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The new Duma could change the face of the Russian political system

Новая Дума может изменить лицо российской политической системы

October 5, began its work the state Duma of the seventh convocation. Its Chairman is elected Vyacheslav Volodin. Despite the expected event experts called it crucial. At the “round table” in the “parliamentary newspaper” leading politicians tried to predict which will become the new state Duma.

Parliament will return to its home, well presented, functions

The lower chamber in which a constitutional majority of the votes received by the party “United Russia”, gives rise to the assumption that she will play a big role in changing the face of the Russian political system. Argument in favor of this assertion, consider the fact connection to the election campaign at the last stage of Vladimir Putin. For rigorous estimations of the General Director of the Center for political information Alexei Mukhin, it gave plus 10 percent of the ruling party. According to his hypothesis, a special “species” of the President mainly relate to the implementation of the may decrees of 2012.

Mukhin assumes that the loss of the parliamentary parties (except for “ER”) due to the fact their concentration mainly on the political agenda, while the voters waited economic recipes.

“The election is a vivid illustration of how the political system in the carried out in 2012-2015, political reform, says the Director of the International Institute of the newest States Alexey Martynov. – No wonder he its architect, Vyacheslav Volodin, after a personal nomination by the President of the Russian Federation was headed by a new state Duma. The philosophy of successful reforms proclaimed goal of returning to the main, representative function of Parliament.

We must expect that it will be not only the “place for discussion” MPs, but also an open platform to all citizens of Russia, the expert community and other, non-parliamentary parties. In this sense, the Parliament is a real Parliament, acquires the status and the functionality inherent in the Constitution of the Russian Federation”.

Special issue – odnomandatniki. Them in the new Duma half, and since they were not for quite a while, nobody knows how to work with them. Before the administration of the President they “oversaw” rather hard key. There is reason to think that we are more free and liberated Duma, ready including dialogue with political minorities. In the end, the two parties of the “new” with nearly three percent of Retirees and “Communists of Russia” and this must be considered.

The spravedlivorossov and the Communists will work on the bugs

To the polls in 2016 all parliamentary parties were in the so-called “big Putin consensus” and in this sense, the configuration of the state Duma reflects the will of the Russians. “CP” and the Communist party they were disappointed. Causes sagging of the “Fair Russia” the Director of the Center for political analysis Pavel Danilin sees her strategies:

“In 2011, she gave a stiff opposition to then–Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, subjecting his “legacy” criticism. Then many opposition-minded voters voted for “CP” as a potential competitor of the “United Russia” in Parliament. And disappointed, because the leadership of the party after the presidential election 2012 “change in motion.” If before the “CP” recoiled voters–Putin’s supporters, then do another category of voters – the carriers of the “white ribbons” followed their example. The ambivalence of the position led to the loss of the votes of the electorate.

“The opposition parties do not adequately responded to the request of voters in the economic agenda, the main today – the Director of the Agency for political and economic communications Dmitry Orlov. – Citizens understand it in the simplest sense – in the sense of changes in the level and quality of life, on the one hand. On the other – there is the problem of balancing the budget, quality of the budget process. Request to work in the state Duma on economic agenda is twofold: there is a paternalistic (social) agenda and at the same time the theme of responsibility. In addition, has been and remains a demand for new faces. He is not fully satisfied”.

Now the leaders of the “CP” and the Communist party must be assessed as trends in the flow of the electorate to the other parties, and the General political trends in General. Moreover, the leader barely ahead in the electoral rating of the Communists, LDPR Vladimir Zhirinovsky starts to aggressively push the idea of creating a three-party political system in our country.

He is one of the main beneficiaries of the elections in 2016. The reasons for the success of the liberal Democrats see that they work a lot with young people. And secondly, it is the only party that was advertised on banners in the five-year inter-election period, throughout Russia. Huge cost huge pay increase recognition.

The people’s front will appear the third function

What are the future prospects of the Russian popular front, which held in the state Duma about 80 delegates?

Onf was created by Vyacheslav Volodin, reminiscent of Pavel Danilin. In 2011, it was an important tool for the consolidation of conservative and Patriotic forces around the election campaign of Vladimir Putin, and by 2013, he found his current sound status. Held regular meetings with activists of the popular front, held a number of important forums on education, including the presence of the head of state. “I believe that this is an asset that will be used to advance such initiatives, which are developed outside the walls of Parliament. We are talking about initiatives for education and socio–economic policy”.

“Initially, the popular front was given two functions, adds Dmitry Orlov, control over the activity of Executive power and communication with the President of the Russian Federation. Apparently, it will complement the third – dialogue with political minorities, and various interest groups, insufficiently articulated in Parliament.”

To newcomers in the state Duma, in addition to representatives of the popular front, can be attributed to the messengers of the Crimean people. Progressive world community, as we know, did not recognize the election results in Crimea. But it is unlikely to limit the elected deputies in their parliamentary activities.

Gubernatorial elections were well prepared

Another circumstance, which foreign observers blamed the incompleteness of the Russian political system, the results support the ruling party in some regions. How it should be interpreted? Dmitry Orlov drew attention to the fact that in Russia there are two types of subjects of Federation with different electoral culture. One cluster – the areas where relatively low turnout and the result “ER”. The other pole – regions with a consolidated tradition of political voting. By the way, the results of the gubernatorial election, and in the day of the vote they have passed in seven regions of the country, confirmed this conclusion only partially. For example, record the vote of confidence was received by the head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov. And if you got no questions. But why almost the same high result was achieved in the Tula region?

Alexei Mukhin says that this is because there stood a man close to the President of the Russian Federation. Trust the Russians to the head of state is projected onto the candidates. It remains to see how Dyumin will be effective. What about gubernatorial elections have little to say, suggests that they were well prepared. It removes the intrigue, he explains. – In terms of choice of candidates of the party “United Russia” as the selector, you must give credit. However, the elections reflected all the inherent birth trauma – the use of administrative resources and different political technology efforts…”.

The participants of the “round table” came to the conclusion that elections in Russia have become an institution that is allowed to Mature civil society. The case for citizens, which should be more political vision and to go to the polls.

Lyudmila Glazkova

(A shortened version of “Russia today”)

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