July 20, Elon Musk has published the second part of his “master plan”: calculations and predictions on the development of his companies and their influence on society. July 21 my plan for the next 10 years, said the head of Facebook mark Zuckerberg. TJ imagined how the world will look like in 2026 in the imagination of the two main visionaries of the IT world.
Elon Musk: machine and electricity
The post the mask of the “master Plan, part two” as dry as his ordinary speech: that is why we have started the production of the first expensive, then cheap cars, then we plan to merge the two companies, because it is logical, and then we will release the trucks. Actually, these modest lines hides a carefully calculated future not only of Tesla and SolarCity (Musk-based company engaged in solar energy), but of all mankind for a period of ten years.
In 2006, Musk had hoped that in the near future he will need to move as follows: first, to produce an expensive sports car (Tesla Roadster), then earned money from it to create a more massive sedans (Tesla Model S), then the proceeds of the sedan with the means to develop a budget electric car (Tesla Model 3), and in the process to learn how to massively use solar energy.
Musk almost missed the school: the first deliveries of the Model 3 will start in 2017. In the summer of 2015 Tesla began producing homemade Powerwall battery charged from sunlight through the panels on the roof. In addition, Musk is going to combine the two products — the production of electricity from solar energy and electric cars under the roof of one company.
An ambitious plan for a ten-year-old says about the confidence of the head of the Tesla. His ideas are closely interrelated and form a coherent ecosystem, and in his plan he even lays part of the bureaucracy — the slowness of officials in the US and rest of the world in terms of permission to use public roads for testing cars.
Mark Zuckerberg: the Internet and VR
Zuckerberg’s plan looks more ambitious but less slender. Facebook already got almost all Internet users in the world and therefore rapidly expand further by connecting to new network. For this the company has launched a project Internet.org and Aquila is testing drones for Internet distribution from the air over a large territory.
On the other hand, in densely populated cities, the problem is the opposite: everything is connected to the Internet, and the volume of traffic is growing and growing because the more “severe” forms of content like 360-degree videos and VR broadcasts. Stable access to streaming services should ensure that the project MultiSite network Terragraph.
In parallel Zuckerberg deals with issues of artificial intelligence: from text-bots to help automate company responses to customer requests, to personal assistant in the style of Jarvis from “Iron man”.
Although artificial intelligence and virtual reality is a promising field, but they do not overlap with each other, unlike businesses Mask. Anyway, Facebook has a big advantage in the form of 1.65 billion monthly users, creating and viewing a huge amount of content, and Zuckerberg’s company is worth 10 times more than Tesla.
Imagine what will be 2026, if the ambitious plans of the Mask and Zuckerberg — as well as other well-known predictions on the future of technology — will come true.
Welcome to 2026
Morning. You stretch out, and your watch pass the “smart home” information about your awakening. The window is cool; the floor is heated instantly, and yet you go barefoot to the bathroom and brush your teeth in the kitchen boiling the kettle or buzzing automatic coffee maker.
Since today is a day of personal meetings, you will have to leave the house. Closing the door, you receive a notification on your watch that the lock worked successfully, confirm the inclusion of external observations and glancing at the two 360-degree cameras, one looking at the hall inside, the other outside the entrance door.
While coming down the Elevator, you call your Tesla to the entrance of the night she stood, connected to the charge and managed to download and install the latest firmware. The onboard computer offers an itinerary based on the calendar, but plans have just changed. You change for two meeting places, and until you go to first, colleagues confirmed the changes in routine via messenger: smart virtual assistant Facebook M he contacted them and found out their preferences.
Through the same messenger, you speak with colleagues in the audio, and do watch the news and eat a sandwich: hands still free, because the car is driving itself. The news show a natural disaster in a remote region of the country, but you see UltraHD picture live. Facebook sent your drone to emergency communication and helping people at a time when the conventional cellular network can not handle the load: it was connected by local journalists.
After three meetings, you remain in office, and go to work for you Uber. Until the end of the day it earns you about $ 10: a trifle, but in the end of the month the pace it makes up for all the bills for electricity, water and heating, and still a little left for rent.
Speaking of electricity: while you were in town, a solar panel on the roof charge the battery your wall — and not just yours, but other tenants. The house is big and all cheap solar electricity is not enough, but soon the partners Tesla promise to build these panels on the roofs of all the houses in the district and redistribute the electricity to the city network at reduced rates.
Electricity from the sun is enough for the current operation day: most eat a home computer connected to the VR station. The rest comes from the city network at night because it is cheaper, in this time gadgets are recharged and the car the next day.
While you’re riding home in the back of a Uber car, you remember that home run out of products. Not looking up from watching the show you’re talking M Facebook to have it checked out, that is not enough for cooking pasta with salmon, ordered it and got home. When you arrive at the entrance you are waiting for an older courier he has not figured out how to place the products in a secure video surveillance, “smart house” with remote locks, and is calling you on the phone.
You pick up the food from the courier and cook dinner — simply because love to cook. When you go to sleep, the Nest thermostat makes the air cooler, the air conditioning automatically operates the air intake outside and cleaning, and all the forgotten enabled devices go into a mode of reduced energy consumption.
less than an episode of your favorite series.
Victory over the tubes
For a long time agitated the inhabitants of big cities the problem has tried to solve with different types of Parking and restrictions on entry of large machines in the most busy area. However, experience has shown that the more Parking was in the city, the more it contracts — this only increased the congestion.
The transport continued pointless to take a seat and prevent the passage when not used. Keep them just became unprofitable during combat congestion and increased prices for cars and insurance, and Parking.
With the emergence of global carpooling, the origins of which stood Tesla, the car stopped to stand without renting them to buy them the average citizen has become economically unjustified. Own car even more stuck in the mind as the element of luxury. Exclusive possession can afford fewer people, the more so for daily commuting easier and often faster to go by public transport, the graphics which have been optimized using neural networks.
But to use the car became easier: due to the spread of the autopilot, they all turned into self-propelled taxis their any point to any point. These taxis, which can be accessed by one button in Uber or Apple Carpool, no drivers: no one is talking along the way and does not include bad music.
For a surcharge, the customer can get behind the wheel to go where he wants, but in most countries it is prohibited because of too high the risk of such driving. In addition, the driver will have to get right — and you need to pass very difficult exams.
Tubes became not only less due to less downtime of vehicles in Parking lots, but also because of how intelligent systems manage a fleet of vehicles. When on the road, there are several autopilot-controlled machines, they form a procession, all the cars which start and slow down simultaneously. This reduces the gap between the start of the vehicle in front and the reaction of the driver behind it, is typical for drivers.
On the track you can meet that self-driving trucks Tesla: they are Autonomous carry hundreds of thousands tons of cargo per day, reminding of the robots in the warehouse of Amazon popular in 2014 video. In the city they are not allowed — the depots are on the outskirts and in the city they bring industrial UAVs in 500-pound containers: create a system to control their flight involved experts from NASA. But on the highways, double the speed limit for traffic on dedicated lanes for transport under the control of the autopilot: motorcades of trucks and cars reach several tens of vehicles.
The charm of virtual reality
Once the inhabitants of the cities waited until it will come to car Google Street View and panorama of the streets, that they were virtually “walk”. Now, when 360-degree camera is on all the machines due to the used autopilot anybody can go on Google Street View to see what is happening outside the window, in real time.
In collaboration with law enforcement agencies in more than fifty countries, including the US, Canada and the EU, manufacturers of self-driving cars began to use the received camera data to analyze the behavior of citizens and tracking criminals. So when the police becomes aware of the offence that a fugitive criminal gets on the radar before him the dress, and tracked as long as it is within sight of the other machines.
GoPro, which released a compact version of the 360-degree camera, and has become the standard for conducting live broadcasts. All popular social networks support the display of such video, and to view them using a simple smartphone.
The initial wave of demand for virtual reality helmets was thrown back in hi-end devices: they went into the professional sphere of 3D modeling, architecture and design. The mass became the cheapest sets for VR: once to replace the news … doing a selfie” came “… playing Pokémon Go”, so now the media to discuss the incident, in which are the owners of PlayStation VR helmets.
Disadvantages
Because of the rapidly depreciating electric vehicles and mass transfer of major brands for their production has risen several conventional machines on the internal combustion engine. They are still relevant in the Northern regions where a network of charging stations is still not developed, and the people still drive older cars and have to buy gasoline constantly rising in price.
The presence of cameras in every car that is permanently connected to the Internet opens a wide scope for surveillance. However, as in the case of news about a fatal accident because of the actions of the autopilot ten years ago, it quickly swallowed the sense of danger and switched to the benefits of technology.
All the delights of fast Internet and virtual reality until concern only of the Earth, but on Mars has been three years since are the first participants in the project SpaceX to colonize. Communication with them is still intermittent and not fast enough: they will not be able to watch another episode of “South Park” immediately after its release, and the inhabitants of the Earth are not able to follow the growth of the potato live via 360-degree cameras on the Martian beds. It is known that Elon Musk has already found investors to build a space-based network of satellites, built by private space corporations.
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