“Independence” was lost in the global economic space.
Ukrainian expert Alexei Smernicki specially for the edition “Economic truth” published an article “Why the poor Ukrainians? Six hypotheses.” He cited statistical data and draw curious conclusions. It turns out that it’s not corruption and especially not in assigning a significant share of gross domestic product influential clans.
“The total poverty of Ukrainians, there is little depends on the size of the shadow economy, high levels of inequality or monopoly of oligarchs on state assets, land and mineral resources, writes Smernicki. — The redistribution of wealth from the rich to the poor Ukrainians, this situation is not correct — the rich in Ukraine are scarce, but compared with the world’s tycoons Ukrainian oligarchs simply beggars”.
According to him, workers “independence” are low-skilled and do not have the necessary motivation to work effectively. Although spend a lot of time at work — 2011 hours, while the Germans — 1432. As for the business, entrepreneurs are not really “turning, because them and so all arranges”. Overall, the population wants to “stick” to the budget and to receive social benefits. Supposedly, learned that for them all the state is doing.
In other words, the poverty of the Ukrainians is not a sin, and evil of the Soviet inheritance.
“Politicians and ignorant people like to blame it all on the oligarchs — if they steal wealth, which could suffice all”, — says the expert, trying to prove the opposite.
Various studies, including by the IMF, evaluate the shadow sector of “independence” at 40% of GDP, in the money is approximately $ 53 billion The World Bank has considered the administrative burden and came to the conclusion that the Ukrainians should pay in Treasury of 52.2% of profit/income. Therefore, if the whole shady business to bring “into the light”, the total taxes will increase by $ 28 billion per year.
Nationalists recognize that the safety margin will last for a year and a half.
If you divide the money by 16.4 million Ukrainian pensioners and public sector employees, allowances can be raised to $ 141 per month (currently the average pension is $ 65,13, wages of public sector employees — from $ 54 for the 1st tariff category (the cleaning lady) and up to $ 200 for 25th tariff category. For example, the rector of the University). Additional almost $ 150 will be for those people serious support. And anyway, the neighbors — Polish the elderly, teachers and physicians, revenues will be at least 2 times higher. But immediately because of the violation of market balance, prices will soar, warns the expert. Supposedly, the oligarchs utilize the extra money.
In short, it’s bad for everyone: the magnate, who because of the rejection of the “gray schemes” will lose millions, and the ordinary people due to high inflation. Ultimately, the average per capita income of the pensioner or the state employee “independence” will increase, not $ 141 a month, but only $ 70, “which with today’s wages will not reach the level in Honduras”, summarizes Smernicki.
It turns out that in Ukraine the lack of money is a system phenomenon. However, the term “poverty” is not suited to the assessment of quality of life. According to the Ministry of social policy, the physiological cost of survival in January 2016 was estimated to be 2676 UAH. (6930 rubles), while the minimum wage amounted to UAH 1378 (3562 ruble).
American research company Gallup International has revealed that last year the number of people who literally suffered from terrible living conditions, exceeded 36% of the population. We are talking about beggars. Apparently, and this figure is underestimated, since many Ukrainians “because of Patriotic feelings” was not recognized in distress.
And still the question of why Ukrainians are poor, Alexey Smernicki did not answer, but wrote out the recipe for how “to make life rich”. For this, in his opinion, in government agencies
“key powers have competent people with a new motivation. To advise the current leaders of the high offices sensible reform makes no sense”.
From myself I will note that the phrase “cadres decide everything” said on may 4, 1935, in the Kremlin Palace, General Secretary of the CPSU (b) Stalin. However, any establishment, including the Ukrainian, will not accept newbies because of “instinct”. In addition, human revolution needs not only the will and insight of the people’s leader, but also the professionals “with a new motivation.” Both “independence” today is not to find the afternoon with fire.
Their point of view in the article “Why Ukraine is so poor” led by notorious Russophobe Anders åslund of the Institute for international Economics Peterson. Its evaluation is curious in that it compared the “independence” of our country.
“…The Ukrainian situation does not seem so strange, — he said. From Russian it differs mainly for three reasons. First and most importantly, Ukraine had no economic policy, but retained the old Soviet system, Russia has sought to serious market reforms. Secondly, since 2000, world oil prices began to rise, pushing up Russia’s GDP. Thirdly, in 2010-13, President Viktor Yanukovych has created an incredibly predatory mode, concentrating all power and wealth in one family. He did not follow the wise dictum of the late Minister of Finance of Russia Alexander Livshits: “it is Necessary to share”.
Why nobody wants to take “independence” content?
Of course, åslund could not resist not to throw a little stone in our garden. If you talk about high prices for hydrocarbons in the past, Kiev was also a beneficiary of the situation by selling its products to the oil exporters. Forgot to say åslund and metal prices, the main export goods of Ukraine, the prices of which in those years grew by leaps and bounds. Therefore, when the fugitive Yanukovych, whom Aslund accused of all troubles of Ukraine, its citizens lived much better than with Poroshenko.
It is clear that in our country economic situation is far from ideal. But in order to create at least such a relatively stable system that includes an innovative industrial clusters and institutions public-private cooperation, will take at least a decade of mistakes, trial and experience. As for the exit of Ukraine from total poverty, it is best to bring the wisdom of Seneca:
“When one does not know to what port he is steering for him no wind is favourable”.
