Kiev buries the Minsk agreements and relies on the war
Ukrainian society is tired of war, but policy-hawks, with the support of a certain part of the Ukrainian elite can begin to implement strict power scenario. He writes about this in the news Ukrainian sociologist, founder of Research & Branding Grour Eugene Kopatko.
The author notes that in the last few months there has been a noticeable deterioration of the situation in the Donbass, and the attempt of liquidation of the leader of LNR Igor Plotnitsky only adds fuel to the fire.
The assassination of the head of the LC Igor Plotnitsky has stirred up public opinion and information field. The media has had a lot of comments on the reasons and motives of this event. The Ukrainian side said that any relation to the assassination attempt, and has not rushed to deny involvement in it. Also put forward the version that this attack could do some “guerrilla groups” opposed to the DNI and the LC and leading the fighting against the two republics – says Kopatko.
It can be assumed that some retaliatory actions on the part of the Republic will not force myself to wait, – the expert predicts. – A specific response from the LC will follow, I think the results and the results of the investigation. Under these conditions, further escalation of hostilities – this is a sad reality that we face. It seems that a perfect attempt further leads us away from the implementation of the Minsk agreements, and now the ball is on the side of Ukraine.
A sociologist specifies that Kiev breaks Minsk agreement under pressure strong enough war party. He also lists the reasons that disrupts Kiev Minsk-2.
First. There is a very strong party of war. The ceasefire and direct dialogue between Kiev and Donbass for the Ukrainian authorities is unacceptable, as part of the political spectrum regarded this as a betrayal of national interests of Ukraine. This is what creates a stub for the Minsk process. And the Ukrainian side will not be able to renew it.
In addition, Kyiv disrupts the implementation of the Minsk agreements in other areas – in particular, delayed the issue of elections and amendments to the Constitution of the country.
Second. On the line of contact concentrated a large number of the Ukrainian armed forces. And in the Ukrainian information field, one can often see analytical comments in support of the blitzkrieg tactics of the APU in the Donbass, – said Kopatko.
At the same time, the Ukrainian public opinion is inclined to think that the peace process would be preferable. People are tired of war.
In case of resumption of hostilities Kiev will have to use the term war, not the ATO, because of the anti-terrorist operation cannot last more than two years! The war may not be popular among the people.+
However, we cannot exclude the fact that, with the support of a certain part of the Ukrainian elite may begin to be realized hard power scenario. I believe this will become clear in the near future – sums up Kopatko.
