11 December 2016 in Transnistria, barring anything unforeseen, will be a presidential election. Or the first round of elections. The candidates are many, more than a dozen. It is clear that we are talking about a certain technology. By and large, elections in Transnistria — field confrontation between the two teams. One is the current President Yevgeny Shevchuk, his wife, ex-Minister of foreign Affairs Nina Shtanski, she, along with her brother Nicholas are the main strategists and speechwriters Shevchuk.
This team consists of rest or 10, or even more “candidates”. Except for one thing. Krasnoselsky. It promotes the local party “Updating”, a regional partner of the “United Russia” and the company “Sheriff” as a financial Playground of the force. It is the local opposition. Such is still life. The Transnistrian “United Russia” are in opposition to local authorities.
In support of Shevchuk in the Russian Federation made a number of deputies of the Communist party, the head of the PMR gently praised Dmitry Rogozin, whose photos can be seen on banners near the portraits Shevchuk in Tiraspol. Team Sheriff “Updates” candidates fetus. Why Shevchuk took another of about ten people in the election list — just not guess. What is the meaning of this political technology of reception, if finances and real media are only two? Shevchuk — a result, Krasnosel’skii — commercial television station, “the Sheriff”.
Shevchuk regularly appears on television with revelations. In one of the last performances of “exposed” political technologists from Russia, working in the headquarters Krasnosel’skaya. In principle, these people in Transnistria are well known — they worked on the command “Upgrade” in those years, when Shevchuk was a protege of “the firm.” He entered politics through the door, “the Sheriff” — businessmen found him in a remote province, dressed up, washed, introduced into the power, and then the relationship went wrong, but instead stayed and worked. Played a role that is almost 10 years “firm” promoted Shevchuk in their media as a worthy successor to Igor Smirnov. Now Shevchuk other partners, Smirnov does not support it.
Shevchuk leads resistant information fight with the Sheriff, its presidential candidate and “Renovationists” — he uses the rhetoric of Putin concerning the need to struggle “against oligarchs.” In response to “the revivalists” along with the population just shrug their shoulders — after all, an oligarch after five years of rule called in Transnistria and Shevchuk. Together with his close friend Talgat Baytazievwhose connection is too odious, according to numerous online publications.
Transnistria is a region of untapped potential. The once powerful industrial complex for many years lives dependent from Russia. At the same time, using the advantageous location near the border of Ukraine and Moldova, there are many warmed his hands, throwing the Pro-Russian slogans. The tip of the previous generation of politicians get rich, the current is also not left out, extracting multimillion-dollar profits. Considerable sums out of Russia in Transnistria and dissolved there, leaving the Russians living in the region, a pittance.
Policy, like a mantra, I repeat the same song about the necessity of Russian financial support to Transnistria. To support billions of dollars. At the same time, the Transnistrian Russians, from purely Patriotic reasons did not apply for Moldovan citizenship, in the PMR, are outcasts. Without Moldovan documents can neither do business nor to travel, only as a vegetable, to sit bezvylazno in PMR, in the best case with a pension or starvation wages. To move to Russia too, not just the local papers in the institutions of the Russian Federation are not recognized without the Moldovan confirmation. And here is a question for deputies to the State Duma — why not admit it?
In Transnistria monstrous stratification, limousines and the poor elderly. During the next election campaign each of the warring parties once again in the heat of political fervor promises the coming “economic miracle”. Some invites consultants from Russia, collects symposia, conferences, where each of the two main candidates can be approved as a potential reformer. Who will lead the region out of crisis, who can find markets. The population with distrust eats another fruit of demagoguery.
Over the past five years, the local economy was changing for the worse. Problems with the local currency. Shevchuk explains what is happening to the global situation, pressure. The opposition considers him guilty in the collapse of local industry and chaos in the foreign exchange market. In Moldova held a series of posts connected Shevchuk and Moldovan influential businessman plahotniuc as partners, having close relations in the energy sector. We are talking about some companies-pads, through which electricity gets to final consumer. Experts believe that Chisinau and Tiraspol, when necessary, cooperate constructively without prying eyes, removing the profits. Chisinau safely “separate” the West, Tiraspol — Russia. It turns out that the Union elites have already taken place, and for the poor naive townsfolk and potential backers — Moscow and Washington with Brussels — played a show.
The Russian VTSIOM published the data of sociological polls, according to which Krasnosel almost twice bypasses Shevchuk. In recent weeks, the rhetoric of the camps of the opponents even more intensified Shevchuk and his entourage, the opposition are predicting an investigation and jail. During the televised debate Krasnosel looking Shevchuk, quoted Gleb Zheglov — “a Thief should sit in jail”. At the same time, in the camp of supporters Shevchuk harder there are calls for the dissolution of Parliament, which supposedly counteracts Shevchuk, not allowing it to implement its legislative imagination. Already referred to the specific dates alleged in late November Shevchuk dispersed by the Supreme Council. Appeals and prophecies regarding possible unconstitutional steps of the PMR head accompanied by frequent military exercises and changes in military leadership. Now, if necessary, Shevchuk will be able to use the army in the confrontation with the opposition-minded Parliament. However, will the army for its Supreme commander, loses the support of the population? Also it is not known how such a course of events to react to Moscow. Whether the Kremlin commotion on the river? You never know who can take advantage of the chaos in the next hot spot.
It is obvious that in previous elections Moscow Shevchuk is not supported. But five years later, Shevchuk managed to get a certain protection in the Russian capital today with him there are the Federal channels do not sound rigid criticism in its address, as in 2011. At the same time it is also clear that the deteriorating economic situation in Transnistria, the continued Exodus of the population as a whole gives a very tragic picture.
The plight of the PMR threatens the reputation of the Russian elite, since Transnistria is still considered a Russian project, and change the local leadership can give some hope to rectify the situation. At the same time, Shevchuk strongly hinted that is not going away, nor fight, nor without a fight. It is almost nowhere to retreat — Shevchuk anywhere outside PMR is waiting with open arms. He won the previous elections thanks to the softness and relaxation of their opponents hands like a legless disabled on the pavement, toting-toting Russians, but not dragged. The current campaign will make it clear how far is too far is losing popularity, the politician, and will the firm “Sheriff” and “Update” to persist if Shevchuk still prefer force majeure scenario using a loyal military. Does the Parliament in your scenario, except, of course, calls to Moscow? To support parliamentarians local population?
As for Moldova, where the private election campaign, and there, by and large, all the same with whom to conduct business in Tiraspol, it is only necessary to understand that dependency, perennial poverty and devastation in Transnistria is clearly not contribute to the popularization of Russia in the Balkan area.
