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Than the rich. Who won and who lost in two years food counter

“Газета.Ru”

Чем богаты. Кто выиграл и кто проиграл за два года продовольственных контрсанкцийThe Durban Anne/sc20lipetsk.ucoz.EN

Exactly two years ago, Russia in response to Western sanctions banned the import of products from countries, signatories of the sanctions regime. A year ago the country started a significant to burn and crush the construction of the “enemy foods”. Recently, the Russian food embargo, the government decree was extended until the end of 2017. We have won and lost in this “Parmesan war”?

First the good news: for the first time in five years, marked weekly decline in prices, deflation was 0.1%. Naturally, the figure is modest, but the hostess must have noticed that over the past week some products finally cheaper. Most fresh tomatoes (minus 8.5%) and cucumbers (minus 7.4 percent). And, his Patriotic pickle, remember with nostalgia some 2013 (in Soviet times, was taken to compare with 1913, and now, apparently, have with 2013, when the stores had a lot of cheap and delicious food not only in the midst of harvest.

Some results of the counter and burning ideologically alien to us eating quite amenable to arithmetic calculation.

Since the Rosselkhoznadzor began to intimidate illegal exporters and even to destroy the products “Parmesan war” Palo 7.5 thousand tons of illegal food.

 

 

 

 

 

The prices for legal products, according to the Ministry of economic development increased by 30%, and actually the Russian food counter-sanctions have contributed to inflation of 46% growth.

What he did in this war of sanctions two years of normal “civilians”, we are with you? With their wallets, not exactly voluntarily, invested in Russian agriculture. The industry had the unspeakable good fortune — the devaluation of the ruble plus the embargo, remove almost all the main foreign competitors, dividing their products in thepresence” and “too expensive”.

 

Did Russia’s import substitution? Definitely hard to say. On the one hand, unprofitable enterprises in agriculture is two times less than the average for the economy. That’s just, despite this, the quality of domestic products yet, to put it mildly, not very happy customer. And the prices often differ from the pre-crisis on a much more tasty imported ones. Not to mention the fact that many products really to substitute failed at all.

But you can tell that the increase in food prices and falling incomes ujala retail trade turnover in 2015, a record for the last 45 years 10%. But once consumer spending was the main source of growth of the Russian economy. Now the Russians are forced to spend a larger proportion of income on food. As a result, household equipment, clothing and services often does not remain anything. Although our Agroprom feels on a shrinking market like a good idea, but the rest of the consumer economy is only getting worse.

But, most importantly, much worse was the consumers themselves. For two years life has confirmed that our food embargo hardest hit is not the “snickering” and the “undernourished”.

Even on TV has ceased to tell you how suffer from the Russian embargo of Western countries — most of them quickly found other markets and established new commodity chains. And that neighbor, too bad we can’t eat — today it is obvious even to those who two years ago smartly mocked by the hipsters, lamenting the ham with Parmesan.

Jokes about ham and cheese pretty quickly ceased to be funny.

To bring food from the travelling is also not seems ridiculous. Although it remains a little embarrassing — about the Russian cheese at the border add up the jokes.

While the vast majority of Russians was not, and there is no way to bring this zapresheno” from abroad — simply because of lack of money for foreign travel.

 

Most likely embargo from us for a long time. During these two years, the country has developed a strong agricultural lobby which does not want to lose their windfall obtained through sanctions. Especially as one of the beneficiaries of the sanctions are relatives of the Minister of agriculture — one of the largest agri-businessmen of Russia. Yes, and not accustomed to our state to gestures of good will. We have introduced counter-sanctions “against the enemies”. Discard them in such a logic means to make concessions to the enemy, to show weakness.

The problem of spontaneous tactical political decisions (and rapidly imposed retaliatory sanctions introduced was this decision that laid them wrongly calculated the consequences become visible only over time. The saying “revenge is a dish best served cold” — that’s about it. Even retaliation, if we switched to the terminology of the cold war, it is desirable to apply so that he didn’t hit on the rebound. Why further weaken ourselves if we think we want to weaken the other?

About necessity of a cancelling of bradenburg say many economists, including the head of Center for strategic research of Alexei Kudrin, whom the President commissioned to write a new economic program. To develop their production is quite possible in conditions of free competition with imports — most importantly, that the country trusted, and she was invested both our and foreign businessmen.

As practice shows, the fires of the products and other extravagant economic decisions for the sake of politics — not the best companion investment.

Perhaps we showed West “gruel” with their sanctions, just to clear up this mess falls to Russians, almost half of them, according to polls, are now forced to skimp on food.

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