human rights activists and public figures in such an anti-government conspiracy.

“Chinese government agencies, including police departments and courts, and distribute videos with scenes of chaos and destruction in Syria, Egypt, Libya and Ukraine. In these plots it is argued that countries that went on about the United States plunged into the war, disorder and madness,” writes Washingtonpost.

The Chinese authorities distributed videos are a powerful propaganda charge, but their veracity is questionable. Regime change in China is too costly and destabilizing phenomenon for the United States.

The second Bosnian war

In 1992-1995 in Bosnia and Herzegovina was raging a brutal war, remembered indiscriminate bombing of cities, genocide and ethnic cleansing. In the course of only one massacre in Srebrenica a few days the Serbs massacred more than 7,000 Bosnian Muslims.

The bloodshed was halted by the establishment of two States in the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Bosnians and Croats, and Republika Srpska for the Serbs. The world is very fragile, as the inhabitants of these countries are dissatisfied with pervasive poverty, high unemployment and inefficient political system. Experts note that the population of Bosnia radicalized, and war may erupt with new force.

Last year the BBC news called Bosnia the cradle of modern jihadism. More than 300 Bosnians went to Syria and Iraq to fight on the side of ISIS. After returning home, they can organize terrorist acts to incite an ethnic conflict.

Saud-Arabian revolution

Saudi Arabia remains a Bastion of stability in war-torn and strife in the middle East region. However, the American the Washington Institute notes that the conditions in Saudi Arabia are similar to those that preceded the Egyptian revolution. In the Kingdom of brewing social rebellion.

The youth of Saudi Arabia, with approximately two thirds of the population, may require radical change, as happened in Egypt in 2011. Over 100,000 boys and girls of the Kingdom are now receiving higher education in Western countries. These people begin to return home after years of stay in States with a high level of democracy and civil liberties. Without a doubt, these representatives of the new generation tries to change the traditional social order in the Kingdom, making it more secular. How bloody will this shift is difficult to predict.

Indo-Pakistani nuclear war

In 2008, the world’s diplomats had to cool down the bickering of the two nuclear powers of Pakistan and India, almost arranged to each other in a bloodbath. Then the conflict was averted, but relations between the two countries remain hostile, and the threat of war between them hanging in the air.

Pakistan supported separatists in the Kashmir valley, where the second month of ongoing violent riots. Riots broke out after the July 8, Indian security forces killed 22-year-old activist of Kashmiri separatist group Hizb-ul-mujahidin. In the clashes of protesters with the police killed 70 people, injured about 6,000 people, 90 police stations and other government institutions were destroyed or burned.

In early August, the leader of the Hizb-ul-Mujahideen,” said Salahuddin once again intimidated the international community of the Indo-Pakistani nuclear war.

“Pakistan is duty bound, morally bound, politically obliged and legally obliged to provide a specific and substantial support for the ongoing struggle for freedom in the Kashmir valley. And if Pakistan will provide us with this support, the high probability of nuclear war between the two powers,” quoted Salahuddin said the Indian edition of Zee News.

The third world war in the South China sea

The only threat more frightening than a direct clash between India and Pakistan, carries the confrontation between China and the United States in the South China sea.

According to the expert of the Washington Center for strategic and international studies Greg Pauling, a long-term goal of Beijing is to establish control over the entire waters of the South China sea, displacing other applicants. “In 2014, China has ceased to put pressure on neighbors including Vietnam and the Philippines. But we suddenly discovered that the Chinese artificial island began to rise where before was only sticking out of the rocks and reefs. The appearance of these Islands changes the balance of power in favor of China,” says Greg poling.

Now the US send planes and ships to patrol the territory near the Chinese bulk structures, ignoring the warning of the Chinese military. The United States insist that their Navy is free to be there, because it’s international waters, Beijing is also required to consider the sea area near the created artificial Islands by the Chinese.

Experts do not exclude the possibility that States may attempt to stop the expansion of China’s power. Military conflict between the two superpowers will involve many other countries. It is able to erupt into the bloodiest war in the history of mankind.

 

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