The Ukrainian question goes back to the agenda in the world, but are prepared to discuss it without us. At the annual summit of “Big twenty” (G20) which will take place in China on 4-5 September, Ukraine was not invited. But, in addition to the 20 regular members of this elite political club, there will be, for example, visitors from Laos, Chad and Senegal.
It is expected that on the sidelines of the leaders of the West and Russia will discuss the situation in the Donbas. Vesti tried to find out what impact the negotiations behind Ukraine on the situation in our country.
The Ukrainian dead end
It is believed that Chinese summit could hasten the lifting of sanctions against Russia and lead to concessions to Ukraine. “The West can negotiate with Russia in return for assistance in Syria, fighting Islamic terrorists and economic benefits, because more and more European countries in favor of lifting the sanctions that are disadvantageous to their economies. And the US is not to geopolitics and Ukraine — there’s a busy election. So in isolation we get, and not Russia, which, on the contrary, are ready to discuss the fate of Ukraine without its participation,” — said the expert on international Affairs Igor Kushnir.
The Ukrainian government is confident that at the summit of the West continues to condemn Russia for aggression. “The G20 summit and the global financial stability. The problem of Russian aggression against Ukraine is a fundamental challenge to such stability,” said foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin. However, Western analysts say the deadlock on the Ukrainian question. U.S. The Wall Street Journal sees the West in two ways: to force Kiev to make concessions in the Donbass or to recognize the failure of the Minsk agreements.
“Curbing and punishment”
In General, experts consider a bad sign of the absence of Ukraine at the summit. “Although we are not members of the G20, humiliating the fact that Ukraine was not invited in as a guest. Especially Germany, France and Russia intend to discuss the question. It’s not even a red card, disqualification, removal from decision making, says a political scientist Ruslan Bortnik. — In fact, channel four turns to channel three. That’s what made Putin from the West after the August events in Crimea , the Kremlin has accused Ukraine of attempting sabotage in the Crimea. — approx. ed.), the rejection of the Ambassador of Russia in Ukraine, the assassination of one of the leaders of “DNR/LNR” Carpenter”.
In his opinion, the meeting at the Chinese summit can be a form of blackmail, an attempt to control and punish Poroshenko for delays in the implementation of the Minsk agreements, namely: the failure of the Amnesty law, the elections in the Donbass and the special status of region (Kiev considers this to be unacceptable without a full ceasefire, withdrawal of troops and transfer control over the border. — approx. ed.).
Decisions to Donbass, we can report after the fact, does not exclude the beekeeper: “To put pressure on Kiev the West has political and economic levers. The hryvnia has already begun to fall, and fall without Western trenches can collapse.
Other analysts do not dramatize the situation and not be considered a disaster the non-participation of Ukraine in the Chinese summit and a meeting with Merkel, Hollande and Putin. The Normandy format of negotiations has outlived its usefulness. A meeting of Merkel, Hollande and Putin will take place at the unofficial level, followed by the traditional statements about the necessity of complete ceasefire in the Donbas. Another question, what will happen in the East of Ukraine”, — said political analyst Andrew Buzarov.
Agrees with him expert Boris Tkachuk: “the West can partially lift sanctions against Russia, but fully “merge” Ukraine, no one will, otherwise Western leaders do not understand their own voters. And them before the election disadvantageous to lose ratings.
The escalation in the Donbas distract from the corruption
Ukraine, meanwhile, was again in the spotlight of the world media. And write about us on different occasions — from acute in the area of ATO to influence American elections through the scandal Manafort, head of the election headquarters of the candidate-Republican Donald trump. In two influential British Newspapers — the Guardian and Times — out stories from the ATO zone (Zaitsev and Avdeevka). Journalists write about the tension and fear of local large-scale offensive.
And if the Times believes that the escalation can be beneficial to the leaders of Ukraine and Russia in order to divert people’s attention from the problems in the economy and corruption, the Guardian, on the contrary, convinced that the Kremlin aggravation of not from the hand, as it re-unite the West against Russia, in particular, the issue of extending sanctions.
Also, the new York times still discuss the scandal with the dismissal of Manafort, the right hand of the trump, after the publication of the documents about the alleged receipt by American of millions of dollars while working for Yanukovych. In this context, the Financial Times writes about the attempts of Ukrainian politicians to weaken the electoral position of trump, known for his Pro-Russian statements. Documents against Manafort released Serhiy Leshchenko, MP, close to the anti-corruption Bureau, the newspaper notes.
