Have to pay for everything, and for geopolitical success – twice. The reunification of the Crimea radically changed the status of Russia in the modern world. European raw materials appendage to a country hungry for revenge and hatched grandiose plans. Rescue the Assad regime from Islamic terrorism only approved Moscow in a new role – the capital camp “aligned” to the global model, built by the United States.
In Syria, the pride of Washington was dealt a severe blow – a bit belated, because such Russian patriots waited in Yugoslavia, Iraq and Libya, but they are not less painful. All that remains is the White house – to leave Mesopotamia with minimal losses, simultaneously inflicting maximum damage. Not necessarily the answer should be “symmetrical” and in the same region. There are in the camp of the leader of the world democracy trumps that Russia have nothing to cover.
“Red” in Latin America were prone to sovereignty hairy continent in which Russian leaders feel like home. But now the situation is turned on its head. Loyal to Moscow political regimes fall, like perespevshey coconuts from the trees, making way for the elites with a strong “stars and stripes” vector.
Did not have time to “remove” from the Brazilian President’s chair proud and independent Dilma Rousseff, and the “tentacles” of global capital are already stretched towards the Country of wild monkeys. The European Union has expressed a desire to create a common market with our allies in the BRICS, Australia is preparing to buy out the controversial oil company Petrobras, which launched the Latin American counter-revolutionary processes. The current head of state Michelle Celmer admits that the idea of joining the tail to global market processes it is much more interesting any alternative projects with Russia and China. And look to join TRANS-Pacific partnership onerous.
For Moscow, the change of government in Brazil, of course, was not a surprise, but the event, of course, unpleasant. There was a time we rolled lip at the local arms market, now “figvam” – the national Indian hut.
On its last legs, the regime of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela. Cheap oil has driven the socialism of Hugo Chavez in a blind alley from which in its current form Caracas to get out of the way. The Treasury is empty, budget expenditures exceed revenues by $ 140 billion, in capital the trade deficit, the outskirts are smuggled out of Colombia. Parliament declared readiness to begin procedure of impeachment of the President, which under the cloth lie and weapons contracts with Russia, and the agreement with Rosneft. It is easy to guess that with the coming to power of the liberal opposition, all of this will be cancelled. The largest hydrocarbon fields are waiting for the privatization of Gaidar scenario in which there is no room for Moscow’s strategic interests, and the population learns all the charm of a shock therapy of Gaidar.
With horror on Venezuelan news looks poor of Bolivia, Evo Morales, used to obtain interest-free loans, which is allied were written off. The number of altruists, ready to help free of charge, is fading away. Everything else, the opposition media started blabbing about “the corruption of the President and his team”, which is also a bad sign for the local anti-American left. There is reason to fear for his political future also levoradikaly Ecuadorian Rafael Correa and revolutionary leader of Nicaragua Daniel Ortega.
The logic of political confrontation on the continent tells the whole four leaders to look for plots near Rostov, because of the fate of Viktor Yanukovych, none of them insured. In the same direction is to conceive and the Castro brothers, which, however, can afford to survive in power until the end, for the ticking of the biological clock Comandante Fidel and Comandante Raul is unable to stop anyone or anything. Moreover, socialist Cuba, lost its strategic importance, Washington may make some kind of political showcase of how not to build relationships with the strongest economic players in the region.
Vladimir Putin and Russia are slowly but surely pushed out of Latin America. In retaliation for the Syrian demarche or just a warning for – it does not matter. Sovereignty in modern geopolitics – an expensive pleasure. This will have to be considered and Moscow, and its potential allies.
