Judging by the reviews, an interview in the latest issue of “Agency” with Yuri Boldyrev did not leave indifferent readers. Recall, it was about so-called collateral privatization in mid 90-ies of the last century. And though that was long ago, but I’m curious. The coming wave of the new privatization of the remnants of the Soviet Empire could go in a different scenario. And here’s why.
Maybe it is good that in the mid-90s privatization was that way. Main factories and raw material resources have not got to the aliens, as in all countries of the former Soviet bloc. And their latter-day “fat cats” always wicked “milk” and even “nail”, as the same Khodorkovsky. But I’m curious. In recent days, there is growing evidence that Western multinationals and the largest banks still tend to tab at least the last pieces of the Soviet pie. And, realizing that the local oligarchy wants to warm their hands, the West a few years ago started a game for a long time.
Started with the so-called Georgian war of 2008. Moscow was first shown the West the teeth and not let NATO in the former Soviet Republic, using all branches of the armed forces, except nuclear. Fight with Moscow hunting, no one was found. But the answer in a year was the decision of the Hague court about forcing Russia to pay 50 billion in compensation to former Yukos shareholders. From the outset it was obvious that such money runaway shareholders of Russia will never get. But the Kremlin was suddenly enmeshed in financial networks, out of which only in agreement with the main beneficiary – Washington. So began the struggle of bulldogs under the carpet.
If you remember, immediately after the Georgian war blazed the whole of North Africa and most Arabic countries. This time, the Kremlin managed not to get involved in any of those conflicts. More difficult with Ukraine. Washington started the coup in Kiev with the prospect of a lightning fast draw Ukraine into NATO Vladimir Putin and his entourage make are unable. In the East of Ukraine started the war, and the Crimea became Russian territory. Further more. Not finding an American gunboat on the roads of Sevastopol and Novorossiysk, Putin sent a small contingent HQs in Syria and the confused card Washington is not in a regional and global scale.
Against this background, when tactics to force Russia to humility did not produce the desired result, the course went trump card – economic sanctions against Moscow with the compulsion to that of the EU. But inspired by military power, the Kremlin has made it clear to all stakeholders that will not allow more to dissolve itself, as the last foot of the Loch”. When you have warehouses all the shelves are full of atomic bombs, and the population for a thousand years accustomed to the hardships and wars, even the most stupid politicians in the West began to realize that it is time to negotiate.
“Arguments of the week” try not to speak on issues of the global politics. But in this case, the naked eye can see that the global policy, as always, are worth the money and vested interests. As a result, began the process of underhanded trade. It is clear that with a candle when the high Contracting parties, no one stood. But it all very logical. A couple of weeks ago the entire Western press, as if on cue, stopped to criticize Putin. And recently compared the threat posed by him to the world, with Ebola.
But it was only “warming up”. The main thing happened last Thursday. The world’s media with a mark “lightning” told the world that $ 50 billion from Moscow demanded illegally. It happened in the same Dutch the Hague, where these billions awarded. Had to wait, that it failed to bargain to Washington?
With regard to Syria. Moscow and Washington these days and do a border on the delimitation of zones of influence of the Russian Federation and the United States. These areas will be impossible to apply mutual blows. It’s about the same that the partition of Vietnam into North and South in 1954, or section of Korea between the USSR and USA in 1945.
The Future Of Ukraine. It became apparent that conditions its existence as a single state are non-aligned status and federalization for example USA, Germany or Russia. To do it with my hands thieving, cursed Moscow, Yatsenyuk did not work, and he quietly went to the side. Remain humble “Natsik”, and Ukraine will again become a great and flourishing power. “Natsik” while this brawl. Or command is not received, and the haggling over the details continues. One of the consequences of this bargain became Moscow’s consent to the postponement of Kiev repayment of a debt in 3 billion dollars. It is clear that the duty to not give up ever, but the cancellation of the fine in $ 50 billion in Yukos worth it.
And here is the main reason why the whole “market”. The Ministry of economic development has announced that the upcoming privatization of state property of Russia will be admitted to the American and Western European companies and banks. Minister Ulyukayev in early April already brought this Royal gift with the US Ambassador in Moscow. In order to please the Ambassador, as head of the Federal property Agency was quickly dismissed Olga Dergunova, which to the issue of privatization came up overly strictly. So the owners of the 19% stake in Rosneft, which declared subject to privatisation may well be the Americans. 19% already have the British. In this sense, it is useful to recall the visit of George Bush in Sochi by Vladimir Putin in 2003. It was said that he requested the consent to the sale of shares of one of Yukos to American oil companies. Khodorkovsky was not against it, but the result was on the bunk.
But times are changing. In order to finally extricate himself from the snares in 50 billion dollars, can be given not only Rosneft, but also Bashneft with VTB and ALROSA – let them choke! Can I at least get paid well. Painfully little the state received during the first wave of privatization in the 90-ies – just $ 9 billion-plus. Brazil then sold state property at 66 billion, UK – also on 66, France – 48, Japan – 46 and even Hungary – 11! In other words, from the privatization of one citizen of Russia had $ 55 in the UK and Hungary 1100 – 1250. Such a scale of fraud and the plunder of their population did not know of any country in the world.
Twenty years ago Boris Yeltsin was afraid to give Gazprom, Yuganskneftegaz and Nickel in foreign hands, albeit for a huge price. Too afraid of revenge of the Communists, and all the people. But today the impending privatization may well be the humble obedience of the authorities and of the ruling class, as they say, ” in front of “Western partners”. See, it’s time to earn freedom from economic isolation. There is no other way. Or – the mind is not enough.
Andrei Uglanov
