At the moment, Washington and Brussels have started the ongoing preparations for a planned “sink” not only representatives of the present Ukrainian government, but also Ukraine as a whole.
In late April, the Ukrainian Patriotic public not a child stirred up the message of the member of the parliamentary faction of the party “Samopomich” Victoria Voytsytskaya. Having been at the meeting of the representatives of factions of the Verkhovna Rada with the assistant Secretary of state Victoria Nuland, Wojcicki burst into public hysteria about another “trade”. This time from the United States.
As it turned out, the U.S. insists on introducing amendments to the Constitution of Ukraine to consolidate it as a “special status” uncontrolled Kiev territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, “Amnesty for insurgents and elections in DPR and LPR in July of this year.
According to Wojcicki, Nuland announced the following key messages: “the state Department insists that Ukraine should amend the Constitution with “special status” of the occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk, to conduct in the occupied territories, the elections in the near future and provide Amnesty to militants. Minsk agreement must be implemented before the end of 2016, they have no alternative“.
“We are told that if we hold elections, it will create a precedent, when the Russian troops first in history to voluntarily leave the territory that they occupied. However, no guarantees that Russian troops will not and can not be”, – said Wojcicki.
If you believe the representative “Samopomichi”, then, according to Nuland, in the case of the adoption of the law on “elections in the occupied territories in may, in June, the West will extend for nine months (until January 2017) sanctions against Russia.
And it is, indeed, all that can now offer Kiev to Washington in exchange for the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
It is clear that the Ukrainian government these prospects to impress can’t.
Firstly, as it turned out, Western sanctions against Russia is not tied to the so-called “illegal annexation of Crimea, and exclusively to the implementation of Minsk-2.
This was before the visit of Nuland to Kiev, personally, ” said the us President. “Sanctions can and should be removed from Russia, when it will fulfill its obligations“, — said Barack Obama at a joint with German Chancellor a press conference in Hannover, having in mind the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
Thus, the “Crimean question” generally dropped out of sight of the Americans and the Europeans. He seems to be there, and the statements of Western leaders regarding the Crimea, occasionally heard, but in fact, the presence of the Peninsula as part of Russia is already perceived as a given that cannot be changed.
Secondly, the US and the EU persistently force Ukraine to recognize the actual sovereignty of the DPR and LPR in the form of so-called “special status” to remove Russia from Western sanctions. Thus, the implementation of the Minsk agreements by Kiev, which insists Washington and Brussels will mean the current Ukrainian authorities lose-lose.
And finally, thirdly, from the United States and Europe in recent years are the signals that if Ukraine and will continue to sabotage the implementation of the Minsk agreements, the West will have her be punished for it by lifting sanctions on Russia. In other words, the official Kiev give to understand that the delay in the implementation of commitments is not a winning card for him.
As recently stated by German foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, “We expect not only from the statements of the parties to the conflict, but especially progress in implementing the agreements. For many months we have broken teeth, to Moscow, Kiev and the separatists continued the implementation of the agreements. If in this case and there is some kind of progress, it is moving at a snail’s pace – by the millimeter. So long can not continue“.
The key phrase in the message Steinmeier – “so long can not continue”. The patience of the West is not elastic and his life on the outcome.
About this, incidentally, shows prepared by the representatives of the party of right-wing eurosceptics “Alternative for Germany” resolution on the abolition of anti-Russian sanctions.
The relevant document may 11, was sent to the government of the Federal state of Baden-württemberg, in whose territory are registered more than 900 companies with offices in Russia.
As stated by the Deputy of the German Parliament, Udo Stein, “the anti-Russian sanctions should be lifted, they turned against us and have negative consequences for the economy. Russia is one of the key partners of Baden-württemberg, trade relations should not be reduced“.
According to him, the document after consideration by the land government will be transferred to the Landtag (provincial Parliament).
The head office of the party “Alternative for Germany” Marcus Frohnmayer, in turn, said that such a resolution will be sent to other Federal parliaments, where the party is represented in Bremen, Brandenburg, Baden-württemberg, Hamburg, Rhineland-Palatinate, Thuringia, Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt.
“We can’t directly affect the Federal government’s decision, in the end, foreign policy is decided in Berlin, not Stuttgart. But such an initiative we want to give a signal to the Federal government about the need for the lifting of sanctions and return to normal relations with Russia“, — he stressed.
It should be added that at the end of April the French national Assembly adopted the resolution on cancellation of sanctions against Russia after the expiry of their actions. Such a plan, the members of the lower house of the French Parliament approved the results of the voting.
And before that, in mid-April, about the need to abolish the anti-sanctions, said the Minister of foreign Affairs and international cooperation of Italy Paolo Gentiloni.
Not hard to see that Europe is tired of anti-Russian sanctions, and its desire to abolish them is growing every day. Political pressure on European leaders increased, and they now actively looking for a reason to abandon sanctions without losing face. And this opportunity gives them the Ukraine.
Not coincidentally parallel to the growing criticisms of Ukraine regarding fulfillment of their commitments under the Minsk agreements, on the West consistently spins the theme of corruption that engulfed the higher echelons of the Ukrainian authorities. In the Western media corruption issues associated with Ukraine, are deliberately not allowed to stall. After a series of scandalous publications in the American and European press, may 5 in the Washington Post published a new article which says that Western money has helped only the Ukrainian elite to block reforms in the country and created the conditions for further robbery.
Observers of the magazine Neal Abrams and Professor of political science, University of California Steven fish expressed doubt that the financial assistance of Western institutions, particularly the IMF, to help Ukraine emerge from the crisis. They openly ask the question: “whether Western aid to support reforms in Ukraine? Or it helps only the hard core elite to continue to steal and not build an effective state?“
Tending to the latter, Abrams and fish believe that the West must refuse aid to Ukraine until then, until her power will not be cleaned from corrupt officials.
The only thing that is not explained by the Americans is the fact how to clear the corrupt Ukrainian government, if all of its members appointed oligarchic clans under further “cut” of Ukraine and the plundering of loans, and offshore-the corruption scandals surrounding the Ukrainian President do not cease for a single day.
All of the above in General makes a conclusion that at the moment Washington and Brussels have started the ongoing preparations for a planned “sink” not only representatives of the present Ukrainian government, but also Ukraine as a whole. Therefore an ulterior motive in the new Cabinet suddenly was not a single foreign specialist. The US and Europe could easily push their minions in high positions. But, nevertheless, they did not. Why? And because I don’t want to be responsible for the government and Ukraine.
And why it is still not IMF gave another loan Tran? Because Ukraine needs it as never before. For example, the Secretary of the Committee of the Verkhovna Rada concerning national security Ivan Vinnik recently announced that due to the lack of funds starting in 2016, the Ukrainian government has stopped funding the procurement and repair of military equipment. That is the enemy, the Motherland is in danger, and the state has no money for defense. It is strange. Well, unless the defense of Ukraine is useless. Including the West.
In this context, very revealing looks like the article is political correspondent of the German newspaper Die Zeit, Theo Sommer, in which he had come to the elegant conclusion that the EU “will have to return to Ukraine in the historical interweaving with Russia.”
“This place [referring to a statement by Jean-Claude Juncker that “in the next 20-25 years, Ukraine would not be a member of the European Union and NATO”] can you RUB your eyes, the author writes. – How the Ukraine a few decades will not be a member of the EU and NATO? Wow! And this despite the fact that the current government in Kiev has announced its aim of joining the EU and NATO.”
“In fact, Juncker has uttered the truth, which prefer to remain silent or to deny it, and it consists in the fact that Ukraine is still very long will not reach the state which will allow her to join the Western family,” emphasizes Sommer. After all, “if you look at it closely, it is nothing more than crumbling or, to be more precise, a failed state – exhausted, kleptocratic, which in their view exploited by corrupt bureaucrats and the rich oligarchs. In it, corruption is rampant, justice is turned into the accomplice of the power of the mafia, a legal state is not working, the economic situation is compounded by the reforms are not implemented, the President Poroshenko and Prime Minister Yatsenyuk are the worst enemies, the Ministers who want to reform, retire, and readiness to fulfill the Minsk agreements, to adopt a new law on elections and to give more autonomy to the Donbass minimal.”
“And now the question is, will the West and, above all, the EU to draw clear conclusions from inferences Juncker. And, first and foremost, it is concluded that not only allow Ukraine to aspire to EU, but to include it in the historical interweaving of relations with Russia,” concludes Sommer.
However, he emphasizes that “the return of Ukraine in the historical interweaving with Russia” is not pandering or subordination to Russian ambitions, and the restoration of balance of interests with Moscow, which was broken by Europe.
On the background of the above facts and the above-mentioned European logic, very realistic look rumors that Sergei Lavrov and John Kerry allegedly signed a secret Pact on the division of spheres of influence, in which Ukrainian territory already ceded to Russia.
Andrew Vajra
