The President of Brazil Dilma Rousseff declared the impeachment over allegations of financial fraud and abuse of power. She leaves the political arena for at least six months. Brazil it threatens to destabilize the situation ahead of the Olympics-2016 and a further loss of prestige in the international arena.
The Federal Senate (upper house of Parliament) of Brazil may 12, voted for suspension of President Dilma Rousseff 55 votes to 22. For review of allegations of financial wrongdoing made against Rousseff, senators will be required 180 days. If the charges for this time will not be lifted, Brazilian citizens will be able to choose a new head of state, but only in 2018.
All this time the country will be run 75-year-old Vice-President Michel Temer, which in the current situation, a puppet of the forces that have prepared and implemented the impeachment.
Emerging from a dictatorship
“The Vice President is a very secretive character, — told “Газете.Ru” Fabio cervone, a journalist from the Brazilian TV channel R7. He’s been a very long time and is associated with a series of corruption scandals. Because it helped the opposition to unseat Rousseff is likely in the near future it will support the initiatives of their new allies.”
Temer began his career during the military dictatorship, has survived all the political turmoil, in the end, entered the leadership of the Party of the Brazilian democratic movement (PBDD). It has no clear political agenda and the interests of the middle and upper classes of Brazilian society, most of which are either moderate liberals or right-wingers.
As one of the leaders of PBDD Temer, a professional lawyer, brilliantly maneuvered between the interests of its allies and opponents. This skill is particularly useful to him in the late 2000s, when he was first elected speaker of the lower house of Parliament. He was re-elected on this post twice. In 2007, PBDD has entered into an Alliance with the workers ‘ party of Brazil, which experienced a boom in popularity, and after four years Temer was appointed Vice-President. However, this did not prevent PBDD to break the coalition with the party of Rousseff in 2016, when it has become loose the presidency.
Rousseff has been accused of using public money intended for the development of the Brazilian regions, for the filling of the Federal budget of Brazil. In addition, the President has faced allegations of corruption. Opponents of the President argue that, when Rousseff chaired the Board of Directors of the oil company Petrobas at the end of 2000-ies, there was illegally withdrawn at least $2 billion.
According to cervone, the impeachment of Rousseff beneficial to those whose interests it hurt most — that is, the right-wing opposition and financial elites of the country.
“This is the highest layers, Sao Paulo, Brazil to wall street. Before coming to power of the socialists the laws of the country fully favored financial fraud of large corporations. The interest rate reached 25%, wealthy Brazilians went to vacation in Miami every weekend, — the interlocutor told “Газеты.Ru”. — Rousseff when it ended, and now the opposition wants to take revenge.”
However, the economic policies of deceased President was irritated not just big business. At the end of the first term, Rousseff growth of the Brazilian economy began to fall. If at the beginning of 2010 it was 7%, while in 2014 growth slowed to 2%. Now the economy is stagnating.
Jesus and bullets
In addition to the clear economic interests, the opposition to the right will advance and fundamentally different political direction, was told to “Газете.Ru” an anonymous source associated with the opposition Brazilian media.
“In Brazil the priorities of the opposition is often defined in three words: Jesus, bullets and livestock,” he explained. — The fact that the opposition draws heavily on a broad conservative electorate, which is very religious, in favour of the empowerment of the use of weapons, but also opposed to livestock companies.”
According to the newspaper Globe and Mail, the new Cabinet of Ministers, which Temer intends to announce in the near future, “consists only of white males” that confirms the fears about an extremely ideological political program of the new Brazil.
However, Tamera and right-wing forces yet wide room for maneuver. According to the latest opinion polls, labour party Rousseff is still very popular and likely to win the election again in 2018.
As stated by the Brazilian edition of Negocios Oliver Stuenkel, expert Fund, Getulio Vargas, in order to save power, Temer and his allies need to prove to the electorate that their policy provides a real economic results. However, the time for implementation of reforms very little. In addition, opposition MPs in the Parliament of Brazil to face fewer allegations of corruption than Rousseff.
“I have serious doubts that the government of Tamera will be able to rectify the situation. It weakened not less than the power of the Rousseff, said Stunkel in an interview may 11. — The situation is reminiscent of Argentina. After the change of government, many began to expect that life will become easier by itself. However, without action, this will not happen”. According to the expert, if Brazil can’t handle the political crisis, very soon the country will cease to be the main economic driver of South America.
The President of the Institute for strategic assessments Alexander Konovalov, meanwhile, doubts that after the change of government in Brazil, the relations of this country with Russia will change a lot. “The two countries remain stable trade relations, and within the BRICS framework has not yet been implemented breakthrough initiatives, — said the expert “Газете.Ru”. — The main danger that threatens Brazil, is the escalation of clashes between political forces and disruption of the summer Olympics in 2016.”
Yesterday between supporters and opponents of Rousseff, came to demonstrate in front of the Brazilian government, clashes took place. The police had to use tear gas. The Olympics in Rio de Janeiro should pass from 5 to 21 August.
