Old joke “Ukraine wants to declare war and lose it”, after details of the incident at Armyansk is taking shape. You remember the events of August 8 that occurred 8 years ago. Again the summer Olympic games, which Russian President fortunately did not go. Georgia, Ukraine, the recent recognition of Saakashvili, has supplied weapons. The attack on the unrecognized Abkhazia… Then no country in NATO is not fit for Georgia when the tanks were approaching Tbilisi. And now Washington pulled away: “all questions to Kiev”, – said the representative of the state Department at a briefing. Ukrainian Ambassador to the UN wants something to collect, something to say, something to continue. And Poroshenko reacted very easily, from the series “the fool”.
The President of Ukraine denied any support for terrorism, apparently forgetting the situation with the sabotage of power lines. Forgot about how he personally blew it all “on the brakes”, and Ukrainian media happily supported the idea of “Ukrainian partisans”, and Matvei Ganapolsky in live TV channel News One and all has announced the undermining of the power bridge to Crimea. And something for the call to commit terrorist acts in Crimea, no one was punished.
And if we remember that the speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Aleksandr Turchynov talked about the plans of the leadership of Ukraine and declared that war with Russia is inevitable and Ukraine will regain Crimea, “to accumulate as soon as this silent force”. Former defense Minister of Ukraine Valeriy geletey promised from the podium of the Verkhovna Rada, which is attacking Russia and will hold in Sevastopol, “Ukrainian” victory parade”. What it is: the usual bravado of “idiots” or the desire for ruinous war for his people?
All these political games Kiev lead to one goal, which they set in 2014 – any way to involve Russia in the war. What counts Kiev, crossing the “red line”, actually invaded the Crimea?
This spring Rostislav Ishchenko in an interview that the network is titled “the EU will force Kiev to attack Crimea to get rid of her” in a straight line expressed the theory of the future:
Why is the EU so difficult? Why can’t he, like US, just leave? The EU, represented by France and Germany, inscribed in the Minsk process. Just walk away – to recognize your major geopolitical failure. Moreover, the United States, going from the Ukraine, no risk – they are overseas. And the EU is the closest neighbor of Ukraine, and if there is no clean up, then the problem will very quickly become the problems of Europe. For bringing order to pay. To pay a lot of money. The EU would like to have the expenses covered Russia (even though the Ukraine in its composition take).
In order to finally enter the operating room and to complete freedom of maneuver, Europe should be exempted from the Minsk agreements.
To break the Minsk can be only a result of the war. Russia and DNR/LNR fighting in the Donbass will not start. So they have to start the Ukraine. After that Paris and Berlin can safely say that they did everything they could, but the Minsk agreement is again destroyed by the commencement of active hostilities and the process has exhausted itself. Everyone understands that Ukraine will suffer a crushing defeat. But the fate of the regime doesn’t count anymore.
So I was not surprised by the reports that the military activity of Kiev is growing not only in Donbass, but also on the border with Crimea.
It’s one thing to fight with the militia. This is a civil war, and even if the troops DNI/LC is Kiev and Lvov, case West will have to deal with Ukraine (only Pro-Russian, not a Nazi). But if we manage to organize an attack on the Crimea, we can hope to provoke a war with Russia. Russia will have to quickly win…
…the responsibility for the destruction of the country will fall on Moscow.
What will Kiev if Moscow will cancel all their plans, and will defend its borders within the framework of the add? What is the next step, in response to the outbreak of war?
George Neighbour
