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The election of Donald trump does it mean for Russia?

Что избрание Дональда Трампа значит для России?

Russian service Bi-bi-si asked experts to consider how to be Donald trump in the role of President of the United States to build relations with Russia.

“A supporter of the Alliance with Russia”

Donald trump will treat Russia as an ally and admire Vladimir Putin, head of the Center for studies of Russia the analytical center “society in the name of Henry Jackson,” Andrew Foxall.

Both policies support the theory of global conspiracy, according to which Russia may be a corrupt and authoritarian government, but the West is no better.

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Trump reiterated the most important points in the Russian interpretation of the facts over the last few years, that Russia has not invaded Ukraine that hackers hacked e-mail of the National Committee of the Democratic party, were not associated with Russia, that NATO’s future in question.

Trump has surrounded himself with Pro-Russian advisers, it inspires the idea of creating a new Alliance with Russia. He argues that to achieve progress on various issues – from Syria to arms control, both countries needed to restart relations.

A risk taker?

Trump may at any time choose a risky game, says doctor of political Sciences, researcher at the College of Saint Anthony University of Oxford Vladimir Pastukhov.

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“I think that in case of victory, trump’s relationship will be like a “roller coaster” or first up and then down, or first down and then up, but never exactly.

I do not share the opinion that trump is the best choice for Russia of the American people. He has a business culture, and hence the readiness at any moment to play risky when there’s a profit.

In this sense, businessmen are like actors. Presidents, actors of Russia, as we remember, for the future was not… Even a man as easy to pass the step from love to hate, as the woman from hate to love.

I would not put that with trump Putin, going to be easy. I admit that at first, trump can let go of Putin’s “Crimean sins” and to inspire his idea of a joint operation in the deserts of the Middle East.

But all will be well, yet Putin did not stumble on any stone. Then trump will not wait and will push the “partner” in the abyss, without hesitation,” concluded Shepherd.

The icebreaker, which is very difficult to deploy

Trump may well get on a plane and not telling even their advisers, to go to Moscow to meet with Putin, said the Director of Russian and Asian programs world security Institute Nikolai Zlobin.

Что избрание Дональда Трампа значит для России?

“The trump is like Russian roulette. It sounds funny, but at his age and with his promotion, trump is very aspiring politician.

In Russia, a lot of experts on Clinton. Those who worked with her, was negotiating, analyzing, arguing, who is familiar with it.

But with the trump of Russian politics not familiar at all.

Image copyrightREUTERSImage captionНиколай Zlobin: “tramp – it’s like Russian roulette”

Trump can bring in the foreign policy relationships of the business, where the profits and profits are more important than building long-term relationships.

America is a heavy icebreaker, which unfolds very slowly. And today, the icebreaker sailed from Russia in a different direction.

Trump may try to turn, but the inertia is enormous. He can make some significant steps. For example, to make a statement or to meet with Putin, or send to Moscow, some kind of delegation.

But I doubt that trump will be able to rotate this ship so that we all noticed and felt, roughly speaking, in the first 100 days after the election.

It is important to understand that the U.S. Congress is very anti-Russian. And in the US it has a serious impact on foreign policy. Look what is our vision of the new Congress. In any case, the new US President will not have a completely free hand in the issue of building relations with Russia,” says Zlobin.

 

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