The report on this morning’s hedgehog, which will want to stay there and improve mood.
Again, we are all going to die soon.
This is stated in the Bulletin “Comments on government and business”, prepared by the Institute “development Center” NRU “Higher school of Economics”. And this is a joke, because the analysts TSR, HSE is largely based the work of the “economic unit” of the government of the Russian Federation. At least for it has the alarmist are the Deputy Minister of Finance approving, in advance, by the way, elections to the State Duma that, according to this fundamental document,” not as much, literally, “at the end of the year the Federal budget will receive less 1.8 trillion. rubles of income” (s), but that’s not all.
As the authors of the report and based on their findings of the highest officials of the economic block”, so a large loss of income in 2016 is threatened by the depletion of the Reserve Fund in the current year and the need to use the resources of the Fund to Finance the budget deficit.
“Given the shortage of oil revenues, we believe that the sequester will not be able to restrict the previously announced 500 billion rubles”, – is emphasized in the Bulletin analysts TSR, HSE.
Further, in principle, of course.
And we will not comment implied in the “report” set of measures, such as the ubiquitous nauseam “increasing the retirement age, reduction of the state defense order or social expenditure, mandatory privatization, and so on and so forth.
“Scientists” still pointedly silent about it.
And officials and politicians of the “liberal wing” have all been repeatedly voiced, including about the need for people, industry and the entire economy of Russia “tighten their belts”.
And if it happens what a sudden and does not coincide with the “forecast” an increase in income, then they should, in full compliance with “budgetary rule” immediately placed in a particularly “marketable” American securities, “for you see, how all is bad, and we need the pillow”. Well “in General”.
So we will not all “predictable development” comment.
We just pay attention attentive reader what is based on, so to speak, so the fundamental insights of the “group of analysts”. And to the attentive reader decided that we’re completely trippin’, – quote “analysts”. Otherwise, simply can not.
So.
“Assuming that the annual plan is not oil and gas incomes of the Federal budget will be executed, and oil and gas revenues in the second half of the year will be approximately equal to revenues in the first half, at the end of the year the Federal budget will receive less 1.8 trillion. rubles of incomes”, – stated in the official document “analysts.”
And this is the cornerstone for all the subsequent report.
Well, what can I say, except “congenial colleagues.”.
“The first half is approximately equal to the second”.
NDA.
It is not even “average temperature on hospital”. Because, in order to “oil and gas revenues in the second half was about equal to revenues in the first half of” (C) must, at least, two conditions.
First, oil is the wave of the “analysts” due to the end of the year to crash to abnormally low January figures, and what are the prerequisites for this exist, “analysts” don’t bother.
They are artists, they see.
Second, the evil Russian oil industry simply must – must, do you hear! – reduce their totalitarian extraction and export of oil, because she had the audacity in January-July 2016, to increase exports by 5.9% and to change this trend is going.
And that’s when everything will come true.
Third, those placed in proper securities, international reserves and so in the past, much more severe and “deficient” years has grown, through the efforts of like-minded people our “experts” by 40 billion (!) the right of American money, from 360 to 400 billion U.S. dollars.
…And, here, know what I want to tell you?
Here, we are also here in SW. edition, worried about the state of our budget and his unconditional savings. And if we have in the state and living at the expense of the same Russian budget TSR HSE work such wonderful “intelligence” that is able to build such wonderful reports on the basis of a primitive mechanical extrapolation of the first half to the second, spit on all the “little things” and “conventions” such fundamentally different conditions for the simulation, a fraction of the budget money we know just exactly how for people to save.
You just need to fire the hell out here these are great “predictors” operating with numbers, so that I fear even for their family budget.
Because they are either so unprofessional that they even count the check in a restaurant do not trust.
Well, or, on the contrary, all the most beautiful way to understand. And now, it is not the fact that this country is better.
Dmitry Lekuh
